Georgia Southern Eagles
Next: at Georgia Tech · Fri 6 Nov, 7 PM ETProjected 65-84 · Game page
Makes the tournament3%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 14.9
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 14-18
Net rating−10.7Rank 263 of 365 · offence 285, defence 246
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 14-18 (8 to 20 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 8-10
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 2%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 3%
- Average seed if in the field
- 14.9
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field3%
- Round of 32<1%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | vs Ball Staterank 262 | Home | 63% | 69-65 | W 67-55 | Right |
| Fri 6 Nov7 PM ET | at Georgia Techrank 88 | Away | 5% | 65-84 | — | |
| Tue 10 Nov7 PM ET | vs Mercerrank 257 | Home | 62% | 78-75 | — |
Rooting guide
- Fri 6 Nov: at Georgia TechA win: 3% · a loss: 2%+1 pts
- Tue 10 Nov: vs MercerA win: 2% · a loss: 2%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Truman Claytor IVF · transfer from Little Rock | 1 | 33.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | −4.2 | −1.2 |
| Eltramon SmithF · transfer from SF Austin | 1 | 30.0 | 24.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | −1.6 | +0.2 |
| Dallas GardnerG | 1 | 28.0 | 13.0 | 13.0 | 2.0 | −1.4 | +0.3 |
| Rashaad WilliamsG | 1 | 27.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | −1.5 | +0.3 |
| Jayden WilliamsG | 1 | 22.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | −4.0 | −0.8 |
| Elidjah SavaneF | 1 | 19.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | −1.2 | +0.3 |
| Josh DixonG · transfer from Milwaukee | 1 | 18.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | −1.8 | +0.1 |
| Cole CrissmanF | 1 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | −1.0 | +0.2 |
| Elton JamesF | 1 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −0.9 | +0.2 |
| Jeromy DavisG | 1 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −0.9 | +0.1 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 48.3%rank 333 | 47.8%rank 18 | 50.1% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 18.2%rank 117 | 18.6%rank 123 | 18.5% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 29.9%rank 335 | 33.0%rank 303 | 31.7% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 27.6%rank 49 | 26.9%rank 289 | 25.6% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 1.0 won, 0.6 expected (+0.4)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- +20.4 points a game (they shot 13.5%, league 31.9%)
- Opponents' free throws
- −0.7 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −10.7
- Last season's net rating
- −6.3
- Last season's minutes returning
- 13%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −1.6
- Change since preseason
- 0.0
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 98.2 (rank 285)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 109.0 (rank 246)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 72.3 (rank 54)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- −10.7 (rank 212)
Sun Belt Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | App State | 2-0 | 0-0 | −3.7 | 101.3 | 105.0 | 165 |
| 2 | Arkansas State | 1-0 | 0-0 | −4.0 | 100.8 | 104.8 | 170 |
| 3 | Louisiana Tech | 2-0 | 0-0 | −4.1 | 104.1 | 108.2 | 173 |
| 4 | Marshall | 1-0 | 0-0 | −4.1 | 103.2 | 107.3 | 173 |
| 5 | Troy | 0-1 | 0-0 | −5.7 | 100.6 | 106.3 | 194 |
| 6 | South Alabama | 0-1 | 0-0 | −6.4 | 102.0 | 108.4 | 208 |
| 7 | Old Dominion | 2-0 | 0-0 | −7.1 | 98.7 | 105.8 | 219 |
| 8 | Southern Miss | 1-0 | 0-0 | −9.5 | 99.1 | 108.6 | 248 |
| 9 | Coastal Carolina | 0-1 | 0-0 | −9.9 | 99.2 | 109.2 | 253 |
| 10 | James Madison | 0-1 | 0-0 | −10.6 | 100.0 | 110.7 | 258 |
| 11 | Georgia Southern | 1-0 | 0-0 | −10.7 | 98.2 | 109.0 | 263 |
| 12 | Georgia State | 0-2 | 0-0 | −15.1 | 96.2 | 111.3 | 315 |
| 13 | Louisiana | 0-1 | 0-0 | −15.3 | 95.2 | 110.4 | 317 |
| 14 | UL Monroe | 1-1 | 0-0 | −18.2 | 96.0 | 114.2 | 338 |