Saint Peter's Peacocks
Next: vs Binghamton · Thu 5 Nov, 7 PM ETProjected 75-65 · Game page
Makes the tournament6%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 15.2
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 16-16
Net rating−13.3Rank 296 of 365 · offence 340, defence 202
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 16-16 (10 to 21 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 11-9
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 8%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 6%
- Average seed if in the field
- 15.2
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field6%
- Round of 32<1%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | at Seton Hallrank 93 | Away | 7% | 55-74 | L 42-66 | Right |
| Thu 5 Nov7 PM ET | vs Binghamtonrank 344 | Home | 78% | 75-65 | Live | |
| Sun 8 Nov4 PM ET | at NJITrank 349 | Away | 54% | 71-70 | — | |
| Wed 11 Nov7 PM ET | at South Carolinarank 80 | Away | 3% | 59-81 | — |
Rooting guide
- Thu 5 Nov: vs BinghamtonA win: 6% · a loss: 6%0 pts
- Sun 8 Nov: at NJITA win: 6% · a loss: 6%0 pts
- Wed 11 Nov: at South CarolinaA win: 6% · a loss: 6%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce EatonG | 1 | 32.0 | 16.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | −1.6 | +0.2 |
| Xavier ThomasF | 1 | 27.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | −2.4 | −0.2 |
| Elijah PerkinsG | 1 | 26.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | −3.7 | −0.7 |
| Ken WalkerG | 1 | 20.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −2.2 | −0.1 |
| Jordan MathewsF | 1 | 19.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | −2.2 | 0.0 |
| Trey PattersonF · transfer from Rice | 1 | 16.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −3.7 | −0.5 |
| Shaedon SimpsonG | 1 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | −3.3 | −0.3 |
| Bourgeois TshiloboF · transfer from Weber St | 1 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −2.5 | −0.1 |
| Mason SantiagoG | 1 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −2.0 | 0.0 |
| Jonathan NoudjihidiC · transfer from UC Davis | 1 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −3.3 | −0.2 |
| Bryson WilsonG · transfer from Binghamton | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −4.4 | −0.3 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 48.6%rank 339 | 50.2%rank 133 | 50.4% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 19.3%rank 316 | 18.9%rank 96 | 18.5% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 31.8%rank 125 | 31.9%rank 243 | 31.8% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 24.6%rank 261 | 25.4%rank 235 | 25.3% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.1 expected (−0.1)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −2.6 points a game (they shot 36.8%, league 32.3%)
- Opponents' free throws
- +1.6 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −11.2
- Last season's net rating
- −6.7
- Last season's minutes returning
- 27%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −3.2
- Change since preseason
- −2.2
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 94.6 (rank 340)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 108.0 (rank 202)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 70.0 (rank 325)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +6.8 (rank 91)
Metro Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fairfield | 0-0 | 0-0 | −9.2 | 100.9 | 110.0 | 247 |
| 2 | Siena | 0-1 | 0-0 | −9.3 | 99.0 | 108.3 | 249 |
| 3 | Quinnipiac | 0-1 | 0-0 | −9.5 | 99.4 | 108.9 | 251 |
| 4 | Merrimack | 0-1 | 0-0 | −10.6 | 98.0 | 108.6 | 260 |
| 5 | Marist | 0-1 | 0-0 | −11.4 | 95.1 | 106.6 | 278 |
| 6 | Sacred Heart | 1-0 | 0-0 | −12.5 | 99.2 | 111.7 | 286 |
| 7 | Mount St. Mary's | 0-1 | 0-0 | −12.6 | 95.5 | 108.1 | 287 |
| 8 | Iona | 1-0 | 0-0 | −13.2 | 95.2 | 108.4 | 294 |
| 9 | Saint Peter's | 0-1 | 0-0 | −13.3 | 94.6 | 108.0 | 296 |
| 10 | Manhattan | 0-1 | 0-0 | −14.1 | 98.7 | 112.8 | 307 |
| 11 | Rider | 0-1 | 0-0 | −21.4 | 92.5 | 113.8 | 354 |
| 12 | Niagara | 0-1 | 0-0 | −22.4 | 91.1 | 113.5 | 358 |
| 13 | Canisius | 0-1 | 0-0 | −24.3 | 92.4 | 116.8 | 363 |