Leaderboards
Who beats the model: points from every finished game, against the model's own chance logged before tip-off.
This season
Nobody has enough finished calls yet. Make yours: the board fills in as games finish.
How the points work
Each finished game scores 100 × (the model's miss − your miss), where a miss is (1 − the chance you gave the team that won)². Say the model gives Duke 70% and you give Duke 80%. If Duke wins, the model's miss is 0.09 and yours 0.04: you score +5. If Duke loses, the misses are 0.49 and 0.64: you score −15. Confidence pays only when it is right, so your best strategy is your honest chance. The model's chance is the one logged before tip-off, never changed.
This week
Nobody has enough finished calls yet. Make yours: the board fills in as games finish.
Which fanbase calls it best?
Nobody has enough finished calls yet. Make yours: the board fills in as games finish.
Make your calls · Points = 100 × (the model's miss − your miss) on each finished game; a miss is (1 − the chance you gave the winner)². Calls are public once the game starts.