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Updated Thu 5 Nov, 8:24 PM ET

Scores, schedules and lines from ESPN; past seasons from sportsdataverse. Not affiliated with any team, league or bookmaker.

LSU New Orleans Privateers

Men's · Southland Conference · 0-1, 0-0 in conference · last L1

Makes the tournament1%From 20,000 simulated seasons
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 12-22
Net rating−14.8Rank 312 of 365 · offence 294, defence 318

Season outlook

From 20,000 simulated seasons
Projected record
12-22 (7 to 17 wins)
Projected conference record
7-15
Wins or shares the conference title
<1%
Wins the conference tournament
1%
Average seed if in the field
—
A 1 seed
0%
  1. Makes the field1%
  2. Round of 32<1%
  3. Sweet 160%
  4. Elite Eight0%
  5. Final Four0%
  6. Title game0%
  7. Champion0%

Schedule and results

Win chance and score as predicted before each game
DateOpponentWhereWin chanceProjectedResultPick
Tue 3 Novat LSUrank 59Away5%65-86L 57-100Right
Sat 7 Nov2 PM ETvs Loyola New Orleansnot Division IHome———

Rooting guide

Chance of the conference title now: <1% · the next 7 days
  1. No games this week

Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.

Players

Rating: points per 100 possessions with the player on the floor, against an average player · value: points a game added against a replacement
PlayerGamesMinutesPointsReboundsAssistsRatingValue
Kedrick OsbyF126.08.01.00.0−3.4−0.6
Marcus McDonaldG123.06.01.01.0−2.9−0.4
Kahlil SingletonG · transfer from Canisius122.06.00.00.0−4.0−0.8
Nick JonesG · transfer from Wagner122.03.02.00.0−1.9+0.1
Enzo BoudoumaF116.03.02.00.0−2.9−0.2
Solomon OminuF115.05.08.00.0−2.7−0.2
Cham OkeyG113.00.01.00.0−2.7−0.1
Yohandry OrtizG113.016.05.01.0−2.6−0.1
Alan ShiF112.03.05.00.0−2.6−0.1
Walter CampbellF111.02.01.01.0−2.6−0.1
Eze NwakammaF19.03.04.00.0−2.5−0.1
Sam ParsonG18.02.03.00.0−2.5−0.1
Kyran RatliffF · transfer from Louisiana17.00.02.01.0−4.7−0.3
Autrail Manning Jr.G11.00.00.00.0−2.30.0
Jonathan PaceC · transfer from Miss Valley St11.00.00.00.0−7.9−0.1
Jamal Chretien IIG11.00.00.00.0−3.80.0

Style and luck

Every team

The Four Factors adjusted for opponents

OffenceDefenceLeague
ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin47.4%rank 36250.5%rank 23950.4%
TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin18.3%rank 12418.3%rank 23618.5%
Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin31.6%rank 21232.6%rank 28331.8%
Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin27.8%rank 2423.4%rank 5325.1%

Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.

Luck so far

Wins against the pre-game chances
0.0 won, 0.1 expected (−0.1)
Opponents' three-point shooting
+6.2 points a game (they shot 25.0%, league 32.3%)
Opponents' free throws
−1.2 points a game
Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
None yet

Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.

Rating this season

1 game played · starts at the preseason rating · dashed line is an average team
−15−10−50+51 NovNow−14.8−15−10−50+51 NovNow−14.8
Preseason net rating
−11.0
Last season's net rating
−3.3
Last season's minutes returning
19%
Transfers in, weighted by minutes
−5.8
Change since preseason
−3.8
Offence, points per 100 possessions
97.6 (rank 294)
Defence, points allowed per 100
112.4 (rank 318)
Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
73.0 (rank 25)
Schedule so far, opponents' average
+13.1 (rank 58)

Southland Conference by rating

12 teams
#TeamRecordConferenceNetOffenceDefenceNational rank
1McNeese1-10-0+5.7111.0105.299
2Stephen F. Austin1-00-0−3.2102.3105.5160
3UT Rio Grande Valley1-00-0−5.6101.8107.4193
4East Texas A&M1-00-0−6.499.4105.8205
5Texas A&M-Corpus Christi0-10-0−8.099.1107.1232
6Nicholls1-00-0−8.4100.3108.6237
7Northwestern State0-10-0−8.599.0107.5239
8Lamar1-00-0−11.397.6108.9276
9SE Louisiana0-10-0−13.296.4109.6294
10Incarnate Word0-10-0−13.897.2111.0300
11Houston Christian1-00-0−14.097.1111.1304
12LSU New Orleans0-10-0−14.897.6112.4312