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Updated Thu 5 Nov, 5:53 PM ET

Scores, schedules and lines from ESPN; past seasons from sportsdataverse. Not affiliated with any team, league or bookmaker.

Men's projections

The rest of the season played out 20,000 times with today's ratings.

Updated Thu 5 Nov, 5:53 PM ET
Title favouriteDuke 16%Won the title in this share of seasons
Games left5,771Regular-season games still to play
Automatic bids3236 at-large spots in a field of 68
Teams in over half the fields43Of the 68 places

Every team's season, simulated

Select a column to sort
365 teams
DukeAtlantic Coast Conference · rank 131-427 to 34 wins16-281%60%>99%1.882%41%16%
FloridaSoutheastern Conference · rank 228-424 to 32 wins15-364%40%>99%1.781%40%15%
KansasBig 12 Conference · rank 326-622 to 30 wins14-435%26%99%2.473%29%9%
HoustonBig 12 Conference · rank 427-523 to 31 wins14-437%25%99%2.572%28%9%
IllinoisBig Ten Conference · rank 527-723 to 32 wins16-441%27%99%2.371%26%7%
MichiganBig Ten Conference · rank 625-720 to 30 wins15-531%21%98%2.666%22%5%
Michigan StateBig Ten Conference · rank 826-821 to 30 wins14-623%19%95%3.360%18%5%
TennesseeSoutheastern Conference · rank 725-820 to 29 wins13-520%17%95%3.559%18%4%
Texas TechBig 12 Conference · rank 1023-819 to 27 wins13-518%14%94%3.956%16%4%
Iowa StateBig 12 Conference · rank 924-820 to 28 wins13-517%13%92%4.652%15%4%
CincinnatiBig 12 Conference · rank 1126-821 to 30 wins12-612%9%91%4.546%11%2%
AlabamaSoutheastern Conference · rank 1322-1017 to 27 wins12-612%9%85%4.145%10%2%
UConnBig East Conference · rank 1225-920 to 30 wins15-547%32%89%4.445%10%2%
VanderbiltSoutheastern Conference · rank 1425-920 to 29 wins11-78%9%85%5.339%8%2%
NebraskaBig Ten Conference · rank 1524-919 to 29 wins13-710%9%89%4.544%9%2%
ArizonaBig 12 Conference · rank 1620-1116 to 25 wins11-75%5%73%5.431%6%1%
LouisvilleAtlantic Coast Conference · rank 1822-917 to 27 wins13-514%11%79%5.530%5%1%
PurdueBig Ten Conference · rank 1722-1216 to 27 wins12-86%6%80%4.834%6%1%
AuburnSoutheastern Conference · rank 1921-1016 to 26 wins10-85%5%73%5.628%5%1%
IowaBig Ten Conference · rank 2022-1117 to 27 wins12-84%5%75%5.529%5%1%
UCLABig Ten Conference · rank 2123-1018 to 28 wins12-87%5%81%5.431%5%1%
St. John'sBig East Conference · rank 2223-918 to 28 wins14-626%20%81%5.331%5%1%
BYUBig 12 Conference · rank 2422-1017 to 26 wins10-83%4%76%5.727%4%1%
KentuckySoutheastern Conference · rank 2322-1216 to 27 wins9-93%4%66%5.923%4%1%
TexasSoutheastern Conference · rank 2522-1116 to 26 wins10-84%4%70%6.024%4%1%
ArkansasSoutheastern Conference · rank 2622-1216 to 27 wins10-83%4%64%6.122%4%0%
GonzagaPac-12 Conference · rank 2725-621 to 29 wins13-367%48%84%6.724%3%<1%
VirginiaAtlantic Coast Conference · rank 2823-1018 to 28 wins12-66%8%72%6.123%3%<1%
MarquetteBig East Conference · rank 2923-1118 to 29 wins13-720%16%72%6.024%4%<1%
MiamiAtlantic Coast Conference · rank 3123-919 to 27 wins12-67%8%71%6.820%3%<1%
MissouriSoutheastern Conference · rank 3020-1315 to 25 wins9-92%3%57%6.418%3%<1%
Ole MissSoutheastern Conference · rank 3221-1116 to 26 wins9-92%3%59%6.717%2%<1%
XavierBig East Conference · rank 3322-1217 to 28 wins12-812%11%63%6.317%2%<1%
Ohio StateBig Ten Conference · rank 3418-1514 to 23 wins10-101%2%42%6.911%1%<1%
TCUBig 12 Conference · rank 3519-1215 to 24 wins9-91%1%46%7.210%1%<1%
Texas A&MSoutheastern Conference · rank 3720-1414 to 25 wins8-101%1%45%7.011%1%<1%
WisconsinBig Ten Conference · rank 4118-1413 to 23 wins9-111%1%47%6.511%1%<1%
IndianaBig Ten Conference · rank 4019-1414 to 25 wins9-111%1%52%6.513%1%<1%
North CarolinaAtlantic Coast Conference · rank 4420-1314 to 26 wins10-91%3%45%6.99%1%<1%
West VirginiaBig 12 Conference · rank 3819-1314 to 23 wins8-101%1%41%7.39%1%<1%
USCBig Ten Conference · rank 4819-1413 to 24 wins9-111%1%38%7.18%1%<1%
VillanovaBig East Conference · rank 3619-1414 to 25 wins11-98%8%45%7.210%1%<1%
New MexicoMountain West Conference · rank 4627-622 to 31 wins15-352%38%65%9.36%1%<1%
MarylandBig Ten Conference · rank 4317-1412 to 22 wins9-111%1%41%6.89%1%<1%
CreightonBig East Conference · rank 5018-1413 to 23 wins10-105%5%39%7.18%1%<1%
OklahomaSoutheastern Conference · rank 4918-1513 to 23 wins7-11<1%1%29%7.75%1%<1%
OregonBig Ten Conference · rank 4718-1413 to 23 wins9-111%1%38%7.27%1%<1%
BaylorBig 12 Conference · rank 4218-1413 to 22 wins8-101%1%34%7.17%1%<1%
Saint Mary'sWest Coast Conference · rank 5527-623 to 31 wins13-360%45%61%10.25%<1%<1%
Oklahoma StateBig 12 Conference · rank 4519-1414 to 24 wins8-10<1%1%39%7.08%1%<1%
ClemsonAtlantic Coast Conference · rank 5319-1214 to 24 wins10-82%2%37%7.76%1%<1%
ColoradoBig 12 Conference · rank 5218-1413 to 23 wins7-11<1%0%35%7.36%1%<1%
Saint LouisAtlantic 10 Conference · rank 5626-721 to 31 wins14-447%31%54%9.74%<1%<1%
Utah StatePac-12 Conference · rank 5125-920 to 30 wins11-526%22%53%8.96%1%<1%
GeorgiaSoutheastern Conference · rank 3918-1414 to 23 wins8-101%1%32%7.67%1%<1%
NevadaMountain West Conference · rank 5728-723 to 32 wins14-439%31%53%9.94%<1%<1%
High PointBig South Conference · rank 8730-526 to 33 wins14-291%68%70%12.52%<1%0%
Santa ClaraWest Coast Conference · rank 6427-822 to 31 wins13-347%36%57%9.74%<1%<1%
McNeeseSouthland Conference · rank 8629-525 to 33 wins20-285%60%62%12.32%<1%0%
VCUAtlantic 10 Conference · rank 6024-819 to 28 wins13-533%25%41%10.23%<1%<1%
HowardMid-Eastern Athletic Conference · rank 21024-1019 to 28 wins12-277%53%53%14.6<1%0%0%
Notre DameAtlantic Coast Conference · rank 5820-1215 to 24 wins10-81%1%28%8.73%<1%<1%
Wichita StateAmerican Conference · rank 8026-921 to 30 wins13-539%30%37%11.12%<1%<1%
NC StateAtlantic Coast Conference · rank 6220-1215 to 25 wins10-9<1%1%25%8.53%<1%<1%
Florida StateAtlantic Coast Conference · rank 5421-1316 to 25 wins10-81%2%29%8.34%<1%<1%
Arizona StateBig 12 Conference · rank 6318-1414 to 23 wins6-12<1%<1%19%8.32%<1%<1%
MinnesotaBig Ten Conference · rank 6516-1612 to 21 wins7-13<1%<1%17%8.22%<1%<1%
NorthwesternBig Ten Conference · rank 6117-1612 to 22 wins7-13<1%<1%26%7.64%<1%<1%
MemphisAmerican Conference · rank 8522-1217 to 27 wins13-536%26%36%10.31%<1%0%
Boise StatePac-12 Conference · rank 7421-1216 to 27 wins10-69%9%22%9.82%<1%<1%
Colorado StatePac-12 Conference · rank 6921-1116 to 26 wins10-69%10%22%9.82%<1%<1%
YaleIvy League · rank 10622-917 to 27 wins10-446%31%33%12.31%<1%0%
Miami (OH)Mid-American Conference · rank 10226-821 to 30 wins17-542%29%32%12.11%<1%0%
St. ThomasSummit League · rank 14623-1118 to 29 wins10-447%33%33%13.6<1%0%0%
Montana StateBig Sky Conference · rank 12023-1118 to 28 wins15-550%32%32%13.3<1%0%0%
AkronMid-American Conference · rank 10326-821 to 31 wins17-541%29%31%12.21%<1%0%
Grand CanyonMountain West Conference · rank 7024-920 to 29 wins13-522%19%30%10.72%<1%0%
Central ArkansasUnited Athletic Conference · rank 15022-1217 to 27 wins11-545%30%30%13.7<1%0%0%
Wright StateHorizon League · rank 12424-1018 to 29 wins15-544%28%29%13.5<1%0%0%
Murray StateMissouri Valley Conference · rank 9823-1018 to 29 wins13-731%21%28%11.31%<1%0%
UC IrvineBig West Conference · rank 10825-1019 to 31 wins16-632%24%27%11.91%<1%0%
American UniversityPatriot League · rank 17920-1415 to 26 wins13-541%28%28%14.4<1%0%0%
Queens UniversityAtlantic Sun Conference · rank 15221-1415 to 26 wins10-438%27%27%14.0<1%0%0%
UC San DiegoBig West Conference · rank 10724-1018 to 29 wins16-633%24%27%12.11%0%0%
Southeast Missouri StateOhio Valley Conference · rank 23120-1315 to 25 wins11-540%28%28%14.6<1%0%0%
GeorgetownBig East Conference · rank 7117-1612 to 22 wins8-121%2%15%8.52%<1%<1%
South Dakota StateSummit League · rank 16323-1017 to 28 wins10-435%26%26%13.3<1%0%0%
DePaulBig East Conference · rank 7716-1711 to 21 wins7-131%1%15%8.31%<1%<1%
Florida Gulf CoastAtlantic Sun Conference · rank 15622-1216 to 27 wins9-535%25%26%14.1<1%0%0%
LipscombAtlantic Sun Conference · rank 15920-1414 to 25 wins9-534%25%25%14.3<1%0%0%
VermontAmerica East Conference · rank 26718-1612 to 24 wins10-638%25%25%15.4<1%0%0%
Utah ValleyBig West Conference · rank 11222-1016 to 28 wins15-726%20%22%12.1<1%0%0%
UICMissouri Valley Conference · rank 10123-1117 to 29 wins13-723%17%21%11.61%<1%0%
HarvardIvy League · rank 12119-1113 to 24 wins9-528%21%21%12.7<1%0%0%
ColgatePatriot League · rank 19720-1414 to 25 wins12-631%22%22%14.7<1%0%0%
ProvidenceBig East Conference · rank 6616-1611 to 21 wins8-121%2%20%7.92%<1%0%
Central ConnecticutNortheast Conference · rank 29617-1512 to 22 wins10-632%22%22%15.40%0%0%
FurmanSouthern Conference · rank 16823-1118 to 29 wins13-728%20%20%14.0<1%0%0%
Virginia TechAtlantic Coast Conference · rank 7918-1512 to 23 wins8-10<1%<1%18%8.32%<1%0%
UT MartinOhio Valley Conference · rank 25518-1413 to 23 wins10-626%20%20%15.0<1%0%0%
SouthernSouthwestern Athletic Conference · rank 29117-1812 to 21 wins12-626%20%20%15.20%0%0%
UNC WilmingtonCoastal Athletic Association · rank 13023-1117 to 29 wins12-625%19%19%13.3<1%0%0%
Western KentuckyConference USA · rank 13321-1315 to 27 wins11-726%18%19%13.4<1%0%0%
Long Island UniversityNortheast Conference · rank 30713-208 to 18 wins10-628%20%20%15.60%0%0%
LSUSoutheastern Conference · rank 5917-1612 to 22 wins6-12<1%<1%17%7.93%<1%0%
South FloridaAmerican Conference · rank 10022-1217 to 28 wins12-620%15%17%11.9<1%0%0%
SyracuseAtlantic Coast Conference · rank 6719-1414 to 24 wins8-10<1%1%17%9.11%<1%0%
CharlestonCoastal Athletic Association · rank 13921-1215 to 27 wins12-626%17%17%13.1<1%0%0%
UT ArlingtonUnited Athletic Conference · rank 19720-1414 to 27 wins10-623%17%18%14.3<1%0%0%
North Dakota StateSummit League · rank 19418-1612 to 24 wins8-621%17%17%14.60%0%0%
SMUAtlantic Coast Conference · rank 7319-1414 to 24 wins8-10<1%1%16%8.81%<1%0%
George WashingtonAtlantic 10 Conference · rank 9324-1018 to 29 wins11-712%9%16%10.9<1%0%0%
StanfordAtlantic Coast Conference · rank 7618-1414 to 24 wins8-10<1%1%15%8.91%<1%0%
George MasonAtlantic 10 Conference · rank 9124-1019 to 28 wins11-77%8%16%11.01%<1%0%
App StateSun Belt Conference · rank 16220-1315 to 25 wins12-622%16%16%13.9<1%0%0%
Northern ColoradoBig Sky Conference · rank 15520-1314 to 26 wins12-820%16%16%13.6<1%0%0%
East Tennessee StateSouthern Conference · rank 18621-1315 to 27 wins13-721%16%16%14.3<1%0%0%
BelmontMissouri Valley Conference · rank 11122-1215 to 27 wins12-815%12%15%11.7<1%0%0%
New HavenNortheast Conference · rank 31217-1612 to 23 wins10-623%17%17%15.20%0%0%
Northern IowaMissouri Valley Conference · rank 11020-1414 to 26 wins12-816%13%15%11.8<1%<1%0%
SIU EdwardsvilleOhio Valley Conference · rank 26919-1413 to 25 wins10-622%17%17%14.70%0%0%
Penn StateBig Ten Conference · rank 6816-1512 to 21 wins6-14<1%<1%14%8.61%<1%0%
OaklandHorizon League · rank 15715-1910 to 21 wins13-720%16%16%14.1<1%0%0%
SamfordSouthern Conference · rank 19120-1414 to 26 wins12-822%16%16%14.1<1%0%0%
PennsylvaniaIvy League · rank 13118-1212 to 23 wins8-618%15%15%12.8<1%0%0%
LibertyConference USA · rank 14320-1415 to 26 wins10-819%15%15%13.6<1%0%0%
San Diego StatePac-12 Conference · rank 8318-1213 to 22 wins9-76%7%14%10.01%<1%0%
FairfieldMetro Conference · rank 24720-1314 to 26 wins13-723%16%16%14.6<1%0%0%
LehighPatriot League · rank 23419-1413 to 25 wins11-719%15%15%14.6<1%0%0%
DrakeMissouri Valley Conference · rank 11421-1314 to 27 wins11-915%12%14%11.8<1%0%0%
Texas SouthernSouthwestern Athletic Conference · rank 30916-1811 to 20 wins11-615%16%16%15.40%0%0%
Sam HoustonConference USA · rank 14718-1612 to 24 wins10-819%14%14%13.7<1%0%0%
MarshallSun Belt Conference · rank 17220-1215 to 26 wins12-622%14%15%13.7<1%0%0%
Austin PeayUnited Athletic Conference · rank 21719-1513 to 25 wins9-718%15%15%14.3<1%0%0%
Arkansas StateSun Belt Conference · rank 17122-1216 to 27 wins12-621%14%15%13.7<1%0%0%
Rhode IslandAtlantic 10 Conference · rank 9523-1018 to 28 wins11-79%8%13%11.31%<1%0%
PrincetonIvy League · rank 13818-1311 to 24 wins8-616%13%14%13.0<1%0%0%
RutgersBig Ten Conference · rank 7514-1610 to 19 wins6-14<1%<1%13%8.22%<1%0%
Seton HallBig East Conference · rank 7816-1711 to 21 wins7-131%1%12%8.61%<1%0%
SienaMetro Conference · rank 24917-1711 to 23 wins12-816%14%14%15.30%0%0%
Louisiana TechSun Belt Conference · rank 17421-1215 to 27 wins11-719%14%14%13.8<1%0%0%
QuinnipiacMetro Conference · rank 25118-1513 to 24 wins12-820%14%14%14.80%0%0%
DaytonAtlantic 10 Conference · rank 9720-1415 to 26 wins10-86%7%12%10.6<1%<1%0%
Kennesaw StateConference USA · rank 15319-1213 to 25 wins10-817%13%13%13.3<1%0%0%
Boston UniversityPatriot League · rank 24318-1512 to 24 wins11-716%14%14%14.8<1%0%0%
UC Santa BarbaraBig West Conference · rank 12521-1315 to 28 wins14-812%11%12%12.6<1%0%0%
TowsonCoastal Athletic Association · rank 15119-1413 to 24 wins11-715%13%13%13.6<1%0%0%
Northern KentuckyHorizon League · rank 17622-1216 to 27 wins12-815%13%13%13.7<1%0%0%
Oregon StatePac-12 Conference · rank 9621-1316 to 26 wins8-83%4%11%10.4<1%<1%0%
North TexasAmerican Conference · rank 11522-1216 to 28 wins11-711%10%11%12.0<1%<1%0%
UNLVMountain West Conference · rank 9921-1216 to 26 wins11-76%7%11%11.1<1%<1%0%
Norfolk StateMid-Eastern Athletic Conference · rank 33015-1910 to 21 wins8-614%13%13%15.50%0%0%
WashingtonBig Ten Conference · rank 8113-179 to 17 wins6-14<1%<1%10%8.21%<1%0%
WoffordSouthern Conference · rank 21219-1514 to 25 wins12-815%12%12%14.5<1%0%0%
ToledoMid-American Conference · rank 13218-1512 to 24 wins14-811%11%11%13.5<1%0%0%
Stephen F. AustinSouthland Conference · rank 16020-1214 to 26 wins14-810%11%11%13.5<1%0%0%
Eastern WashingtonBig Sky Conference · rank 17417-1712 to 23 wins12-812%11%11%14.2<1%0%0%
UMass LowellAmerica East Conference · rank 31716-1810 to 22 wins8-816%12%12%15.30%0%0%
UMBCAmerica East Conference · rank 31216-1711 to 21 wins8-815%12%12%15.40%0%0%
MassachusettsMid-American Conference · rank 13422-1216 to 27 wins13-910%10%11%12.9<1%0%0%
ButlerBig East Conference · rank 8416-1811 to 21 wins6-14<1%1%10%8.61%<1%0%
Alabama StateSouthwestern Athletic Conference · rank 32417-1812 to 22 wins11-716%12%12%15.60%0%0%
Middle TennesseeConference USA · rank 16717-1511 to 23 wins10-813%11%11%13.4<1%0%0%
MerrimackMetro Conference · rank 26017-1611 to 23 wins12-814%11%11%15.2<1%0%0%
BryantAmerica East Conference · rank 31615-1910 to 21 wins8-815%12%12%15.40%0%0%
New HampshireAmerica East Conference · rank 32016-1810 to 22 wins8-814%12%12%15.50%0%0%
HofstraCoastal Athletic Association · rank 16619-1513 to 25 wins10-813%10%10%13.8<1%0%0%
Jackson StateSouthwestern Athletic Conference · rank 32713-228 to 18 wins12-716%12%12%15.80%0%0%
Bethune-CookmanSouthwestern Athletic Conference · rank 32913-228 to 17 wins10-812%12%12%15.70%0%0%
Cal PolyBig West Conference · rank 13518-1512 to 24 wins13-910%10%10%12.8<1%0%0%
UAlbanyAmerica East Conference · rank 32316-189 to 22 wins8-815%12%12%15.50%0%0%
MonmouthCoastal Athletic Association · rank 16516-1710 to 23 wins10-814%10%10%14.2<1%0%0%
TroySun Belt Conference · rank 19417-1412 to 23 wins11-712%10%10%14.3<1%0%0%
MontanaBig Sky Conference · rank 18418-1612 to 23 wins11-911%10%10%14.0<1%0%0%
MercerSouthern Conference · rank 22817-1711 to 23 wins11-912%10%10%14.7<1%0%0%
South CarolinaSoutheastern Conference · rank 8215-1711 to 20 wins5-13<1%<1%9%8.71%<1%0%
Georgia TechAtlantic Coast Conference · rank 8917-1612 to 22 wins6-12<1%<1%9%9.0<1%<1%0%
Tennessee StateOhio Valley Conference · rank 29215-1410 to 20 wins8-812%11%11%14.70%0%0%
DavidsonAtlantic 10 Conference · rank 10422-1216 to 27 wins10-86%5%9%11.3<1%<1%0%
ChattanoogaSouthern Conference · rank 22820-1414 to 25 wins11-911%10%10%14.5<1%0%0%
San FranciscoWest Coast Conference · rank 11721-1316 to 26 wins9-75%7%9%11.9<1%0%0%
New Mexico StateConference USA · rank 18016-1610 to 22 wins9-910%9%9%13.7<1%0%0%
MercyhurstNortheast Conference · rank 33515-1910 to 20 wins8-812%10%10%15.60%0%0%
UCFBig 12 Conference · rank 7215-1611 to 20 wins5-13<1%<1%7%8.61%<1%0%
OhioMid-American Conference · rank 14420-1315 to 25 wins13-97%8%9%12.9<1%0%0%
PittsburghAtlantic Coast Conference · rank 8816-1711 to 21 wins6-12<1%<1%7%9.0<1%<1%0%
Portland StateBig Sky Conference · rank 19617-1711 to 23 wins11-99%9%9%13.9<1%0%0%
MaristMetro Conference · rank 27716-1611 to 22 wins12-813%9%9%15.10%0%0%
OmahaSummit League · rank 25416-1610 to 21 wins7-79%9%9%14.3<1%0%0%
Illinois StateMissouri Valley Conference · rank 12319-1513 to 24 wins10-107%7%8%12.4<1%0%0%
Tarleton StateUnited Athletic Conference · rank 25118-1612 to 24 wins8-810%9%9%14.6<1%0%0%
Youngstown StateHorizon League · rank 20119-1514 to 24 wins12-810%8%8%14.1<1%0%0%
Robert MorrisHorizon League · rank 20417-1711 to 23 wins11-98%8%8%14.3<1%0%0%
Green BayHorizon League · rank 21117-1711 to 23 wins11-99%8%8%14.3<1%0%0%
South AlabamaSun Belt Conference · rank 20818-1513 to 23 wins10-810%8%8%14.40%0%0%
Wake ForestAtlantic Coast Conference · rank 9016-1612 to 21 wins6-12<1%<1%7%9.4<1%0%0%
Morehead StateOhio Valley Conference · rank 30216-1811 to 22 wins8-89%9%9%15.30%0%0%
Abilene ChristianUnited Athletic Conference · rank 25317-1612 to 23 wins8-88%8%8%14.80%0%0%
Missouri StateConference USA · rank 19217-1511 to 23 wins8-108%8%8%13.7<1%0%0%
Seattle UWest Coast Conference · rank 11819-1314 to 24 wins9-75%6%7%12.5<1%0%0%
ElonCoastal Athletic Association · rank 18419-1513 to 24 wins10-89%7%8%13.9<1%0%0%
South Carolina StateMid-Eastern Athletic Conference · rank 34114-198 to 19 wins7-78%9%9%15.50%0%0%
PresbyterianBig South Conference · rank 20317-1612 to 22 wins9-75%8%8%14.4<1%0%0%
IdahoBig Sky Conference · rank 20918-1612 to 24 wins10-108%7%8%14.0<1%0%0%
BradleyMissouri Valley Conference · rank 12918-1512 to 24 wins9-116%6%7%12.1<1%0%0%
Old DominionSun Belt Conference · rank 21918-1413 to 24 wins10-810%7%8%14.10%0%0%
Western CarolinaSouthern Conference · rank 24017-1612 to 22 wins11-98%8%8%14.6<1%0%0%
Maryland Eastern ShoreMid-Eastern Athletic Conference · rank 33712-217 to 17 wins7-77%8%8%15.80%0%0%
UT Rio Grande ValleySouthland Conference · rank 19319-1512 to 25 wins13-95%7%7%14.1<1%0%0%
Sacred HeartMetro Conference · rank 28517-1710 to 23 wins11-910%8%8%15.00%0%0%
DartmouthIvy League · rank 17817-1312 to 22 wins6-86%7%7%13.4<1%0%0%
CampbellCoastal Athletic Association · rank 18716-1810 to 21 wins10-89%7%7%14.4<1%0%0%
Mount St. Mary'sMetro Conference · rank 28617-1611 to 22 wins11-910%8%8%15.00%0%0%
CornellIvy League · rank 17716-1511 to 21 wins6-86%7%7%13.6<1%0%0%
WagnerNortheast Conference · rank 34212-188 to 17 wins8-89%8%8%15.20%0%0%
Fairleigh DickinsonNortheast Conference · rank 34314-209 to 19 wins8-89%8%8%15.50%0%0%
ValparaisoMissouri Valley Conference · rank 12518-1413 to 24 wins10-105%5%6%12.3<1%0%0%
GramblingSouthwestern Athletic Conference · rank 33416-1811 to 22 wins9-98%8%8%15.30%0%0%
Saint Peter'sMetro Conference · rank 29016-1611 to 22 wins11-99%7%7%15.1<1%0%0%
NavyPatriot League · rank 28217-1711 to 23 wins9-96%7%7%15.20%0%0%
LongwoodBig South Conference · rank 22519-1513 to 24 wins8-84%6%6%14.50%0%0%
Little RockUnited Athletic Conference · rank 26615-199 to 20 wins7-96%7%7%15.10%0%0%
Eastern KentuckyUnited Athletic Conference · rank 27116-1810 to 22 wins7-97%7%7%14.80%0%0%
JacksonvilleAtlantic Sun Conference · rank 26414-199 to 19 wins6-86%7%7%14.60%0%0%
RadfordBig South Conference · rank 22116-1811 to 21 wins9-74%6%6%14.6<1%0%0%
Alabama A&MSouthwestern Athletic Conference · rank 33916-1810 to 22 wins9-98%7%7%15.40%0%0%
MilwaukeeHorizon League · rank 21814-209 to 20 wins10-106%6%6%14.7<1%0%0%
UtahBig 12 Conference · rank 9216-1612 to 20 wins4-140%<1%5%9.2<1%<1%0%
Southern UtahBig Sky Conference · rank 22415-199 to 21 wins10-106%6%6%14.30%0%0%
WyomingMountain West Conference · rank 11919-1414 to 25 wins9-92%3%5%11.6<1%0%0%
Florida AtlanticAmerican Conference · rank 12719-1413 to 25 wins9-96%5%5%12.5<1%0%0%
DuquesneAtlantic 10 Conference · rank 11621-1216 to 27 wins9-93%3%5%11.7<1%0%0%
Southern IllinoisMissouri Valley Conference · rank 14016-1510 to 23 wins9-114%5%5%12.1<1%0%0%
StonehillNortheast Conference · rank 34713-208 to 18 wins7-98%7%7%15.50%0%0%
Florida InternationalConference USA · rank 21315-179 to 22 wins8-105%6%6%14.0<1%0%0%
East Texas A&MSouthland Conference · rank 20518-1612 to 23 wins12-103%6%6%14.0<1%0%0%
Detroit MercyHorizon League · rank 23313-178 to 19 wins10-106%6%6%14.1<1%0%0%
IonaMetro Conference · rank 29416-1810 to 22 wins10-106%6%6%15.30%0%0%
West FloridaAtlantic Sun Conference · rank 27216-1810 to 23 wins6-86%6%6%14.90%0%0%
Purdue Fort WayneHorizon League · rank 23017-1711 to 22 wins10-105%6%6%14.50%0%0%
Kent StateMid-American Conference · rank 17017-1512 to 23 wins12-104%5%5%13.3<1%0%0%
William & MaryCoastal Athletic Association · rank 21517-1710 to 23 wins8-106%5%5%13.8<1%0%0%
North AlabamaUnited Athletic Conference · rank 27816-1811 to 21 wins7-95%5%5%14.80%0%0%
LindenwoodOhio Valley Conference · rank 32614-1810 to 19 wins7-96%6%6%15.30%0%0%
TempleAmerican Conference · rank 13617-1411 to 22 wins10-85%4%4%12.7<1%0%0%
MaineAmerica East Conference · rank 34013-217 to 18 wins7-96%6%6%15.70%0%0%
North FloridaAtlantic Sun Conference · rank 27515-1810 to 21 wins6-84%5%5%14.90%0%0%
Eastern IllinoisOhio Valley Conference · rank 32815-1910 to 20 wins7-95%6%6%15.20%0%0%
Southern MissSun Belt Conference · rank 25016-1810 to 22 wins9-96%5%5%14.50%0%0%
Bowling GreenMid-American Conference · rank 18219-1414 to 24 wins11-113%4%4%13.3<1%0%0%
ColumbiaIvy League · rank 20515-1610 to 20 wins5-93%4%4%14.20%0%0%
Jacksonville StateConference USA · rank 22715-189 to 22 wins7-114%4%4%14.2<1%0%0%
Prairie View A&MSouthwestern Athletic Conference · rank 34514-209 to 19 wins9-96%6%6%15.50%0%0%
Saint Joseph'sAtlantic 10 Conference · rank 12218-1412 to 23 wins8-101%2%3%11.3<1%0%0%
North Carolina CentralMid-Eastern Athletic Conference · rank 35012-208 to 17 wins6-84%6%6%15.40%0%0%
Mississippi StateSoutheastern Conference · rank 9412-198 to 16 wins4-140%<1%3%8.8<1%<1%0%
WinthropBig South Conference · rank 24217-1712 to 22 wins8-83%4%4%14.60%0%0%
South DakotaSummit League · rank 28815-1810 to 20 wins6-83%5%5%15.10%0%0%
Le MoyneNortheast Conference · rank 35213-218 to 18 wins7-95%6%6%15.70%0%0%
TulsaAmerican Conference · rank 14518-1512 to 24 wins8-103%3%4%12.4<1%0%0%
BinghamtonAmerica East Conference · rank 34413-198 to 19 wins6-104%5%5%15.70%0%0%
North DakotaSummit League · rank 28912-207 to 18 wins6-83%5%5%15.30%0%0%
ArmyPatriot League · rank 30116-1810 to 21 wins8-104%5%5%15.30%0%0%
UNC GreensboroSouthern Conference · rank 27915-199 to 20 wins9-114%4%4%15.10%0%0%
DrexelCoastal Athletic Association · rank 22316-1710 to 22 wins8-105%4%4%14.4<1%0%0%
ManhattanMetro Conference · rank 30616-1810 to 22 wins10-104%5%5%15.30%0%0%
NichollsSouthland Conference · rank 23716-1810 to 23 wins11-112%4%4%14.6<1%0%0%
Texas A&M-Corpus ChristiSouthland Conference · rank 23216-1810 to 21 wins11-112%4%4%14.80%0%0%
CaliforniaAtlantic Coast Conference · rank 10515-1811 to 19 wins5-130%<1%2%9.6<1%0%0%
Coastal CarolinaSun Belt Conference · rank 25715-189 to 20 wins8-103%4%4%14.80%0%0%
Delaware StateMid-Eastern Athletic Conference · rank 35312-187 to 18 wins6-83%5%5%15.40%0%0%
Boston CollegeAtlantic Coast Conference · rank 10915-1811 to 19 wins5-130%<1%2%9.8<1%0%0%
Northwestern StateSouthland Conference · rank 23916-1811 to 21 wins11-111%3%3%14.50%0%0%
Tennessee TechSouthern Conference · rank 28015-1910 to 20 wins9-113%4%4%15.10%0%0%
Southern IndianaOhio Valley Conference · rank 33214-199 to 19 wins6-103%4%4%15.40%0%0%
UNC AshevilleBig South Conference · rank 25616-1810 to 21 wins8-82%3%3%15.10%0%0%
CharlotteAmerican Conference · rank 14917-1612 to 23 wins8-101%2%3%12.7<1%0%0%
Cal State NorthridgeBig West Conference · rank 19016-1710 to 22 wins10-122%3%3%13.4<1%0%0%
FordhamAtlantic 10 Conference · rank 12819-1414 to 24 wins8-101%1%2%11.9<1%0%0%
NJITAmerica East Conference · rank 34911-236 to 16 wins6-103%4%4%15.80%0%0%
James MadisonSun Belt Conference · rank 26515-1710 to 21 wins8-103%3%3%14.80%0%0%
Kansas CitySummit League · rank 30315-199 to 20 wins5-92%3%3%15.20%0%0%
NortheasternCoastal Athletic Association · rank 24112-226 to 17 wins8-102%3%3%15.00%0%0%
Stony BrookCoastal Athletic Association · rank 24816-1710 to 22 wins7-113%3%3%14.2<1%0%0%
California BaptistBig West Conference · rank 20014-209 to 20 wins10-121%2%2%14.2<1%0%0%
Charleston SouthernBig South Conference · rank 25916-1811 to 22 wins7-91%3%3%15.00%0%0%
PepperdineWest Coast Conference · rank 15817-1612 to 22 wins7-101%2%2%13.2<1%0%0%
UABAmerican Conference · rank 16416-1810 to 22 wins8-101%2%2%13.1<1%0%0%
Georgia SouthernSun Belt Conference · rank 27014-188 to 20 wins8-102%3%3%14.90%0%0%
Cal State FullertonBig West Conference · rank 20715-199 to 21 wins9-131%2%2%13.80%0%0%
Northern ArizonaBig Sky Conference · rank 26013-218 to 18 wins8-122%3%3%14.70%0%0%
Loyola MarylandPatriot League · rank 32213-198 to 18 wins7-112%3%3%15.40%0%0%
San José StateMountain West Conference · rank 14116-1612 to 21 wins8-10<1%1%2%12.0<1%0%0%
Idaho StateBig Sky Conference · rank 26313-208 to 19 wins8-122%3%3%14.70%0%0%
Morgan StateMid-Eastern Athletic Conference · rank 36010-205 to 15 wins5-92%4%4%15.60%0%0%
TulaneAmerican Conference · rank 16918-1612 to 23 wins8-101%2%2%13.50%0%0%
LafayettePatriot League · rank 32414-209 to 19 wins7-112%3%3%15.50%0%0%
StetsonAtlantic Sun Conference · rank 30511-227 to 16 wins5-92%3%3%15.30%0%0%
BrownIvy League · rank 24613-178 to 18 wins4-101%2%2%14.80%0%0%
Eastern MichiganMid-American Conference · rank 22514-179 to 20 wins9-131%2%2%13.80%0%0%
Hawai'iMountain West Conference · rank 14817-1413 to 22 wins7-11<1%1%1%12.10%0%0%
Oral RobertsSummit League · rank 31011-207 to 16 wins5-92%3%3%15.20%0%0%
RichmondAtlantic 10 Conference · rank 13616-1711 to 22 wins6-12<1%1%1%12.1<1%0%0%
RiceAmerican Conference · rank 18816-1810 to 22 wins8-101%1%2%13.30%0%0%
DelawareConference USA · rank 27313-218 to 19 wins6-121%2%2%14.70%0%0%
Kansas StateBig 12 Conference · rank 11310-206 to 13 wins2-160%0%1%—<1%0%0%
Loyola ChicagoAtlantic 10 Conference · rank 14213-188 to 19 wins6-12<1%1%1%11.80%0%0%
Loyola MarymountWest Coast Conference · rank 18014-199 to 20 wins7-10<1%1%1%13.50%0%0%
UC RiversideBig West Conference · rank 23514-208 to 20 wins8-141%1%2%13.80%0%0%
LamarSouthland Conference · rank 27614-198 to 21 wins9-131%2%2%14.80%0%0%
BucknellPatriot League · rank 33111-236 to 16 wins7-111%2%2%15.70%0%0%
West GeorgiaUnited Athletic Conference · rank 31912-227 to 17 wins5-111%2%2%15.40%0%0%
PacificWest Coast Conference · rank 18914-199 to 20 wins6-10<1%1%1%13.3<1%0%0%
BellarmineAtlantic Sun Conference · rank 31712-217 to 17 wins4-101%2%2%15.40%0%0%
Weber StateBig Sky Conference · rank 28111-225 to 16 wins7-131%2%2%15.10%0%0%
HamptonCoastal Athletic Association · rank 27414-208 to 19 wins6-121%2%2%14.70%0%0%
Arkansas-Pine BluffSouthwestern Athletic Conference · rank 35710-226 to 15 wins7-102%3%3%15.60%0%0%
Utah TechBig Sky Conference · rank 28412-227 to 17 wins7-131%2%2%15.00%0%0%
Florida A&MSouthwestern Athletic Conference · rank 35511-236 to 16 wins7-112%3%3%15.80%0%0%
Central MichiganMid-American Conference · rank 24413-208 to 18 wins8-141%1%1%14.30%0%0%
Fresno StatePac-12 Conference · rank 16113-198 to 18 wins4-12<1%<1%1%—0%0%0%
Texas StatePac-12 Conference · rank 15415-1910 to 19 wins4-12<1%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
Coppin StateMid-Eastern Athletic Conference · rank 3629-246 to 14 wins5-91%2%2%15.80%0%0%
Long Beach StateBig West Conference · rank 24511-226 to 17 wins8-14<1%1%1%14.50%0%0%
East CarolinaAmerican Conference · rank 21615-1610 to 21 wins7-111%1%1%—0%0%0%
Alcorn StateSouthwestern Athletic Conference · rank 3598-254 to 13 wins7-112%2%2%15.80%0%0%
Indiana StateMissouri Valley Conference · rank 22211-206 to 16 wins6-14<1%1%1%—0%0%0%
San DiegoWest Coast Conference · rank 21913-188 to 18 wins6-10<1%1%1%—0%0%0%
IU IndianapolisHorizon League · rank 29713-217 to 19 wins7-131%1%1%14.90%0%0%
Washington StatePac-12 Conference · rank 17310-245 to 14 wins4-12<1%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
North Carolina A&TCoastal Athletic Association · rank 28713-198 to 19 wins6-121%1%1%14.80%0%0%
DenverWest Coast Conference · rank 21413-208 to 19 wins6-10<1%0%1%—0%0%0%
St. BonaventureAtlantic 10 Conference · rank 18314-199 to 19 wins5-13<1%<1%<1%—<1%0%0%
Sacramento StateBig West Conference · rank 25812-216 to 18 wins7-15<1%1%1%—0%0%0%
EvansvilleMissouri Valley Conference · rank 23812-217 to 17 wins5-15<1%1%1%—0%0%0%
UC DavisMountain West Conference · rank 20214-1910 to 19 wins6-12<1%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
PortlandWest Coast Conference · rank 23613-217 to 18 wins5-11<1%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
Ball StateMid-American Conference · rank 26013-208 to 18 wins8-14<1%1%1%—0%0%0%
SE LouisianaSouthland Conference · rank 29510-245 to 15 wins8-14<1%1%1%—0%0%0%
South Carolina UpstateBig South Conference · rank 30814-209 to 19 wins5-11<1%1%1%—0%0%0%
La SalleAtlantic 10 Conference · rank 19912-207 to 16 wins4-14<1%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
Houston ChristianSouthland Conference · rank 30413-208 to 19 wins8-14<1%1%1%—0%0%0%
Incarnate WordSouthland Conference · rank 30011-246 to 16 wins8-14<1%1%1%—0%0%0%
Cal State BakersfieldBig West Conference · rank 28311-226 to 17 wins6-16<1%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
Georgia StateSun Belt Conference · rank 31411-216 to 16 wins6-12<1%1%1%—0%0%0%
LSU New OrleansSouthland Conference · rank 31111-226 to 17 wins7-15<1%1%1%—0%0%0%
LouisianaSun Belt Conference · rank 32110-215 to 15 wins6-121%1%1%—0%0%0%
Western MichiganMid-American Conference · rank 29311-226 to 16 wins6-16<1%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
VMISouthern Conference · rank 33612-218 to 18 wins6-14<1%1%1%—0%0%0%
UTEPMountain West Conference · rank 26710-206 to 14 wins4-140%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
Western IllinoisOhio Valley Conference · rank 35611-227 to 15 wins4-121%1%1%15.60%0%0%
BuffaloMid-American Conference · rank 29910-235 to 14 wins6-16<1%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
Holy CrossPatriot League · rank 34810-245 to 14 wins5-13<1%1%1%—0%0%0%
Air ForceMountain West Conference · rank 2989-245 to 14 wins3-150%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
Chicago StateNortheast Conference · rank 3646-282 to 10 wins4-121%1%1%16.00%0%0%
Cleveland StateHorizon League · rank 3329-235 to 14 wins5-15<1%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
UTSAAmerican Conference · rank 3159-245 to 13 wins3-150%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
RiderMetro Conference · rank 3549-234 to 14 wins6-14<1%1%1%—0%0%0%
UL MonroeSun Belt Conference · rank 3387-244 to 11 wins4-14<1%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
NiagaraMetro Conference · rank 35810-225 to 15 wins6-14<1%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
Gardner-WebbBig South Conference · rank 3468-245 to 12 wins3-13<1%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
Northern IllinoisHorizon League · rank 3517-273 to 11 wins4-16<1%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
CanisiusMetro Conference · rank 3638-254 to 13 wins5-15<1%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
The CitadelSouthern Conference · rank 3618-264 to 11 wins3-17<1%<1%<1%—0%0%0%
Mississippi Valley StateSouthwestern Athletic Conference · rank 3654-301 to 9 wins4-15<1%<1%<1%—0%0%0%

Each of 20,000 simulated seasons draws every team's true strength around its rating (more spread for teams with few games), plays every remaining game, the conference tournaments (up to 12 teams, neutral floors) and the NCAA tournament, with the field picked and seeded by a model of the committee fitted on past seasons. Records include conference tournament games. How the simulation works.