SE Louisiana Lions
Next: at Little Rock · Sat 7 Nov, 8 PM ETProjected 69-75 · Game page
Makes the tournament1%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 15.4
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 10-23
Net rating−13.3Rank 296 of 365 · offence 313, defence 256
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 10-23 (5 to 16 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 9-13
- Wins or shares the conference title
- <1%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 1%
- Average seed if in the field
- 15.4
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field1%
- Round of 320%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 4 Nov | at Auburnrank 19 | Away | 0% | 57-92 | L 59-92 | Right |
| Sat 7 Nov8 PM ET | at Little Rockrank 267 | Away | 31% | 69-75 | — | |
| Tue 10 Nov8:30 PM ET | at Ole Missrank 32 | Away | 1% | 57-87 | — |
Rooting guide
- Sat 7 Nov: at Little RockA win: <1% · a loss: <1%0 pts
- Tue 10 Nov: at Ole MissA win: 0% · a loss: <1%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler RolisonG · transfer from Nevada | 1 | 32.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | +0.1 | +1.2 |
| Logan SuberG | 1 | 27.0 | 9.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | −2.3 | −0.1 |
| Quincy AllenG · transfer from Bryant | 1 | 26.0 | 16.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | −2.6 | −0.2 |
| Ashley Sims IIF · transfer from Bryant | 1 | 23.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | −4.2 | −0.9 |
| Garrett ShoemakerF | 1 | 20.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | −3.8 | −0.6 |
| Jackson FurmanG · transfer from Army | 1 | 19.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −4.5 | −0.8 |
| Yanis NdjongaF · transfer from McNeese | 1 | 18.0 | 13.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | +0.6 | +0.8 |
| Gio SanfordG · transfer from Bryant | 1 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | −6.5 | −1.1 |
| Haki Muhammad IIG | 1 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −1.9 | 0.0 |
| Tybo BaileyG · transfer from East Carolina | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −3.6 | −0.2 |
| Daniel AkoueC · transfer from Bryant | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −4.7 | −0.2 |
| JJ MassaquoiF · transfer from UMass Lowell | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −2.7 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 48.4%rank 326 | 51.1%rank 292 | 50.1% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 18.2%rank 129 | 19.0%rank 73 | 18.5% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 33.2%rank 49 | 33.7%rank 333 | 31.7% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 24.5%rank 277 | 25.0%rank 122 | 25.6% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.0 expected (0.0)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −11.2 points a game (they shot 46.2%, league 31.9%)
- Opponents' free throws
- +2.6 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −15.2
- Last season's net rating
- −10.9
- Last season's minutes returning
- 3%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −8.1
- Change since preseason
- +1.9
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 96.1 (rank 313)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 109.5 (rank 256)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 70.5 (rank 261)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +21.8 (rank 14)
Southland Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | McNeese | 1-1 | 0-0 | +5.6 | 110.8 | 105.1 | 101 |
| 2 | Stephen F. Austin | 1-0 | 0-0 | −3.2 | 102.1 | 105.3 | 160 |
| 3 | UT Rio Grande Valley | 1-0 | 0-0 | −5.6 | 101.7 | 107.3 | 193 |
| 4 | East Texas A&M | 1-0 | 0-0 | −6.5 | 99.2 | 105.7 | 209 |
| 5 | Texas A&M-Corpus Christi | 0-1 | 0-0 | −8.1 | 98.9 | 107.0 | 232 |
| 6 | Nicholls | 1-0 | 0-0 | −8.4 | 100.1 | 108.5 | 235 |
| 7 | Lamar | 1-0 | 0-0 | −11.3 | 97.5 | 108.8 | 276 |
| 8 | SE Louisiana | 0-1 | 0-0 | −13.3 | 96.1 | 109.5 | 296 |
| 9 | Northwestern State | 0-2 | 0-0 | −14.0 | 95.7 | 109.6 | 300 |
| 10 | Houston Christian | 1-0 | 0-0 | −14.0 | 96.9 | 111.0 | 304 |
| 11 | LSU New Orleans | 0-1 | 0-0 | −14.9 | 97.3 | 112.3 | 314 |
| 12 | Incarnate Word | 0-2 | 0-0 | −18.5 | 91.9 | 110.4 | 341 |