West Georgia Wolves
Next: at Loyola Chicago · Thu 5 Nov, 8 PM ETProjected 65-80 · Game page
Makes the tournament2%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 15.4
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 12-22
Net rating−15.3Rank 319 of 365 · offence 336, defence 278
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 12-22 (7 to 17 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 5-11
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 1%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 2%
- Average seed if in the field
- 15.4
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field2%
- Round of 32<1%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | at DePaulrank 77 | Away | 3% | 56-80 | L 58-75 | Right |
| Thu 5 Nov8 PM ET | at Loyola Chicagorank 142 | Away | 10% | 65-80 | — | |
| Wed 11 Nov7 PM ET | vs UNC Ashevillerank 256 | Home | 49% | 74-75 | — |
Rooting guide
- Thu 5 Nov: at Loyola ChicagoA win: 2% · a loss: 1%+1 pts
- Wed 11 Nov: vs UNC AshevilleA win: 1% · a loss: 1%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chas LewlessG | 1 | 29.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | −4.0 | −1.0 |
| Juaquin DixonG | 1 | 29.0 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | −2.7 | −0.3 |
| Lou Hutchinson IIIG · transfer from Alabama A&M | 1 | 23.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | −5.0 | −1.2 |
| Kenneth ChimePF | 1 | 21.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | −2.5 | −0.2 |
| Amir WilliamsG · transfer from Hofstra | 1 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −1.5 | +0.2 |
| Marshal DestremauF · transfer from UT Rio Grande | 1 | 19.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −1.3 | +0.3 |
| Justin RedmondG · transfer from N'Western St | 1 | 18.0 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | −3.0 | −0.3 |
| David SimonF · transfer from Vermont | 1 | 17.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | −2.4 | −0.1 |
| Xavier ShegogF | 1 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −5.6 | −0.8 |
| Aleix SempereF | 1 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | −2.2 | 0.0 |
| Max YoungG | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −4.7 | −0.1 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 49.4%rank 293 | 48.8%rank 38 | 50.4% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 17.8%rank 44 | 18.4%rank 232 | 18.6% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 30.9%rank 280 | 29.4%rank 12 | 31.7% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 22.0%rank 357 | 27.5%rank 330 | 25.2% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.0 expected (0.0)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- +10.0 points a game (they shot 21.9%, league 32.3%)
- Opponents' free throws
- −3.3 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −15.5
- Last season's net rating
- −12.6
- Last season's minutes returning
- 19%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −1.9
- Change since preseason
- +0.2
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 95.0 (rank 336)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 110.3 (rank 278)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 72.4 (rank 62)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +10.0 (rank 75)
United Athletic Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Central Arkansas | 1-0 | 0-0 | −2.5 | 103.6 | 106.1 | 150 |
| 2 | UT Arlington | 1-0 | 0-0 | −6.0 | 101.0 | 107.0 | 197 |
| 3 | Austin Peay | 1-0 | 0-0 | −7.1 | 100.9 | 108.0 | 217 |
| 4 | Tarleton State | 1-0 | 0-0 | −9.5 | 98.4 | 107.9 | 251 |
| 5 | Abilene Christian | 0-1 | 0-0 | −9.5 | 98.9 | 108.5 | 253 |
| 6 | Little Rock | 0-1 | 0-0 | −10.7 | 99.0 | 109.7 | 266 |
| 7 | Eastern Kentucky | 1-0 | 0-0 | −10.9 | 100.7 | 111.6 | 271 |
| 8 | North Alabama | 1-0 | 0-0 | −11.5 | 98.3 | 109.8 | 278 |
| 9 | West Georgia | 0-1 | 0-0 | −15.3 | 95.0 | 110.3 | 319 |