Binghamton Bearcats
Next: at Saint Peter's · Thu 5 Nov, 7 PM ETProjected 65-75 · Game page
Makes the tournament5%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 15.7
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 13-19
Net rating−19.4Rank 344 of 365 · offence 314, defence 353
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 13-19 (8 to 19 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 6-10
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 4%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 5%
- Average seed if in the field
- 15.7
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field5%
- Round of 320%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | at Northwesternrank 61 | Away | 1% | 52-81 | L 60-86 | Right |
| Thu 5 Nov7 PM ET | at Saint Peter'srank 290 | Away | 22% | 65-75 | — | |
| Sun 8 Nov4 PM ET | vs Riderrank 354 | Home | 68% | 75-70 | — | |
| Wed 11 Nov7:30 PM ET | at Misericordianot Division I | Away | — | — | — |
Rooting guide
- Thu 5 Nov: at Saint Peter'sA win: 5% · a loss: 5%−1 pts
- Sun 8 Nov: vs RiderA win: 5% · a loss: 5%+1 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demetrius LilleyC | 1 | 31.0 | 11.0 | 13.0 | 0.0 | −3.6 | −0.8 |
| Dylan GodfreyF · transfer from UC Riverside | 1 | 26.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | −3.2 | −0.5 |
| Jake BlackburnG | 1 | 26.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | −6.1 | −1.9 |
| Jeremiah QuigleyG | 1 | 22.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | −3.0 | −0.4 |
| Jayden KelseyG | 1 | 20.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | −6.5 | −1.6 |
| Evan AsheG | 1 | 19.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −1.9 | +0.1 |
| Bobby Montgomery Jr.G · transfer from UTEP | 1 | 19.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | −4.5 | −0.8 |
| Jayden LemondG | 1 | 15.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −1.8 | +0.1 |
| Stephan SnaggF | 1 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −5.9 | −0.7 |
| Kofi PeytonG | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −1.5 | +0.1 |
| Joul KarramC · transfer from Utah Valley | 1 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −0.6 | +0.1 |
| Konstantin PopovicG | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −1.5 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 50.4%rank 213 | 52.2%rank 335 | 50.4% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 18.2%rank 103 | 18.0%rank 294 | 18.6% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 30.5%rank 307 | 31.9%rank 251 | 31.7% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 25.7%rank 102 | 25.5%rank 252 | 25.2% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.0 expected (0.0)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −6.9 points a game (they shot 40.0%, league 32.3%)
- Opponents' free throws
- +1.2 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −20.3
- Last season's net rating
- −24.9
- Last season's minutes returning
- 37%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −2.4
- Change since preseason
- +0.9
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 96.2 (rank 314)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 115.7 (rank 353)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 70.1 (rank 317)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +12.8 (rank 60)
America East Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vermont | 0-1 | 0-0 | −10.8 | 96.8 | 107.6 | 267 |
| 2 | UMBC | 0-1 | 0-0 | −15.0 | 96.4 | 111.4 | 312 |
| 3 | Bryant | 1-0 | 0-0 | −15.2 | 95.4 | 110.7 | 316 |
| 4 | UMass Lowell | 1-0 | 0-0 | −15.3 | 97.4 | 112.7 | 317 |
| 5 | New Hampshire | 1-0 | 0-0 | −15.3 | 93.9 | 109.2 | 320 |
| 6 | UAlbany | 1-0 | 0-0 | −15.6 | 97.1 | 112.7 | 323 |
| 7 | Maine | 0-1 | 0-0 | −18.4 | 91.9 | 110.3 | 340 |
| 8 | Binghamton | 0-1 | 0-0 | −19.4 | 96.2 | 115.7 | 344 |
| 9 | NJIT | 0-1 | 0-0 | −20.1 | 94.4 | 114.5 | 349 |