West Florida Argonauts
Makes the tournament6%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 14.9
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 16-18
Net rating−11.0Rank 272 of 365 · offence 263, defence 275
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 16-18 (10 to 22 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 6-8
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 5%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 6%
- Average seed if in the field
- 14.9
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field6%
- Round of 32<1%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | vs Southeastern Baptistnot Division I | Home | — | — | W 127-42 | |
| Fri 6 Nov5 PM ET | at Florida Internationalrank 213 | Away | 26% | 71-79 | — | |
| Mon 9 Nov6 PM ET | vs Baptist (Fl)not Division I | Home | — | — | — | |
| Thu 12 Nov7 PM ET | at Alabama A&Mrank 340 | Away | 55% | 74-73 | — |
Rooting guide
- Fri 6 Nov: at Florida InternationalA win: 6% · a loss: 6%0 pts
- Thu 12 Nov: at Alabama A&MA win: 6% · a loss: 6%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian MonroeG | 1 | 20.0 | 15.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | −2.0 | 0.0 |
| Eze WaliG · transfer from The Citadel | 1 | 19.0 | 18.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | −4.5 | −0.8 |
| Trajan ThompsonF | 1 | 19.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | −2.1 | 0.0 |
| Jordan SamuelF | 1 | 19.0 | 8.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | −2.0 | 0.0 |
| Rodrigo FariasG | 1 | 16.0 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −2.0 | 0.0 |
| Christian ValarezoG | 1 | 15.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | −1.9 | 0.0 |
| Isaiah AlexanderF | 1 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | −1.9 | 0.0 |
| Tim Hall Jr.F | 1 | 14.0 | 11.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | −1.9 | 0.0 |
| Alex Godley Jr.G | 1 | 14.0 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | −1.9 | 0.0 |
| DJ ShineG | 1 | 13.0 | 20.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | −1.9 | +0.1 |
| Jay KingG | 1 | 13.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | −1.9 | 0.0 |
| Hutson RoweG | 1 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −1.9 | 0.0 |
| Sano RutatikaF | 1 | 11.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −1.9 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 50.4%rank 135 | 50.4%rank 156 | 50.4% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 18.5%rank 155 | 18.5%rank 133 | 18.5% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 31.8%rank 128 | 31.8%rank 162 | 31.8% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 25.1%rank 133 | 25.1%rank 154 | 25.1% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Change since preseason
- —
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 99.2 (rank 263)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 110.2 (rank 275)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 71.4 (rank 171)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- —
Atlantic Sun Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Queens University | 2-0 | 0-0 | −2.6 | 110.4 | 113.0 | 152 |
| 2 | Florida Gulf Coast | 0-1 | 0-0 | −3.0 | 105.2 | 108.2 | 156 |
| 3 | Lipscomb | 0-2 | 0-0 | −3.1 | 102.2 | 105.3 | 159 |
| 4 | Jacksonville | 1-0 | 0-0 | −10.7 | 99.0 | 109.6 | 264 |
| 5 | West Florida | 1-0 | 0-0 | −11.0 | 99.2 | 110.2 | 272 |
| 6 | North Florida | 1-0 | 0-0 | −11.2 | 99.5 | 110.8 | 275 |
| 7 | Stetson | 0-2 | 0-0 | −14.0 | 101.8 | 115.9 | 304 |
| 8 | Bellarmine | 0-2 | 0-0 | −14.6 | 102.3 | 117.0 | 310 |