Eastern Michigan Eagles
Makes the tournament2%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 13.8
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 14-17
Net rating−7.5Rank 225 of 365 · offence 228, defence 216
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 14-17 (9 to 20 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 9-13
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 1%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 2%
- Average seed if in the field
- 13.8
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field2%
- Round of 32<1%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | at Coastal Carolinarank 257 | Away | 44% | 66-68 | W 71-70 | Wrong |
| Fri 6 Nov7 PM ET | at Xavierrank 33 | Away | 2% | 64-89 | — | |
| Wed 11 Nov6:30 PM ET | vs Great Lakes Christiannot Division I | Home | — | — | — |
Rooting guide
- Fri 6 Nov: at XavierA win: 0% · a loss: 1%−1 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohammad HabhabF | 1 | 34.0 | 34.0 | 13.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | +1.3 |
| Jaiden MartinG | 1 | 34.0 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −2.1 | 0.0 |
| Kaden JohnsonF | 1 | 28.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | −2.1 | 0.0 |
| Jabri FitzpatrickG · transfer from New Haven | 1 | 26.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | −1.0 | +0.5 |
| Braelon GreenG | 1 | 25.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | −3.3 | −0.5 |
| Kilian BrockhoffF · transfer from William & Mary | 1 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | +0.3 | +0.7 |
| Gregory Lawson IIG | 1 | 15.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −2.1 | 0.0 |
| DaCory PorterG | 1 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −1.6 | +0.1 |
| Aviv AronovG | 1 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −1.6 | +0.1 |
| Jordan WrightF | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −1.4 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 50.4%rank 212 | 49.2%rank 59 | 50.4% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 16.9%rank 8 | 19.1%rank 67 | 18.6% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 31.0%rank 272 | 31.9%rank 253 | 31.7% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 28.5%rank 13 | 23.4%rank 47 | 25.2% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 1.0 won, 0.4 expected (+0.6)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- +2.3 points a game (they shot 29.2%, league 32.3%)
- Opponents' free throws
- 0.0 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- 1-0
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −7.3
- Last season's net rating
- −6.5
- Last season's minutes returning
- 34%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −2.2
- Change since preseason
- −0.2
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 100.8 (rank 228)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 108.2 (rank 216)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 71.0 (rank 230)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- −10.0 (rank 204)
Mid-American Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miami (OH) | 1-0 | 0-0 | +5.1 | 109.1 | 104.0 | 102 |
| 2 | Akron | 1-0 | 0-0 | +5.1 | 108.1 | 103.0 | 103 |
| 3 | Toledo | 0-1 | 0-0 | −0.6 | 105.2 | 105.8 | 132 |
| 4 | Massachusetts | 1-0 | 0-0 | −0.9 | 103.4 | 104.3 | 134 |
| 5 | Ohio | 1-0 | 0-0 | −1.8 | 106.1 | 107.9 | 144 |
| 6 | Kent State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −3.9 | 105.1 | 109.0 | 170 |
| 7 | Bowling Green | 1-0 | 0-0 | −4.6 | 101.2 | 105.8 | 182 |
| 8 | Eastern Michigan | 1-0 | 0-0 | −7.5 | 100.8 | 108.2 | 225 |
| 9 | Central Michigan | 1-0 | 0-0 | −9.0 | 101.3 | 110.3 | 244 |
| 10 | Ball State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −10.6 | 97.3 | 107.9 | 260 |
| 11 | Western Michigan | 0-1 | 0-0 | −13.1 | 96.3 | 109.4 | 293 |
| 12 | Buffalo | 0-1 | 0-0 | −13.8 | 97.9 | 111.6 | 299 |