Bryant Bulldogs
Next: at Quinnipiac · Thu 5 Nov, 7 PM ETProjected 69-78 · Game page
Makes the tournament12%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 15.4
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 15-19
Net rating−15.2Rank 316 of 365 · offence 325, defence 288
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 15-19 (10 to 21 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 8-8
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 14%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 12%
- Average seed if in the field
- 15.4
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field12%
- Round of 32<1%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | vs Sienarank 249 | Home | 43% | 63-65 | W 80-75 | Wrong |
| Thu 5 Nov7 PM ET | at Quinnipiacrank 251 | Away | 23% | 69-78 | Live | |
| Sun 8 Nov1 PM ET | vs Fairfieldrank 247 | Home | 49% | 73-73 | — | |
| Tue 10 Nov7 PM ET | at Providencerank 66 | Away | 1% | 62-88 | — |
Rooting guide
- Thu 5 Nov: at QuinnipiacA win: 13% · a loss: 12%+1 pts
- Sun 8 Nov: vs FairfieldA win: 12% · a loss: 12%0 pts
- Tue 10 Nov: at ProvidenceA win: 8% · a loss: 12%−4 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keegan HarveyF | 1 | 37.0 | 20.0 | 12.0 | 2.0 | −3.5 | −0.9 |
| Onyx NnaniF · transfer from South Florida | 1 | 35.0 | 13.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | −1.7 | +0.2 |
| Ty TabalesG | 1 | 33.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | −5.3 | −1.9 |
| Duane ThompsonF | 1 | 26.0 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | −2.6 | −0.3 |
| Roi BeharF | 1 | 24.0 | 13.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | −2.6 | −0.2 |
| Andre PashaF · transfer from New Haven | 1 | 19.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | −2.8 | −0.2 |
| Elijah HayeemsF | 1 | 19.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | −2.5 | −0.1 |
| Connor LyonsF | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | −2.1 | 0.0 |
| Elijah CrispinF | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −2.1 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 49.0%rank 315 | 49.9%rank 102 | 50.4% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 18.8%rank 250 | 18.1%rank 288 | 18.6% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 30.2%rank 325 | 30.8%rank 78 | 31.7% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 25.1%rank 220 | 27.1%rank 318 | 25.2% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 1.0 won, 0.4 expected (+0.6)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- +8.2 points a game (they shot 22.2%, league 32.3%)
- Opponents' free throws
- +1.1 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- 1-0
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −16.4
- Last season's net rating
- −21.2
- Last season's minutes returning
- 27%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −2.5
- Change since preseason
- +1.1
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 95.5 (rank 325)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 110.7 (rank 288)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 70.9 (rank 238)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- −9.3 (rank 199)
America East Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vermont | 0-1 | 0-0 | −10.8 | 96.9 | 107.6 | 267 |
| 2 | UMBC | 0-1 | 0-0 | −15.0 | 96.5 | 111.4 | 312 |
| 3 | Bryant | 1-0 | 0-0 | −15.2 | 95.5 | 110.7 | 316 |
| 4 | UMass Lowell | 1-0 | 0-0 | −15.3 | 97.4 | 112.7 | 319 |
| 5 | New Hampshire | 1-0 | 0-0 | −15.3 | 94.0 | 109.2 | 320 |
| 6 | UAlbany | 1-0 | 0-0 | −15.6 | 97.1 | 112.7 | 323 |
| 7 | Maine | 0-1 | 0-0 | −18.4 | 92.0 | 110.4 | 339 |
| 8 | Binghamton | 0-1 | 0-0 | −19.4 | 96.3 | 115.7 | 344 |
| 9 | NJIT | 0-1 | 0-0 | −20.1 | 94.5 | 114.5 | 349 |