Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks
Next: vs Cheyney (PA) · Sat 7 Nov, 4:30 PM ET
Not rated: the opponent is outside Division I.
Makes the tournament8%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 15.8
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 12-21
Net rating−18.3Rank 338 of 365 · offence 362, defence 267
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 12-21 (7 to 16 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 7-7
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 7%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 8%
- Average seed if in the field
- 15.8
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field8%
- Round of 32<1%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | at Wake Forestrank 94 | Away | 2% | 53-78 | L 62-83 | Right |
| Wed 4 Nov | at High Pointrank 85 | Away | 1% | 60-88 | L 49-63 | Right |
| Sat 7 Nov4:30 PM ET | vs Cheyney (PA)not Division I | Home | — | — | — | |
| Tue 10 Nov7 PM ET | at Boston Collegerank 110 | Away | 4% | 58-79 | — | |
| Thu 12 Nov7 PM ET | at Rhode Islandrank 92 | Away | 2% | 58-81 | — |
Rooting guide
- Tue 10 Nov: at Boston CollegeA win: 10% · a loss: 8%+2 pts
- Thu 12 Nov: at Rhode IslandA win: 8% · a loss: 8%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bobby GardnerG | 2 | 31.5 | 18.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | −3.3 | −0.7 |
| Lucius Gibson-SavadelF · transfer from Sacred Heart | 2 | 29.0 | 5.5 | 7.0 | 0.5 | −5.2 | −1.6 |
| Saadiq MooreG | 2 | 27.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 | −3.3 | −0.6 |
| Isaiah GriffinG | 2 | 25.0 | 14.0 | 3.5 | 2.0 | −3.1 | −0.4 |
| Levi BeckwithSF | 2 | 20.0 | 2.5 | 5.0 | 0.5 | −6.1 | −1.4 |
| Gerlouis TokodyF | 2 | 18.5 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | −3.0 | −0.3 |
| Alvin ColeF | 2 | 16.5 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | −2.9 | −0.2 |
| Victor EzehG | 2 | 14.5 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 0.0 | −2.7 | −0.2 |
| Souleymane SyllaF | 2 | 10.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −2.6 | −0.1 |
| Roman CummingsF | 2 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | −2.1 | 0.0 |
| Israel HallG | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −2.0 | 0.0 |
| Ebenezer OgohC | 1 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −2.0 | 0.0 |
| Elson BerhanuF | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −2.0 | 0.0 |
| Da'Shawn Hall-JohnsonF | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −2.0 | 0.0 |
| Emmanuel Johnson IIIG | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −2.0 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 49.0%rank 314 | 50.1%rank 127 | 50.4% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 19.5%rank 332 | 19.6%rank 27 | 18.5% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 32.2%rank 102 | 29.7%rank 22 | 31.8% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 25.6%rank 116 | 27.2%rank 313 | 25.3% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.0 expected (0.0)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- +1.8 points a game (they shot 29.5%, league 32.3%)
- Opponents' free throws
- +1.5 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −20.7
- Last season's net rating
- −19.3
- Last season's minutes returning
- 7%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −0.2
- Change since preseason
- +2.4
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 91.6 (rank 362)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 109.9 (rank 267)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 69.7 (rank 342)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +7.4 (rank 85)
Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Howard | 0-1 | 0-0 | −6.6 | 101.0 | 107.5 | 211 |
| 2 | Norfolk State | 2-0 | 0-0 | −16.2 | 96.3 | 112.5 | 330 |
| 3 | Maryland Eastern Shore | 0-2 | 0-0 | −18.3 | 91.6 | 109.9 | 338 |
| 4 | South Carolina State | 1-0 | 0-0 | −18.5 | 94.3 | 112.8 | 341 |
| 5 | North Carolina Central | 0-1 | 0-0 | −20.1 | 92.9 | 113.0 | 350 |
| 6 | Delaware State | 1-0 | 0-0 | −21.2 | 91.8 | 113.0 | 353 |
| 7 | Morgan State | 2-0 | 0-0 | −22.6 | 93.7 | 116.3 | 360 |
| 8 | Coppin State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −23.6 | 90.1 | 113.7 | 362 |