McNeese Cowboys
Next: vs College of Biblical Studies · Mon 9 Nov, 7:30 PM ET
Not rated: the opponent is outside Division I.
Makes the tournament51%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 12.9
Wins the national title0%Final Four <1% · projected 27-6
Net rating+5.7Rank 99 of 365 · offence 74, defence 137
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 27-6 (23 to 31 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 19-3
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 76%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 50%
- Average seed if in the field
- 12.9
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field51%
- Round of 326%
- Sweet 161%
- Elite Eight<1%
- Final Four<1%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | vs UABrank 171 | Neutral | 63% | 71-66 | W 99-78 | Right |
| Thu 5 Nov | at North Texasrank 98 | Away | 51% | 73-73 | L 67-77 | Wrong |
| Mon 9 Nov7:30 PM ET | vs College of Biblical Studiesnot Division I | Home | — | — | — |
Rooting guide
- No games this week
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah MooreG · transfer from Utah | 2 | 33.5 | 12.5 | 2.0 | 1.5 | −1.3 | +0.5 |
| Larry JohnsonG | 2 | 31.5 | 24.0 | 4.5 | 2.5 | +5.1 | +4.0 |
| Dellquan WarrenG · transfer from Mississippi St | 2 | 26.5 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 6.5 | −0.9 | +0.6 |
| Jaylon Dean-VinesG · transfer from Vanderbilt | 2 | 23.0 | 17.0 | 4.5 | 1.5 | +2.3 | +1.8 |
| Christian NituF | 2 | 23.0 | 9.0 | 6.5 | 2.0 | −0.8 | +0.5 |
| Jerrell ColbertF | 2 | 22.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | +1.6 | +1.4 |
| Alier MalukF · transfer from Florida St | 2 | 20.5 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | +1.0 | +1.1 |
| Corey ChestF · transfer from Ole Miss | 2 | 12.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | +3.3 | +1.2 |
| JJ RembertG | 1 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | +0.6 | +0.2 |
| Erik VillarrealG | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | +0.2 | +0.1 |
| MJ MadisonF | 1 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | +0.2 | +0.1 |
| Tyrease HunterG | 1 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | +0.2 | +0.1 |
| Nicholas DeVallG | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | +0.3 | +0.1 |
| Joe DeVallG | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | +0.3 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 52.5%rank 22 | 50.1%rank 125 | 50.4% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 17.7%rank 46 | 19.0%rank 72 | 18.5% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 34.6%rank 11 | 32.4%rank 269 | 31.8% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 25.0%rank 233 | 29.1%rank 358 | 25.3% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 1.0 won, 1.1 expected (−0.1)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- +0.7 points a game (they shot 31.2%, league 32.3%)
- Opponents' free throws
- −4.0 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- +5.2
- Last season's net rating
- +13.4
- Last season's minutes returning
- 31%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- +1.1
- Change since preseason
- +0.5
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 111.0 (rank 74)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 105.3 (rank 137)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 70.4 (rank 290)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +1.1 (rank 114)
Southland Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | McNeese | 1-1 | 0-0 | +5.7 | 111.0 | 105.3 | 99 |
| 2 | Stephen F. Austin | 1-0 | 0-0 | −3.2 | 102.3 | 105.5 | 160 |
| 3 | UT Rio Grande Valley | 1-0 | 0-0 | −5.6 | 101.9 | 107.5 | 194 |
| 4 | East Texas A&M | 1-0 | 0-0 | −6.4 | 99.5 | 105.8 | 207 |
| 5 | Texas A&M-Corpus Christi | 0-1 | 0-0 | −8.0 | 99.2 | 107.2 | 232 |
| 6 | Nicholls | 1-0 | 0-0 | −8.4 | 100.3 | 108.7 | 237 |
| 7 | Northwestern State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −8.6 | 99.0 | 107.6 | 239 |
| 8 | Lamar | 1-0 | 0-0 | −11.3 | 97.7 | 109.0 | 277 |
| 9 | SE Louisiana | 0-1 | 0-0 | −13.2 | 96.4 | 109.6 | 295 |
| 10 | Incarnate Word | 0-1 | 0-0 | −13.8 | 97.2 | 111.0 | 301 |
| 11 | Houston Christian | 1-0 | 0-0 | −14.0 | 97.2 | 111.2 | 305 |
| 12 | LSU New Orleans | 0-1 | 0-0 | −14.8 | 97.6 | 112.4 | 312 |