Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

Men's · Atlantic Coast Conference · 1-0, 0-0 in conference · last W1

Next: vs GA Southern · Fri 6 Nov, 7 PM ET

GA Southern5%95%Georgia Tech

Projected 85-65 · Game page

Makes the tournament9%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 9.0

Wins the national title0%Final Four <1% · projected 17-16

Net rating+7.6Rank 89 of 365 · offence 115, defence 53

Season outlook

From 20,000 simulated seasons

Projected record: 17-16 (12 to 22 wins)
Projected conference record: 6-12
Wins or shares the conference title: <1%
Wins the conference tournament: <1%
Average seed if in the field: 9.0
A 1 seed: 0%

Makes the field9%
Round of 323%
Sweet 16<1%
Elite Eight<1%
Final Four<1%
Title game0%
Champion0%

Schedule and results

Win chance and score as predicted before each game

Date	Opponent	Where	Win chance	Projected	Result	Pick
Tue 3 Nov	vs Hamptonrank 274	Home	90%	83-67	W 75-55	Right
Fri 6 Nov7 PM ET	vs Georgia Southernrank 270	Home	95%	85-65	—
Tue 10 Nov7 PM ET	vs Eastern Kentuckyrank 271	Home	94%	86-66	—

Rooting guide

Chance of making the NCAA tournament now: 9% · the next 7 days

Fri 6 Nov: vs Georgia SouthernA win: 9% · a loss: 9%0 pts
Tue 10 Nov: vs Eastern KentuckyA win: 9% · a loss: 8%0 pts

Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.

Players

Rating: points per 100 possessions with the player on the floor, against an average player · value: points a game added against a replacement

Player	Games	Minutes	Points	Rebounds	Assists	Rating	Value
Tylis JordanF	1	31.0	9.0	8.0	1.0	−0.1	+1.1
Colby GarlandG · transfer from San José St	1	29.0	16.0	4.0	4.0	+3.6	+3.0
Kam CraftG	1	27.0	12.0	4.0	2.0	+0.8	+1.4
Jackson FieldsF · transfer from West Virginia	1	21.0	10.0	6.0	0.0	+3.2	+2.0
Cole KirouacC	1	20.0	5.0	10.0	2.0	+0.2	+0.8
Nasir WhitlockG · transfer from Lehigh	1	20.0	4.0	4.0	0.0	+1.7	+1.4
Courtland MuldrewG · transfer from Washington	1	16.0	6.0	3.0	0.0	+2.4	+1.3
Kayden AllenG	1	11.0	9.0	3.0	1.0	+0.3	+0.5
Kaiden BaileyG	1	9.0	0.0	2.0	1.0	+0.4	+0.4
Victor ValdesF · transfer from Troy	1	9.0	2.0	5.0	0.0	+3.0	+0.8
Jackson McVeyC	1	5.0	2.0	0.0	0.0	+0.5	+0.2
Haiden HarperG	1	1.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	+0.6	+0.1
Cody CrossG	1	1.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	+0.6	+0.1

Style and luck

Every team

The Four Factors adjusted for opponents

	Offence	Defence	League
ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin	48.5%rank 342	48.0%rank 13	50.4%
TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin	19.9%rank 344	17.4%rank 348	18.6%
Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin	33.5%rank 35	30.1%rank 33	31.7%
Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin	24.1%rank 285	26.2%rank 289	25.2%

Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.

Luck so far

Wins against the pre-game chances: 1.0 won, 0.9 expected (+0.1)
Opponents' three-point shooting: +7.4 points a game (they shot 20.0%, league 32.3%)
Opponents' free throws: +3.7 points a game
Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime: None yet

Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.

Rating this season

1 game played · starts at the preseason rating · dashed line is an average team

Preseason net rating: +5.7
Last season's net rating: +1.0
Last season's minutes returning: 14%
Transfers in, weighted by minutes: −1.7
Change since preseason: +1.9

Offence, points per 100 possessions: 106.1 (rank 115)
Defence, points allowed per 100: 98.5 (rank 53)
Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes: 73.3 (rank 17)
Schedule so far, opponents' average: −11.1 (rank 214)

Atlantic Coast Conference by rating

18 teams

#	Team	Record	Conference	Net	Offence	Defence	National rank
1	Duke	1-0	0-0	+33.5	121.9	88.4	1
2	Louisville	1-0	0-0	+21.8	117.0	95.2	18
3	Virginia	1-0	0-0	+20.2	115.0	94.8	28
4	Miami	0-1	0-0	+20.1	116.0	95.9	31
5	North Carolina	1-0	0-0	+15.6	113.7	98.1	44
6	Clemson	1-0	0-0	+14.6	114.4	99.7	53
7	Florida State	1-0	0-0	+14.3	113.9	99.6	54
8	Notre Dame	1-0	0-0	+13.2	111.7	98.5	58
9	NC State	1-0	0-0	+12.7	112.5	99.8	62
10	Syracuse	1-0	0-0	+11.1	111.5	100.4	67
11	SMU	1-0	0-0	+10.6	110.9	100.3	73
12	Stanford	1-0	0-0	+10.2	111.4	101.2	76
13	Virginia Tech	1-0	0-0	+9.6	109.0	99.4	79
14	Pittsburgh	1-0	0-0	+7.6	107.9	100.3	88
15	Georgia Tech	1-0	0-0	+7.6	106.1	98.5	89
16	Wake Forest	1-0	0-0	+7.5	108.6	101.2	90
17	California	2-0	0-0	+4.5	107.1	102.6	105
18	Boston College	1-0	0-0	+3.9	105.4	101.5	109