Houston Christian Huskies
Next: at W Illinois · Sat 7 Nov, 7 PM ETProjected 73-71 · Game page
Makes the tournament1%From 20,000 simulated seasons
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 13-20
Net rating−14.0Rank 305 of 365 · offence 304, defence 296
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 13-20 (8 to 20 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 8-14
- Wins or shares the conference title
- <1%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 1%
- Average seed if in the field
- —
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field1%
- Round of 320%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 3 Nov | vs Louisiana Christiannot Division I | Home | — | — | W 108-45 | |
| Sat 7 Nov7 PM ET | at Western Illinoisrank 356 | Away | 57% | 73-71 | — | |
| Tue 10 Nov8 PM ET | at South Dakotarank 289 | Away | 33% | 74-79 | — |
Rooting guide
- Sat 7 Nov: at Western IllinoisA win: <1% · a loss: <1%0 pts
- Tue 10 Nov: at South DakotaA win: <1% · a loss: <1%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max AlexanderPG | 1 | 22.0 | 19.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | −2.6 | −0.2 |
| Chris MubiruG · transfer from N'Western St | 1 | 20.0 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | −2.7 | −0.2 |
| Mambourou MaraF | 1 | 20.0 | 12.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | −2.2 | −0.1 |
| Kris KeinysF | 1 | 19.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | −2.6 | −0.2 |
| D'Aundre SamuelsG | 1 | 16.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | −2.4 | −0.1 |
| Jonas NicholsG | 1 | 15.0 | 16.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | −2.5 | −0.1 |
| Shawn Simmons IIF · transfer from UMass Lowell | 1 | 15.0 | 9.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | −3.1 | −0.3 |
| Bubz AlvarezG · transfer from S Dakota St | 1 | 15.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | −2.3 | −0.1 |
| Aiden MillerF · transfer from IU Indy | 1 | 14.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −3.6 | −0.4 |
| Esyah Pippa-WhiteG · transfer from Milwaukee | 1 | 13.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −4.4 | −0.5 |
| Kam ClarkG · transfer from Queens | 1 | 13.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −3.8 | −0.4 |
| Malone GrosPG | 1 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | −2.4 | −0.1 |
| King AndersonPG | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −2.2 | 0.0 |
| Jordan PapeF | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | −2.2 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 50.4%rank 135 | 50.4%rank 155 | 50.4% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 18.5%rank 156 | 18.5%rank 135 | 18.5% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 31.8%rank 128 | 31.8%rank 161 | 31.8% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 25.3%rank 133 | 25.3%rank 155 | 25.3% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −14.0
- Last season's net rating
- −11.4
- Last season's minutes returning
- 20%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −4.8
- Change since preseason
- 0.0
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 97.2 (rank 304)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 111.2 (rank 296)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 70.1 (rank 316)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- —
Southland Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | McNeese | 1-1 | 0-0 | +5.7 | 111.0 | 105.3 | 99 |
| 2 | Stephen F. Austin | 1-0 | 0-0 | −3.2 | 102.3 | 105.5 | 160 |
| 3 | UT Rio Grande Valley | 1-0 | 0-0 | −5.6 | 101.9 | 107.5 | 194 |
| 4 | East Texas A&M | 1-0 | 0-0 | −6.4 | 99.5 | 105.8 | 207 |
| 5 | Texas A&M-Corpus Christi | 0-1 | 0-0 | −8.0 | 99.2 | 107.2 | 232 |
| 6 | Nicholls | 1-0 | 0-0 | −8.4 | 100.3 | 108.7 | 237 |
| 7 | Northwestern State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −8.6 | 99.0 | 107.6 | 239 |
| 8 | Lamar | 1-0 | 0-0 | −11.3 | 97.7 | 109.0 | 277 |
| 9 | SE Louisiana | 0-1 | 0-0 | −13.2 | 96.4 | 109.6 | 295 |
| 10 | Incarnate Word | 0-1 | 0-0 | −13.8 | 97.2 | 111.0 | 301 |
| 11 | Houston Christian | 1-0 | 0-0 | −14.0 | 97.2 | 111.2 | 305 |
| 12 | LSU New Orleans | 0-1 | 0-0 | −14.8 | 97.6 | 112.4 | 312 |