Stetson Hatters
Next: at West Virginia · Fri 6 Nov, 7 PM ETProjected 58-86 · Game page
Makes the tournament3%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 15.3
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 11-22
Net rating−14.0Rank 304 of 365 · offence 198, defence 354
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 11-22 (7 to 16 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 5-9
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 2%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 3%
- Average seed if in the field
- 15.3
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field3%
- Round of 32<1%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | at Clemsonrank 53 | Away | 1% | 52-82 | L 72-85 | Right |
| Tue 3 Nov | at South Carolinarank 82 | Away | 9% | 67-84 | L 55-81 | Right |
| Fri 6 Nov7 PM ET | at West Virginiarank 38 | Away | 1% | 58-86 | — | |
| Thu 12 Nov12 AM ET | at Howardrank 210 | Away | 20% | 71-81 | — |
Rooting guide
- Fri 6 Nov: at West VirginiaA win: 4% · a loss: 2%+2 pts
- Thu 12 Nov: at HowardA win: 2% · a loss: 2%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magnus EntenmannF · transfer from Kent State | 2 | 27.5 | 10.5 | 4.5 | 1.5 | −2.3 | −0.1 |
| Collin KuhlF | 2 | 26.5 | 18.5 | 5.5 | 1.5 | −0.9 | +0.5 |
| Thiago SucatzkyG · transfer from FIU | 2 | 22.5 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 4.5 | −3.3 | −0.5 |
| Alex DoyleF | 2 | 20.5 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | −4.2 | −0.8 |
| Sean MorganG | 2 | 19.0 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −5.8 | −1.2 |
| Makhi MylesF · transfer from SE Louisiana | 2 | 18.0 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −1.0 | +0.3 |
| Roman MillerG | 2 | 17.5 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | −2.5 | −0.1 |
| Daniel MacgregorG | 2 | 12.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | −3.6 | −0.3 |
| Finley SheridanF | 2 | 9.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −3.6 | −0.3 |
| Mason FuentesG | 2 | 8.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | −2.0 | 0.0 |
| Jean-Ernest Boyomo KeediF | 2 | 7.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −2.0 | 0.0 |
| Bankston PourchierF | 2 | 7.5 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | −2.0 | 0.0 |
| Isaac JonesG | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −5.0 | −0.2 |
| Miller McGowanG | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −5.4 | −0.1 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 52.1%rank 38 | 51.3%rank 292 | 50.4% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 17.6%rank 35 | 17.1%rank 356 | 18.6% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 30.8%rank 295 | 32.6%rank 289 | 31.7% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 24.3%rank 275 | 26.7%rank 303 | 25.2% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.1 expected (−0.1)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −0.8 points a game (they shot 33.3%, league 32.3%)
- Opponents' free throws
- −0.9 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −14.9
- Last season's net rating
- −14.5
- Last season's minutes returning
- 39%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −1.2
- Change since preseason
- +0.9
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 101.8 (rank 198)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 115.9 (rank 354)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 70.1 (rank 317)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +12.1 (rank 64)
Atlantic Sun Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Queens University | 2-0 | 0-0 | −2.6 | 110.4 | 113.0 | 152 |
| 2 | Florida Gulf Coast | 0-1 | 0-0 | −3.0 | 105.2 | 108.2 | 156 |
| 3 | Lipscomb | 0-2 | 0-0 | −3.1 | 102.2 | 105.3 | 159 |
| 4 | Jacksonville | 1-0 | 0-0 | −10.7 | 99.0 | 109.6 | 264 |
| 5 | West Florida | 1-0 | 0-0 | −11.0 | 99.2 | 110.2 | 272 |
| 6 | North Florida | 1-0 | 0-0 | −11.2 | 99.5 | 110.8 | 275 |
| 7 | Stetson | 0-2 | 0-0 | −14.0 | 101.8 | 115.9 | 304 |
| 8 | Bellarmine | 0-1 | 0-0 | −15.2 | 100.2 | 115.5 | 317 |