Alabama A&M Bulldogs
Makes the tournament31%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 15.5
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 20-12
Net rating−11.8Rank 253 of 363 · offence 285, defence 211
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 20-12 (14 to 25 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 14-4
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 41%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 31%
- Average seed if in the field
- 15.5
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field31%
- Round of 32<1%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
Rooting guide
- Thu 5 Nov: at AlabamaA win: 33% · a loss: 31%+2 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alisha MurrayG · transfer from Grambling | 1 | 30.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | −2.0 | +0.1 |
| Asianae NicholsonF · transfer from Charlotte | 1 | 29.0 | 10.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | −0.5 | +0.9 |
| Shun'teria AnumeleG · transfer from Houston | 1 | 28.0 | 14.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | −1.5 | +0.3 |
| Skylar WhiteG | 1 | 27.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −3.0 | −0.4 |
| Miracle AkpotayoboF | 1 | 27.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | −3.0 | −0.4 |
| Vanessa WimberlyG | 1 | 23.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −3.6 | −0.6 |
| Kalea RaineyG | 1 | 16.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | −2.7 | −0.2 |
| Janessa KelleyG · transfer from Bethune | 1 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −4.2 | −0.4 |
| Tazi HarrisF | 1 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −2.5 | −0.1 |
| Khloe BradleyF | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −2.3 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 44.7%rank 136 | 44.7%rank 131 | 44.7% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 27% of the margin | 23.8%rank 142 | 23.8%rank 125 | 23.8% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 20% of the margin | 33.5%rank 136 | 33.5%rank 134 | 33.5% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 9% of the margin | 20.4%rank 127 | 20.4%rank 141 | 20.4% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.17), and their free throws even less (0.22), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −11.8
- Last season's net rating
- −5.6
- Last season's minutes returning
- 29%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −2.3
- Change since preseason
- 0.0
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 82.4 (rank 285)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 94.2 (rank 211)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 72.4 (rank 271)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- —
Southwestern Athletic Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alabama A&M | 0-1 | 0-0 | −11.8 | 82.4 | 94.2 | 253 |
| 2 | Southern | 0-1 | 0-0 | −13.0 | 80.3 | 93.2 | 266 |
| 3 | Grambling | 0-1 | 0-0 | −19.4 | 77.0 | 96.4 | 321 |
| 4 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 0-2 | 0-0 | −19.4 | 79.3 | 98.8 | 322 |
| 5 | Alcorn State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −21.3 | 76.3 | 97.6 | 334 |
| 6 | Florida A&M | 0-1 | 0-0 | −21.7 | 78.4 | 100.1 | 335 |
| 7 | Jackson State | 0-2 | 0-0 | −24.5 | 78.2 | 102.7 | 344 |
| 8 | Alabama State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −25.5 | 75.1 | 100.6 | 349 |
| 9 | Mississippi Valley State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −27.0 | 73.1 | 100.1 | 352 |
| 10 | Bethune-Cookman | 1-0 | 0-0 | −27.2 | 73.7 | 100.9 | 353 |
| 11 | Prairie View A&M | 1-0 | 0-0 | −31.4 | 71.8 | 103.2 | 361 |
| 12 | Texas Southern | 0-1 | 0-0 | −33.0 | 71.2 | 104.2 | 363 |