Jackson State Tigers
Makes the tournament12%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 15.8
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 13-22
Net rating−15.9Rank 327 of 365 · offence 347, defence 263
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 13-22 (8 to 18 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 12-7
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 16%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 12%
- Average seed if in the field
- 15.8
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field12%
- Round of 32<1%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | at Texas Techrank 10 | Away | 0% | 51-89 | L 42-76 | Right |
| Thu 5 Nov7:30 PM ET | at Tulanerank 169 | Away | 12% | 68-82 | — | |
| Mon 9 Nov7:30 PM ET | at Mississippi Staterank 94 | Away | 3% | 66-89 | — | |
| Wed 11 Nov8 PM ET | at Southern Missrank 250 | Away | 22% | 69-79 | — |
Rooting guide
- Thu 5 Nov: at TulaneA win: 13% · a loss: 12%+1 pts
- Mon 9 Nov: at Mississippi StateA win: 12% · a loss: 12%0 pts
- Wed 11 Nov: at Southern MissA win: 12% · a loss: 12%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian McMillianG | 1 | 33.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | −3.9 | −1.1 |
| Mike WilliamsG | 1 | 31.0 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | −5.4 | −1.9 |
| Daeshun RuffinG | 1 | 26.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | −0.4 | +0.8 |
| Nikk WilliamsF | 1 | 21.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | −2.0 | 0.0 |
| Chip BruntG · transfer from N'Western St | 1 | 15.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −2.0 | 0.0 |
| AT ManyuonG | 1 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −1.8 | +0.1 |
| Ebo WilsonC | 1 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −6.3 | −0.9 |
| Delyle WilliamsG | 1 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −4.8 | −0.5 |
| Blake NettlesG | 1 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | −1.7 | +0.1 |
| DJ DavisG | 1 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −1.7 | +0.1 |
| Kobe ButlerF | 1 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −5.4 | −0.5 |
| Jayden WilliamsC · transfer from Incarnate Word | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −2.1 | 0.0 |
| Tamarion HooverG | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −4.3 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 49.0%rank 318 | 49.8%rank 100 | 50.4% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 20.7%rank 362 | 18.3%rank 250 | 18.6% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 30.5%rank 308 | 30.4%rank 57 | 31.7% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 24.4%rank 264 | 26.1%rank 286 | 25.2% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.0 expected (0.0)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- +8.1 points a game (they shot 23.3%, league 32.3%)
- Opponents' free throws
- +2.4 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −16.3
- Last season's net rating
- −21.3
- Last season's minutes returning
- 55%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −0.8
- Change since preseason
- +0.4
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 93.8 (rank 347)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 109.7 (rank 263)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 72.4 (rank 62)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +27.2 (rank 9)
Southwestern Athletic Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southern | 0-1 | 0-0 | −12.9 | 96.5 | 109.4 | 291 |
| 2 | Texas Southern | 0-1 | 0-0 | −14.5 | 98.5 | 113.0 | 309 |
| 3 | Alabama State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −15.8 | 94.9 | 110.6 | 324 |
| 4 | Jackson State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −15.9 | 93.8 | 109.7 | 327 |
| 5 | Bethune-Cookman | 0-1 | 0-0 | −16.0 | 96.0 | 112.1 | 329 |
| 6 | Grambling | 1-0 | 0-0 | −17.6 | 97.6 | 115.1 | 334 |
| 7 | Alabama A&M | 1-0 | 0-0 | −18.4 | 95.2 | 113.6 | 339 |
| 8 | Prairie View A&M | 1-0 | 0-0 | −19.7 | 94.5 | 114.2 | 345 |
| 9 | Florida A&M | 0-1 | 0-0 | −22.0 | 94.5 | 116.5 | 355 |
| 10 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 0-1 | 0-0 | −22.2 | 94.1 | 116.3 | 357 |
| 11 | Alcorn State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −22.5 | 92.2 | 114.7 | 359 |
| 12 | Mississippi Valley State | 0-0 | 0-0 | −29.1 | 89.0 | 118.1 | 365 |