Men's rooting guide
What each game this week does to every team's chances, from 20,000 simulated seasons.
Your team's guide
Every team page has its own guide: its games this week, what a win or a loss does to its chances, and the other games to root in.
The games that matter most this week
| Date | Game | At stake | Biggest swings (if the home team wins) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 12 Nov | Oklahoma State at Texas A&MTexas A&M wins 69% | 18 | Oklahoma St −11; Texas A&M +7 |
| Tue 10 Nov | Virginia Tech vs IowaIowa wins 80% | 18 | Virginia Tech −10; Iowa +7 |
| Fri 6 Nov | Saint Louis vs MissouriMissouri wins 68% | 17 | Saint Louis −10; Missouri +8 |
| Sun 8 Nov | Arkansas vs VirginiaVirginia wins 49% | 16 | Arkansas −8; Virginia +8 |
| Mon 9 Nov | Syracuse vs IndianaIndiana wins 66% | 16 | Syracuse −8; Indiana +8 |
| Sat 7 Nov | Providence vs NebraskaNebraska wins 82% | 15 | Providence −9; Nebraska +6 |
| Sat 7 Nov | Maryland at GeorgetownGeorgetown wins 51% | 15 | Maryland −11; Georgetown +4 |
| Sun 8 Nov | USC vs Wichita StateWichita St wins 33% | 13 | USC −7; Wichita St +6 |
| Tue 10 Nov | Memphis at VanderbiltVanderbilt wins 94% | 12 | Memphis −9; Vanderbilt +4 |
| Mon 9 Nov | Minnesota at CincinnatiCincinnati wins 91% | 12 | Minnesota −8; Cincinnati +4 |
| Sun 8 Nov | Saint Mary's vs NevadaNevada wins 49% | 12 | Nevada +7; Saint Mary's −4 |
| Tue 10 Nov | Florida at Florida StateFlorida St wins 14% | 11 | Florida St +11; Florida 0 |
| Sat 7 Nov | VCU at MemphisMemphis wins 53% | 11 | VCU −7; Memphis +4 |
| Sat 7 Nov | San Diego State vs ColoradoColorado wins 67% | 11 | Colorado +6; San Diego St −4 |
| Sat 7 Nov | Omaha at Utah StateUtah State wins 99% | 11 | Utah State +6; Omaha +4 |
| Fri 6 Nov | Central Arkansas at Ole MissOle Miss wins 98% | 10 | Ole Miss +9; C Arkansas −1 |
| Tue 10 Nov | Yale at BaylorBaylor wins 90% | 10 | Baylor +6; Yale −4 |
| Wed 11 Nov | Robert Morris at ArkansasArkansas wins 99% | 10 | Arkansas +7; Robert Morris −2 |
| Wed 11 Nov | Nevada at UC Santa BarbaraSanta Barbara wins 26% | 9 | Nevada −8; Santa Barbara +2 |
| Tue 10 Nov | Kansas vs KentuckyKentucky wins 23% | 9 | Kentucky +8; Kansas −1 |
| Fri 6 Nov | Southern at TCUTCU wins >99% | 9 | TCU +6; Southern −3 |
| Wed 11 Nov | Marquette at MichiganMichigan wins 84% | 9 | Marquette −6; Michigan +2 |
| Wed 11 Nov | USC at CaliforniaCalifornia wins 32% | 9 | USC −7; California +1 |
| Tue 10 Nov | Queens University at BYUBYU wins 99% | 8 | BYU +8; Queens +1 |
| Tue 10 Nov | Detroit Mercy at XavierXavier wins 99% | 8 | Xavier +8; Detroit Mercy −1 |
Each effect isolates the result itself: the simulation compares seasons by the luck of that one game, so an upset does not also count as evidence that the loser was weak all along.