Southern Miss Golden Eagles
Next: at Iowa State · Fri 6 Nov, 8 PM ETProjected 59-93 · Game page
Makes the tournament4%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 14.6
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 16-18
Net rating−9.5Rank 250 of 365 · offence 262, defence 234
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 16-18 (10 to 22 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 9-9
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 6%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 4%
- Average seed if in the field
- 14.6
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field4%
- Round of 32<1%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | vs Tougaloonot Division I | Home | — | — | W 82-35 | |
| Fri 6 Nov8 PM ET | at Iowa Staterank 9 | Away | 0% | 59-93 | — | |
| Wed 11 Nov8 PM ET | vs Jackson Staterank 327 | Home | 78% | 79-69 | — |
Rooting guide
- Wed 11 Nov: vs Jackson StateA win: 4% · a loss: 5%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac TaverasG | 1 | 22.0 | 12.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | +1.0 | +1.2 |
| Jalyke Gaines-WyattG · transfer from Hampton | 1 | 21.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | −2.4 | −0.1 |
| Anthony IgiedeG | 1 | 21.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | −2.3 | −0.1 |
| Cameron WallaceF · transfer from Little Rock | 1 | 18.0 | 11.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | −1.9 | 0.0 |
| Brandon WestonG | 1 | 16.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | −2.2 | 0.0 |
| Mike MontanoF | 1 | 15.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | −2.2 | 0.0 |
| Brewer CarruthG | 1 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | −3.7 | −0.4 |
| Chandler WattsG | 1 | 12.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | −2.1 | 0.0 |
| Max BlankC | 1 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −2.1 | 0.0 |
| Camden CereseG | 1 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −2.1 | 0.0 |
| Marcus OverstreetF · transfer from San José St | 1 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | −1.5 | +0.1 |
| Elliot TulipG | 1 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −2.0 | 0.0 |
| Dorion BowenG | 1 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | −2.0 | 0.0 |
| DeAndre HarveyG | 1 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −1.9 | 0.0 |
| Fallou DiagneC | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −3.9 | −0.1 |
| Brooks RobertsG | 1 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −1.8 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 50.4%rank 135 | 50.4%rank 153 | 50.4% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 18.6%rank 155 | 18.6%rank 133 | 18.6% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 31.7%rank 127 | 31.7%rank 162 | 31.7% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 25.2%rank 133 | 25.2%rank 152 | 25.2% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −9.5
- Last season's net rating
- −4.8
- Last season's minutes returning
- 15%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −3.3
- Change since preseason
- 0.0
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 99.2 (rank 262)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 108.7 (rank 234)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 72.4 (rank 62)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- —
Sun Belt Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | App State | 2-0 | 0-0 | −3.3 | 101.7 | 105.0 | 162 |
| 2 | Arkansas State | 1-0 | 0-0 | −4.0 | 101.0 | 105.0 | 171 |
| 3 | Marshall | 1-0 | 0-0 | −4.1 | 103.3 | 107.4 | 172 |
| 4 | Louisiana Tech | 1-0 | 0-0 | −4.2 | 104.2 | 108.4 | 174 |
| 5 | Troy | 0-1 | 0-0 | −5.8 | 100.7 | 106.5 | 194 |
| 6 | South Alabama | 0-1 | 0-0 | −6.5 | 102.1 | 108.6 | 208 |
| 7 | Old Dominion | 2-0 | 0-0 | −7.2 | 98.8 | 106.0 | 219 |
| 8 | Southern Miss | 1-0 | 0-0 | −9.5 | 99.2 | 108.7 | 250 |
| 9 | Coastal Carolina | 0-1 | 0-0 | −10.0 | 99.3 | 109.3 | 257 |
| 10 | James Madison | 0-1 | 0-0 | −10.7 | 100.2 | 110.9 | 265 |
| 11 | Georgia Southern | 1-0 | 0-0 | −10.8 | 98.3 | 109.2 | 270 |
| 12 | Georgia State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −15.2 | 96.1 | 111.2 | 314 |
| 13 | Louisiana | 0-1 | 0-0 | −15.3 | 95.2 | 110.6 | 321 |
| 14 | UL Monroe | 1-1 | 0-0 | −18.3 | 96.1 | 114.4 | 338 |