Bethune-Cookman Wildcats
Next: at Texas Tech · Thu 5 Nov, 9 PM ETProjected 54-93 · Game page
Makes the tournament11%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 15.7
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 12-22
Net rating−16.0Rank 328 of 365 · offence 319, defence 315
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 12-22 (8 to 17 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 10-8
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 11%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 11%
- Average seed if in the field
- 15.7
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field11%
- Round of 320%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | vs Furmanrank 167 | Neutral | 23% | 63-72 | L 70-79 | Right |
| Thu 5 Nov9 PM ET | at Texas Techrank 10 | Away | 0% | 54-93 | — | |
| Sat 7 Nov8 PM ET | at Grand Canyonrank 70 | Away | 1% | 63-90 | — | |
| Wed 11 Nov5 PM ET | at San Diego Staterank 83 | Away | 2% | 64-89 | — |
Rooting guide
- Sat 7 Nov: at Grand CanyonA win: 10% · a loss: 11%−1 pts
- Wed 11 Nov: at San Diego StateA win: 11% · a loss: 11%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vuk BoskovicF · transfer from San Diego | 1 | 33.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | −4.5 | −1.4 |
| Mari JordanG · transfer from Radford | 1 | 29.0 | 22.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | −3.0 | −0.5 |
| Jameel MorrisG · transfer from Alcorn St | 1 | 28.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | −4.5 | −1.2 |
| Daniel JohnsonF · transfer from Hampton | 1 | 25.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | −2.6 | −0.2 |
| Kevin Patton Jr.G · transfer from New Mexico | 1 | 24.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | −1.0 | +0.5 |
| Jaylen JonesG · transfer from Jacksonville | 1 | 19.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | −3.1 | −0.4 |
| Quentin HeadyF | 1 | 18.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | −2.4 | −0.1 |
| IJ EzumaF · transfer from Southern Miss | 1 | 15.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −4.6 | −0.7 |
| Melian MartinezC · transfer from Louisiana Tech | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −1.3 | +0.1 |
| Connor TeasleyG | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −2.9 | −0.1 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 50.3%rank 217 | 50.9%rank 265 | 50.4% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 17.9%rank 67 | 18.2%rank 265 | 18.5% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 30.9%rank 285 | 31.8%rank 240 | 31.8% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 24.4%rank 264 | 28.1%rank 347 | 25.1% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.2 expected (−0.2)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −5.9 points a game (they shot 38.7%, league 32.3%)
- Opponents' free throws
- −2.3 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −15.8
- Last season's net rating
- −8.1
- Last season's minutes returning
- 24%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −10.4
- Change since preseason
- −0.2
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 96.1 (rank 319)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 112.1 (rank 315)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 72.1 (rank 88)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- −3.8 (rank 143)
Southwestern Athletic Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southern | 0-1 | 0-0 | −12.9 | 96.5 | 109.5 | 291 |
| 2 | Texas Southern | 0-1 | 0-0 | −14.5 | 98.5 | 113.0 | 309 |
| 3 | Alabama State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −15.7 | 94.9 | 110.7 | 324 |
| 4 | Jackson State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −15.9 | 93.8 | 109.7 | 327 |
| 5 | Bethune-Cookman | 0-1 | 0-0 | −16.0 | 96.1 | 112.1 | 328 |
| 6 | Grambling | 1-0 | 0-0 | −17.6 | 97.6 | 115.2 | 334 |
| 7 | Alabama A&M | 1-0 | 0-0 | −18.4 | 95.2 | 113.6 | 340 |
| 8 | Prairie View A&M | 1-0 | 0-0 | −19.7 | 94.5 | 114.2 | 346 |
| 9 | Florida A&M | 0-1 | 0-0 | −22.0 | 94.5 | 116.5 | 355 |
| 10 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 0-1 | 0-0 | −22.2 | 94.2 | 116.3 | 357 |
| 11 | Alcorn State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −22.5 | 92.2 | 114.7 | 359 |
| 12 | Mississippi Valley State | 0-0 | 0-0 | −29.1 | 89.1 | 118.2 | 365 |