Coppin State Eagles
Next: at George Mason · Fri 6 Nov, 7 PM ETProjected 56-83 · Game page
Makes the tournament3%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 15.8
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 9-24
Net rating−23.2Rank 362 of 365 · offence 364, defence 334
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 9-24 (5 to 14 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 5-9
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 1%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 3%
- Average seed if in the field
- 15.8
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field3%
- Round of 320%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 3 Nov | at Virginia Techrank 68 | Away | 0% | 58-90 | L 54-88 | Right |
| Fri 6 Nov7 PM ET | at George Masonrank 89 | Away | 1% | 56-83 | — | |
| Mon 9 Nov11 AM ET | vs Cheyney (PA)not Division I | Home | — | — | — | |
| Thu 12 Nov6 PM ET | vs Bradleyrank 129 | Neutral | 7% | 63-81 | — |
Rooting guide
- Fri 6 Nov: at George MasonA win: 1% · a loss: 1%0 pts
- Thu 12 Nov: vs BradleyA win: 1% · a loss: 1%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan JohnsonG · transfer from Merrimack | 1 | 33.0 | 17.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | −4.9 | −1.7 |
| Favour AireC | 1 | 31.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | −7.0 | −2.7 |
| Camaren SparrowG | 1 | 24.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | −5.0 | −1.3 |
| Hussain WilliamsG | 1 | 20.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | −5.6 | −1.3 |
| Sven DjopmoG · transfer from Arizona | 1 | 18.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | +1.7 | +1.2 |
| Baasil SaundersG | 1 | 16.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −6.7 | −1.3 |
| Josiah BrownG | 1 | 16.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −5.8 | −1.1 |
| Jamari PiercyG | 1 | 15.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −5.5 | −0.9 |
| Tafara GapareF · transfer from Villanova | 1 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | +0.1 | +0.5 |
| Daveyon LydnerG | 1 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −6.9 | −0.7 |
| Malik ShacklefordG | 1 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −2.0 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 49.0%rank 302 | 51.3%rank 301 | 50.1% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 20.5%rank 359 | 19.4%rank 48 | 18.5% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 32.7%rank 77 | 33.5%rank 326 | 31.7% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 26.0%rank 112 | 25.7%rank 238 | 25.6% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.0 expected (0.0)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −12.2 points a game (they shot 46.4%, league 31.9%)
- Opponents' free throws
- +1.0 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −24.5
- Last season's net rating
- −29.4
- Last season's minutes returning
- 52%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- +0.4
- Change since preseason
- +1.3
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 89.9 (rank 364)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 113.1 (rank 334)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 71.6 (rank 122)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +12.0 (rank 59)
Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Howard | 1-1 | 0-0 | −6.3 | 103.9 | 110.1 | 203 |
| 2 | Norfolk State | 2-0 | 0-0 | −16.2 | 96.0 | 112.2 | 327 |
| 3 | Maryland Eastern Shore | 0-2 | 0-0 | −18.4 | 91.3 | 109.8 | 340 |
| 4 | South Carolina State | 1-0 | 0-0 | −18.5 | 94.0 | 112.6 | 342 |
| 5 | Delaware State | 1-1 | 0-0 | −18.9 | 91.1 | 110.1 | 345 |
| 6 | North Carolina Central | 0-1 | 0-0 | −20.2 | 92.6 | 112.9 | 350 |
| 7 | Morgan State | 2-0 | 0-0 | −22.6 | 93.5 | 116.1 | 360 |
| 8 | Coppin State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −23.2 | 89.9 | 113.1 | 362 |