Alabama A&M Bulldogs
Next: vs Mississippi U for Women · Fri 6 Nov, 8 PM ET
Not rated: the opponent is outside Division I.
Makes the tournament7%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 15.4
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 16-18
Net rating−18.4Rank 339 of 365 · offence 331, defence 338
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 16-18 (10 to 21 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 9-9
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 7%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 7%
- Average seed if in the field
- 15.4
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field7%
- Round of 32<1%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | vs Oakwoodnot Division I | Home | — | — | W 90-57 | |
| Fri 6 Nov8 PM ET | vs Mississippi U for Womennot Division I | Home | — | — | — | |
| Mon 9 Nov9 PM ET | at DePaulrank 78 | Away | 2% | 58-84 | — | |
| Thu 12 Nov7 PM ET | vs West Floridarank 272 | Home | 43% | 72-74 | — |
Rooting guide
- Mon 9 Nov: at DePaulA win: 6% · a loss: 7%−1 pts
- Thu 12 Nov: vs West FloridaA win: 6% · a loss: 7%−1 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephaun WalkerF | 1 | 26.0 | 11.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | −3.3 | −0.6 |
| Bilal Abdur-RahmanG | 1 | 26.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | −3.7 | −0.7 |
| Sami PissisG | 1 | 24.0 | 15.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | −4.0 | −0.8 |
| Diovion FamakindeG | 1 | 22.0 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | −3.2 | −0.4 |
| Kevin PaulF | 1 | 19.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | −3.2 | −0.4 |
| Devin BrownF | 1 | 18.0 | 13.0 | 11.0 | 0.0 | −3.1 | −0.3 |
| Jalen CarruthG | 1 | 18.0 | 15.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | −5.6 | −1.1 |
| David MeriwetherF | 1 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | −3.0 | −0.2 |
| Devontes CobbsG | 1 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −3.0 | −0.2 |
| Javantae EdwardsG · transfer from Canisius | 1 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | −6.0 | −0.8 |
| Jayden JacksonG | 1 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | −3.0 | −0.2 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 50.1%rank 148 | 50.1%rank 155 | 50.1% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 18.5%rank 158 | 18.5%rank 136 | 18.5% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 31.7%rank 132 | 31.7%rank 172 | 31.7% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 25.6%rank 135 | 25.6%rank 161 | 25.6% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −18.4
- Last season's net rating
- −14.0
- Last season's minutes returning
- 39%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −2.2
- Change since preseason
- 0.0
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 95.1 (rank 331)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 113.5 (rank 338)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 70.5 (rank 261)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- —
Southwestern Athletic Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jackson State | 1-1 | 0-0 | −12.9 | 95.9 | 108.8 | 290 |
| 2 | Southern | 0-1 | 0-0 | −13.0 | 96.3 | 109.3 | 292 |
| 3 | Texas Southern | 0-1 | 0-0 | −14.6 | 98.3 | 112.9 | 310 |
| 4 | Alabama State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −15.9 | 94.7 | 110.5 | 322 |
| 5 | Bethune-Cookman | 0-1 | 0-0 | −16.0 | 95.9 | 111.9 | 324 |
| 6 | Grambling | 1-0 | 0-0 | −17.5 | 97.4 | 115.0 | 334 |
| 7 | Alabama A&M | 1-0 | 0-0 | −18.4 | 95.1 | 113.5 | 339 |
| 8 | Prairie View A&M | 2-0 | 0-0 | −19.7 | 94.4 | 114.0 | 346 |
| 9 | Florida A&M | 0-2 | 0-0 | −22.0 | 94.3 | 116.4 | 354 |
| 10 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 0-1 | 0-0 | −22.3 | 93.9 | 116.2 | 356 |
| 11 | Alcorn State | 0-2 | 0-0 | −23.0 | 94.7 | 117.8 | 361 |
| 12 | Mississippi Valley State | 0-0 | 0-0 | −29.1 | 88.9 | 118.0 | 365 |