Akron Zips
Next: vs Muskingum · Mon 9 Nov, 7 PM ET
Not rated: the opponent is outside Division I.
Makes the tournament32%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 12.2
Wins the national title0%Final Four <1% · projected 26-8
Net rating+5.1Rank 104 of 365 · offence 95, defence 110
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 26-8 (21 to 31 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 17-5
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 41%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 29%
- Average seed if in the field
- 12.2
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field32%
- Round of 324%
- Sweet 161%
- Elite Eight<1%
- Final Four<1%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
Rooting guide
- No games this week
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tahj StaveskieG · transfer from Incarnate Word | 1 | 38.0 | 16.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | −0.3 | +1.2 |
| Ty PenceG · transfer from Illinois St | 1 | 34.0 | 19.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | +2.4 | +2.8 |
| Evan MahaffeyF | 1 | 33.0 | 16.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | +3.2 | +3.1 |
| Zach HalliganF | 1 | 21.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | +0.1 | +0.8 |
| Buddy Hammer Jr.F · transfer from North Texas | 1 | 20.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | −0.2 | +0.7 |
| Colin WhiteF · transfer from Ohio State | 1 | 16.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | +1.0 | +0.9 |
| Kamrin OriolG · transfer from North Florida | 1 | 16.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | −0.6 | +0.4 |
| Chabi BarreF | 1 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | +1.3 | +0.8 |
| Marvin Musiime-KamaliF | 1 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | +1.1 | +0.3 |
| Tai PerkinsG | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −0.8 | +0.1 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 52.0%rank 44 | 47.0%rank 1 | 50.4% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 19.0%rank 273 | 17.7%rank 329 | 18.6% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 33.1%rank 51 | 29.6%rank 18 | 31.7% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 27.6%rank 30 | 24.7%rank 118 | 25.2% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 1.0 won, 0.8 expected (+0.2)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- +0.1 points a game (they shot 32.1%, league 32.3%)
- Opponents' free throws
- −0.8 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- +4.1
- Last season's net rating
- +13.2
- Last season's minutes returning
- 26%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −3.7
- Change since preseason
- +1.0
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 108.1 (rank 95)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 103.1 (rank 110)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 72.3 (rank 73)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- −15.4 (rank 256)
Mid-American Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miami (OH) | 1-0 | 0-0 | +5.1 | 109.2 | 104.0 | 103 |
| 2 | Akron | 1-0 | 0-0 | +5.1 | 108.1 | 103.1 | 104 |
| 3 | Toledo | 0-1 | 0-0 | −0.6 | 105.2 | 105.8 | 132 |
| 4 | Massachusetts | 1-0 | 0-0 | −0.9 | 103.4 | 104.3 | 134 |
| 5 | Ohio | 1-0 | 0-0 | −1.8 | 106.1 | 107.9 | 144 |
| 6 | Kent State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −3.8 | 105.2 | 109.0 | 168 |
| 7 | Bowling Green | 1-0 | 0-0 | −4.6 | 101.3 | 105.8 | 182 |
| 8 | Eastern Michigan | 1-0 | 0-0 | −7.5 | 100.8 | 108.3 | 225 |
| 9 | Central Michigan | 1-0 | 0-0 | −8.9 | 101.3 | 110.3 | 244 |
| 10 | Ball State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −10.6 | 97.3 | 107.9 | 260 |
| 11 | Western Michigan | 0-1 | 0-0 | −13.1 | 96.3 | 109.4 | 293 |
| 12 | Buffalo | 0-1 | 0-0 | −13.7 | 97.9 | 111.6 | 299 |