Howard Bison
Makes the tournament53%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 14.6
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 24-10
Net rating−6.6Rank 210 of 365 · offence 221, defence 187
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 24-10 (19 to 28 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 12-2
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 77%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 53%
- Average seed if in the field
- 14.6
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field53%
- Round of 321%
- Sweet 16<1%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | at Yalerank 106 | Away | 13% | 62-76 | L 62-72 | Right |
| Thu 5 Nov7 PM ET | at Alcorn Staterank 359 | Away | 76% | 78-70 | — | |
| Mon 9 Nov6:30 PM ET | at Pennsylvaniarank 131 | Away | 23% | 71-80 | — | |
| Thu 12 Nov12 AM ET | vs Stetsonrank 305 | Home | 80% | 81-71 | — |
Rooting guide
- Thu 5 Nov: at Alcorn StateA win: 53% · a loss: 53%−1 pts
- Mon 9 Nov: at PennsylvaniaA win: 52% · a loss: 53%−1 pts
- Thu 12 Nov: vs StetsonA win: 53% · a loss: 53%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam GillusG | 1 | 38.0 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | −0.9 | +0.8 |
| James BrownC · transfer from North Carolina | 1 | 30.0 | 11.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | −0.1 | +1.0 |
| Alex CottonG | 1 | 29.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | −2.6 | −0.3 |
| Cedric Taylor IIIG | 1 | 24.0 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | +0.6 | +1.2 |
| Josiah LawsonF | 1 | 24.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −2.4 | −0.1 |
| Gasper KocevarC · transfer from Fresno St | 1 | 20.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | −0.9 | +0.4 |
| Drew HarrisF | 1 | 13.0 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | −2.0 | 0.0 |
| Jeremiah JohnsonG | 1 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −2.9 | −0.1 |
| Isaiah BrownG | 1 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −3.1 | −0.1 |
| Calvin Robins Jr.F | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −3.0 | −0.1 |
| BJ PowellG | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −3.4 | −0.1 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 49.5%rank 290 | 48.0%rank 9 | 50.4% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 17.9%rank 53 | 19.4%rank 42 | 18.6% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 34.5%rank 11 | 34.8%rank 357 | 31.7% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 23.1%rank 327 | 25.4%rank 244 | 25.2% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.1 expected (−0.1)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- +1.3 points a game (they shot 30.4%, league 32.3%)
- Opponents' free throws
- −3.9 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −7.5
- Last season's net rating
- −1.7
- Last season's minutes returning
- 65%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- +0.1
- Change since preseason
- +1.0
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 100.9 (rank 221)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 107.5 (rank 187)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 71.8 (rank 125)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +4.5 (rank 102)
Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Howard | 0-1 | 0-0 | −6.6 | 100.9 | 107.5 | 210 |
| 2 | Norfolk State | 2-0 | 0-0 | −16.2 | 96.2 | 112.4 | 330 |
| 3 | Maryland Eastern Shore | 0-2 | 0-0 | −18.2 | 91.4 | 109.6 | 337 |
| 4 | South Carolina State | 1-0 | 0-0 | −18.5 | 94.2 | 112.7 | 341 |
| 5 | North Carolina Central | 0-1 | 0-0 | −20.1 | 92.8 | 113.0 | 350 |
| 6 | Delaware State | 1-0 | 0-0 | −21.2 | 91.7 | 112.9 | 353 |
| 7 | Morgan State | 2-0 | 0-0 | −22.6 | 93.6 | 116.2 | 360 |
| 8 | Coppin State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −23.6 | 90.0 | 113.6 | 362 |