Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders
Makes the tournament5%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 14.8
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 16-18
Net rating−8.0Rank 232 of 365 · offence 265, defence 178
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 16-18 (10 to 21 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 11-11
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 3%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 5%
- Average seed if in the field
- 14.8
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field5%
- Round of 32<1%
- Sweet 16<1%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | at Texas Staterank 154 | Away | 29% | 63-70 | L 55-67 | Right |
| Fri 6 Nov8 PM ET | at Louisianarank 322 | Away | 55% | 70-68 | — | |
| Tue 10 Nov8 PM ET | vs Dallas Christiannot Division I | Home | — | — | — |
Rooting guide
- Fri 6 Nov: at LouisianaA win: 5% · a loss: 5%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Kent Jr.G | 1 | 27.0 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −2.0 | 0.0 |
| CJ WorshamF | 1 | 24.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | −2.0 | 0.0 |
| Daniel Michelini-JacksonG | 1 | 23.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −0.5 | +0.6 |
| Dan MukunaF | 1 | 22.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | −1.9 | +0.1 |
| Bin BasilF · transfer from Wagner | 1 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −0.9 | +0.3 |
| Bryson WheatfallG | 1 | 16.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −1.2 | +0.2 |
| Damarion WinstonG | 1 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | −1.8 | +0.1 |
| Khi WallaceF | 1 | 15.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | −1.8 | +0.1 |
| Beau BillingsleyG | 1 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | −1.7 | +0.1 |
| Isaiah LewisG · transfer from Long Beach St | 1 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | −2.7 | −0.1 |
| Sebastian RobinsonG · transfer from NJIT | 1 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −1.2 | +0.2 |
| Jordan MizellG · transfer from Tarleton St | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −1.5 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 50.2%rank 228 | 50.0%rank 121 | 50.4% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 19.0%rank 280 | 19.0%rank 73 | 18.5% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 32.8%rank 65 | 31.3%rank 119 | 31.8% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 24.8%rank 238 | 25.5%rank 250 | 25.1% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.3 expected (−0.3)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- +0.6 points a game (they shot 30.8%, league 32.3%)
- Opponents' free throws
- −0.5 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −7.3
- Last season's net rating
- −1.2
- Last season's minutes returning
- 15%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −4.9
- Change since preseason
- −0.7
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 99.1 (rank 265)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 107.1 (rank 178)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 70.2 (rank 307)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- −2.9 (rank 134)
Southland Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | McNeese | 1-1 | 0-0 | +5.7 | 111.0 | 105.2 | 99 |
| 2 | Stephen F. Austin | 1-0 | 0-0 | −3.2 | 102.3 | 105.5 | 160 |
| 3 | UT Rio Grande Valley | 1-0 | 0-0 | −5.6 | 101.8 | 107.4 | 193 |
| 4 | East Texas A&M | 1-0 | 0-0 | −6.4 | 99.4 | 105.8 | 205 |
| 5 | Texas A&M-Corpus Christi | 0-1 | 0-0 | −8.0 | 99.1 | 107.1 | 232 |
| 6 | Nicholls | 1-0 | 0-0 | −8.4 | 100.3 | 108.6 | 237 |
| 7 | Northwestern State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −8.5 | 99.0 | 107.5 | 239 |
| 8 | Lamar | 1-0 | 0-0 | −11.3 | 97.6 | 108.9 | 276 |
| 9 | SE Louisiana | 0-1 | 0-0 | −13.2 | 96.4 | 109.6 | 294 |
| 10 | Incarnate Word | 0-1 | 0-0 | −13.8 | 97.2 | 111.0 | 300 |
| 11 | Houston Christian | 1-0 | 0-0 | −14.0 | 97.1 | 111.1 | 304 |
| 12 | LSU New Orleans | 0-1 | 0-0 | −14.8 | 97.6 | 112.4 | 312 |