Bradley Braves
Makes the tournament7%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 12.0
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 18-15
Net rating−0.5Rank 129 of 365 · offence 141, defence 136
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 18-15 (12 to 24 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 9-11
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 5%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 6%
- Average seed if in the field
- 12.0
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field7%
- Round of 321%
- Sweet 16<1%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | vs Monmouth (IL)not Division I | Home | — | — | W 85-41 | |
| Sat 7 Nov8 PM ET | vs Pacificrank 189 | Home | 75% | 77-69 | — | |
| Tue 10 Nov7 PM ET | at Davidsonrank 105 | Away | 25% | 68-76 | — | |
| Thu 12 Nov6 PM ET | vs Coppin Staterank 362 | Neutral | 93% | 82-63 | — |
Rooting guide
- Sat 7 Nov: vs PacificA win: 7% · a loss: 7%0 pts
- Tue 10 Nov: at DavidsonA win: 8% · a loss: 6%+2 pts
- Thu 12 Nov: vs Coppin StateA win: 7% · a loss: 7%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah WilliamsF | 1 | 26.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | −0.3 | +0.8 |
| Dietrich RichardsonG | 1 | 25.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | −0.5 | +0.7 |
| Trevon PaytonG · transfer from AR-Pine Bluff | 1 | 24.0 | 12.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | −1.7 | +0.2 |
| Xander AlarieF · transfer from Northeastern | 1 | 24.0 | 13.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | +0.1 | +0.9 |
| Josh IbukunoluwaF · transfer from High Point | 1 | 23.0 | 14.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | +1.6 | +1.5 |
| Ben ThornbrueF | 1 | 22.0 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | −0.1 | +0.8 |
| Kyle GrillG | 1 | 16.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | +0.6 |
| Max GaspaG | 1 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | +0.6 |
| Jackson SeastrunkG | 1 | 13.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | +0.1 | +0.5 |
| Gustavo GuimaresC | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | +0.3 | +0.2 |
| Dimitrije PavlovicG | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | +0.3 | +0.1 |
| Gus RugaardG | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −0.1 | +0.1 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 50.4%rank 135 | 50.4%rank 155 | 50.4% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 18.6%rank 156 | 18.6%rank 134 | 18.6% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 31.7%rank 128 | 31.7%rank 162 | 31.7% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 25.2%rank 131 | 25.2%rank 153 | 25.2% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −0.5
- Last season's net rating
- +4.4
- Last season's minutes returning
- 13%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −2.9
- Change since preseason
- 0.0
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 104.7 (rank 141)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 105.1 (rank 136)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 71.2 (rank 205)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- —
Missouri Valley Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Murray State | 1-0 | 0-0 | +6.3 | 107.4 | 101.0 | 97 |
| 2 | UIC | 1-0 | 0-0 | +5.2 | 107.5 | 102.3 | 102 |
| 3 | Northern Iowa | 1-0 | 0-0 | +3.8 | 105.9 | 102.1 | 111 |
| 4 | Belmont | 1-0 | 0-0 | +3.6 | 106.0 | 102.4 | 112 |
| 5 | Drake | 1-0 | 0-0 | +3.1 | 107.1 | 104.1 | 115 |
| 6 | Illinois State | 0-1 | 0-0 | +1.1 | 106.4 | 105.2 | 123 |
| 7 | Valparaiso | 1-0 | 0-0 | +0.1 | 104.4 | 104.3 | 126 |
| 8 | Bradley | 1-0 | 0-0 | −0.5 | 104.7 | 105.1 | 129 |
| 9 | Southern Illinois | 1-0 | 0-0 | −1.3 | 103.0 | 104.2 | 140 |
| 10 | Indiana State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −7.4 | 101.8 | 109.1 | 223 |
| 11 | Evansville | 1-0 | 0-0 | −8.5 | 99.6 | 108.1 | 238 |