Rider Broncs
Next: vs New Hampshire · Thu 5 Nov, 7 PM ETProjected 70-71 · Game page
Makes the tournament1%From 20,000 simulated seasons
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 9-23
Net rating−21.4Rank 354 of 365 · offence 355, defence 342
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 9-23 (4 to 14 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 6-14
- Wins or shares the conference title
- <1%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 1%
- Average seed if in the field
- —
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field1%
- Round of 320%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | at Pittsburghrank 86 | Away | 3% | 54-78 | L 57-95 | Right |
| Thu 5 Nov7 PM ET | vs New Hampshirerank 320 | Home | 48% | 70-71 | Live | |
| Sun 8 Nov4 PM ET | at Binghamtonrank 344 | Away | 32% | 70-75 | — | |
| Wed 11 Nov7 PM ET | vs William Patersonnot Division I | Home | — | — | — |
Rooting guide
- Thu 5 Nov: vs New HampshireA win: <1% · a loss: <1%0 pts
- Sun 8 Nov: at BinghamtonA win: <1% · a loss: <1%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce BakerG · transfer from Charleston | 1 | 30.0 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | −5.4 | −1.8 |
| Ty BevinsG · transfer from G Washington | 1 | 24.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | −3.4 | −0.6 |
| Mark ButlerG · transfer from Lafayette | 1 | 24.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | −4.9 | −1.2 |
| Khalil FarmerG · transfer from UMass Lowell | 1 | 22.0 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | −6.5 | −1.7 |
| Stephen Avegah SemeyC | 1 | 16.0 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | −3.6 | −0.5 |
| Rich BriscoF · transfer from Akron | 1 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −2.9 | −0.2 |
| Kam WylieF | 1 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −3.6 | −0.4 |
| Richie RosaG | 1 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | −3.6 | −0.4 |
| JJ WashingtonG | 1 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | −3.5 | −0.3 |
| Segun Ezekiel ObeF | 1 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | −3.5 | −0.3 |
| Nasir WashingtonG | 1 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −3.5 | −0.2 |
| Horace Simmons Jr.F · transfer from Drexel | 1 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −4.9 | −0.2 |
| Bryce PresleyG | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −3.4 | −0.1 |
| Mikes ConnellyG | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −3.4 | −0.1 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 49.1%rank 307 | 51.2%rank 287 | 50.4% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 18.9%rank 263 | 18.1%rank 273 | 18.5% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 31.1%rank 260 | 31.4%rank 130 | 31.8% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 25.7%rank 104 | 24.9%rank 121 | 25.3% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.0 expected (0.0)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −16.8 points a game (they shot 53.8%, league 32.3%)
- Opponents' free throws
- −0.4 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −20.3
- Last season's net rating
- −23.8
- Last season's minutes returning
- 0%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −3.6
- Change since preseason
- −1.1
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 92.5 (rank 355)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 113.8 (rank 342)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 71.0 (rank 223)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +7.6 (rank 83)
Metro Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fairfield | 0-0 | 0-0 | −9.2 | 100.9 | 110.0 | 247 |
| 2 | Siena | 0-1 | 0-0 | −9.3 | 99.0 | 108.3 | 249 |
| 3 | Quinnipiac | 0-1 | 0-0 | −9.5 | 99.4 | 108.9 | 251 |
| 4 | Merrimack | 0-1 | 0-0 | −10.6 | 98.0 | 108.6 | 260 |
| 5 | Marist | 0-1 | 0-0 | −11.4 | 95.1 | 106.6 | 278 |
| 6 | Sacred Heart | 1-0 | 0-0 | −12.5 | 99.2 | 111.7 | 286 |
| 7 | Mount St. Mary's | 0-1 | 0-0 | −12.6 | 95.5 | 108.1 | 287 |
| 8 | Iona | 1-0 | 0-0 | −13.2 | 95.2 | 108.4 | 294 |
| 9 | Saint Peter's | 0-1 | 0-0 | −13.3 | 94.6 | 108.0 | 296 |
| 10 | Manhattan | 0-1 | 0-0 | −14.1 | 98.7 | 112.8 | 307 |
| 11 | Rider | 0-1 | 0-0 | −21.4 | 92.5 | 113.8 | 354 |
| 12 | Niagara | 0-1 | 0-0 | −22.4 | 91.1 | 113.5 | 358 |
| 13 | Canisius | 0-1 | 0-0 | −24.3 | 92.4 | 116.8 | 363 |