Little Rock Trojans
Next: vs SE Louisiana · Sat 7 Nov, 8 PM ETProjected 75-69 · Game page
Makes the tournament7%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 15.1
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 15-19
Net rating−10.7Rank 265 of 365 · offence 266, defence 264
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 15-19 (9 to 20 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 7-9
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 6%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 7%
- Average seed if in the field
- 15.1
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field7%
- Round of 32<1%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | at VCUrank 60 | Away | 1% | 54-82 | L 72-82 | Right |
| Sat 7 Nov8 PM ET | vs SE Louisianarank 294 | Home | 70% | 75-69 | — | |
| Tue 10 Nov9 PM ET | at New Mexicorank 46 | Away | 2% | 63-88 | — |
Rooting guide
- Sat 7 Nov: vs SE LouisianaA win: 7% · a loss: 6%0 pts
- Tue 10 Nov: at New MexicoA win: 8% · a loss: 7%+2 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron ClarkG · transfer from Pepperdine | 1 | 33.0 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | −2.3 | −0.1 |
| Papa Amadou KanteF · transfer from Pitt | 1 | 29.0 | 13.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | −1.6 | +0.2 |
| Jah'Likai KingG · transfer from UMBC | 1 | 25.0 | 27.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | −1.4 | +0.3 |
| Tyrese LaceyG | 1 | 24.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | −2.9 | −0.3 |
| Bradyn HubbardF · transfer from Abilene Chrstn | 1 | 23.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | −0.5 | +0.6 |
| Cameron BrownG | 1 | 23.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −2.9 | −0.3 |
| Taj WaltersG · transfer from N Illinois | 1 | 16.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | −3.5 | −0.4 |
| Jalen LynG | 1 | 13.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −2.6 | −0.1 |
| Jamai FeltF · transfer from Temple | 1 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −1.0 | +0.1 |
| Ayomide BamisileF · transfer from UL Monroe | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −5.6 | −0.2 |
| AJ EconomouG · transfer from Hawai'i | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −2.5 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 50.6%rank 117 | 49.0%rank 48 | 50.4% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 18.8%rank 256 | 18.9%rank 89 | 18.5% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 33.4%rank 39 | 32.8%rank 296 | 31.8% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 26.3%rank 70 | 30.8%rank 364 | 25.1% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.0 expected (0.0)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- +0.2 points a game (they shot 32.0%, league 32.3%)
- Opponents' free throws
- −0.9 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −14.4
- Last season's net rating
- −13.8
- Last season's minutes returning
- 2%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −6.0
- Change since preseason
- +3.7
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 99.0 (rank 266)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 109.8 (rank 264)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 71.1 (rank 210)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +12.8 (rank 59)
United Athletic Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Central Arkansas | 1-0 | 0-0 | −2.5 | 103.6 | 106.2 | 150 |
| 2 | UT Arlington | 1-0 | 0-0 | −6.0 | 101.0 | 107.1 | 198 |
| 3 | Austin Peay | 1-0 | 0-0 | −7.1 | 101.0 | 108.0 | 217 |
| 4 | Abilene Christian | 0-1 | 0-0 | −9.5 | 99.0 | 108.5 | 252 |
| 5 | Tarleton State | 1-0 | 0-0 | −9.5 | 98.5 | 108.0 | 253 |
| 6 | Little Rock | 0-1 | 0-0 | −10.7 | 99.0 | 109.8 | 265 |
| 7 | Eastern Kentucky | 1-0 | 0-0 | −10.9 | 100.8 | 111.7 | 271 |
| 8 | North Alabama | 1-0 | 0-0 | −11.5 | 98.4 | 109.8 | 278 |
| 9 | West Georgia | 0-1 | 0-0 | −15.3 | 95.1 | 110.3 | 318 |