Delaware State Hornets
Makes the tournament5%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 15.4
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 12-18
Net rating−21.2Rank 353 of 365 · offence 361, defence 330
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 12-18 (7 to 18 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 6-8
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 4%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 5%
- Average seed if in the field
- 15.4
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field5%
- Round of 320%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | vs Saint Vincentnot Division I | Home | — | — | W 86-52 | |
| Thu 5 Nov7 PM ET | at Navyrank 282 | Away | 18% | 63-74 | Live | |
| Tue 10 Nov6:30 PM ET | at Georgetownrank 71 | Away | 1% | 56-85 | — |
Rooting guide
- Thu 5 Nov: at NavyA win: 5% · a loss: 5%0 pts
- Tue 10 Nov: at GeorgetownA win: 4% · a loss: 5%−1 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nehemiah ReedusSG | 1 | 30.0 | 19.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | −3.3 | −0.7 |
| Nasir MuhammadPG · transfer from UAlbany | 1 | 25.0 | 18.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | −4.3 | −1.0 |
| Isaiah SullivanSG | 1 | 22.0 | 16.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | −3.2 | −0.4 |
| Joshua ObioraF | 1 | 20.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | −3.1 | −0.4 |
| Jalen St ClairG | 1 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | −6.6 | −1.4 |
| Muazibini AdamuF | 1 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | −8.0 | −1.7 |
| Anthony ParkerG | 1 | 16.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | −3.0 | −0.3 |
| Farouk MuntariF | 1 | 14.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | −3.0 | −0.2 |
| Dean ShepherdG | 1 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | −5.7 | −0.8 |
| Gideon EkukwaiF | 1 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −2.9 | −0.1 |
| Rahmir MooreG | 1 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | −5.7 | −0.6 |
| Nicholas Baysah Jr.G | 1 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | −2.8 | −0.1 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 50.4%rank 135 | 50.4%rank 155 | 50.4% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 18.6%rank 156 | 18.6%rank 134 | 18.6% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 31.7%rank 128 | 31.7%rank 162 | 31.7% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 25.2%rank 131 | 25.2%rank 153 | 25.2% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −21.2
- Last season's net rating
- −26.4
- Last season's minutes returning
- 32%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −0.7
- Change since preseason
- 0.0
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 91.8 (rank 361)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 113.0 (rank 330)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 70.4 (rank 291)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- —
Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Howard | 0-1 | 0-0 | −6.5 | 100.9 | 107.5 | 210 |
| 2 | Norfolk State | 2-0 | 0-0 | −16.2 | 96.2 | 112.4 | 330 |
| 3 | Maryland Eastern Shore | 0-2 | 0-0 | −18.1 | 91.5 | 109.6 | 337 |
| 4 | South Carolina State | 1-0 | 0-0 | −18.5 | 94.2 | 112.7 | 341 |
| 5 | North Carolina Central | 0-1 | 0-0 | −20.1 | 92.8 | 113.0 | 350 |
| 6 | Delaware State | 1-0 | 0-0 | −21.2 | 91.8 | 113.0 | 353 |
| 7 | Morgan State | 2-0 | 0-0 | −22.6 | 93.6 | 116.3 | 360 |
| 8 | Coppin State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −23.5 | 90.1 | 113.6 | 362 |