Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
Next: vs Texas A&M-CC · Fri 6 Nov, 8 PM ETProjected 68-70 · Game page
Makes the tournament1%From 20,000 simulated seasons
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 10-21
Net rating−15.3Rank 317 of 365 · offence 329, defence 283
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 10-21 (5 to 15 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 6-12
- Wins or shares the conference title
- <1%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 1%
- Average seed if in the field
- —
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field1%
- Round of 320%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | vs Akronrank 104 | Home | 21% | 63-73 | L 61-75 | Right |
| Fri 6 Nov8 PM ET | vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christirank 232 | Home | 44% | 68-70 | — | |
| Mon 9 Nov8 PM ET | vs Southern New Orleansnot Division I | Home | — | — | — |
Rooting guide
- Fri 6 Nov: vs Texas A&M-Corpus ChristiA win: 1% · a loss: <1%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamyron KellerG | 1 | 36.0 | 26.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | −4.0 | −1.2 |
| Trent Middleton Jr.G · transfer from NC A&T | 1 | 31.0 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | −2.4 | −0.2 |
| Dani PoundsF · transfer from Tennessee Tech | 1 | 30.0 | 15.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | −1.0 | +0.5 |
| Mekhi CooperG · transfer from Lindenwood | 1 | 26.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | −4.6 | −1.1 |
| Josiah HarrisF · transfer from Cleveland St | 1 | 23.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | −3.3 | −0.5 |
| De'vion LavergneG | 1 | 19.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | −3.0 | −0.3 |
| Mikhail DulkayF | 1 | 18.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | −2.4 | −0.1 |
| Jeremiah EvansF | 1 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −4.5 | −0.5 |
| Rahman OlajuwonF | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −2.0 | 0.0 |
| Derrick Florence IIIF | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −1.9 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 46.9%rank 361 | 51.7%rank 319 | 50.1% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 17.5%rank 37 | 18.9%rank 86 | 18.5% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 29.6%rank 343 | 33.1%rank 311 | 31.7% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 25.0%rank 245 | 27.9%rank 328 | 25.6% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.2 expected (−0.2)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −2.3 points a game (they shot 34.5%, league 31.9%)
- Opponents' free throws
- −3.1 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −14.4
- Last season's net rating
- −14.9
- Last season's minutes returning
- 30%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −5.2
- Change since preseason
- −0.9
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 95.2 (rank 329)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 110.4 (rank 283)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 69.4 (rank 348)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +5.0 (rank 93)
Sun Belt Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | App State | 2-0 | 0-0 | −3.7 | 101.3 | 105.0 | 165 |
| 2 | Arkansas State | 1-0 | 0-0 | −4.0 | 100.8 | 104.8 | 170 |
| 3 | Louisiana Tech | 2-0 | 0-0 | −4.1 | 104.1 | 108.2 | 173 |
| 4 | Marshall | 1-0 | 0-0 | −4.1 | 103.2 | 107.3 | 173 |
| 5 | Troy | 0-1 | 0-0 | −5.7 | 100.6 | 106.3 | 194 |
| 6 | South Alabama | 0-1 | 0-0 | −6.4 | 102.0 | 108.4 | 208 |
| 7 | Old Dominion | 2-0 | 0-0 | −7.1 | 98.7 | 105.8 | 219 |
| 8 | Southern Miss | 1-0 | 0-0 | −9.5 | 99.1 | 108.6 | 248 |
| 9 | Coastal Carolina | 0-1 | 0-0 | −9.9 | 99.2 | 109.2 | 253 |
| 10 | James Madison | 0-1 | 0-0 | −10.6 | 100.0 | 110.7 | 258 |
| 11 | Georgia Southern | 1-0 | 0-0 | −10.7 | 98.2 | 109.0 | 263 |
| 12 | Georgia State | 0-2 | 0-0 | −15.1 | 96.2 | 111.3 | 315 |
| 13 | Louisiana | 0-1 | 0-0 | −15.3 | 95.2 | 110.4 | 317 |
| 14 | UL Monroe | 1-1 | 0-0 | −18.2 | 96.0 | 114.2 | 338 |