Florida International Panthers

Men's · Conference USA · 1-0, 0-0 in conference · last W1

Next: vs West Florida · Fri 6 Nov, 5 PM ET

West Florida27%73%FIU

Projected 79-71 · Game page

Makes the tournament6%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 14.1

Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 15-17

Net rating−6.7Rank 213 of 365 · offence 237, defence 181

Season outlook

From 20,000 simulated seasons

Projected record: 15-17 (9 to 22 wins)
Projected conference record: 8-10
Wins or shares the conference title: 6%
Wins the conference tournament: 6%
Average seed if in the field: 14.1
A 1 seed: 0%

Makes the field6%
Round of 32<1%
Sweet 16<1%
Elite Eight0%
Final Four0%
Title game0%
Champion0%

Schedule and results

Win chance and score as predicted before each game

Date	Opponent	Where	Win chance	Projected	Result	Pick
Mon 2 Nov	vs New Collegenot Division I	Home	—	—	W 101-58
Fri 6 Nov5 PM ET	vs West Floridarank 272	Home	73%	79-71	—

Rooting guide

Chance of making the NCAA tournament now: 6% · the next 7 days

Fri 6 Nov: vs West FloridaA win: 6% · a loss: 6%0 pts

Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.

Players

Rating: points per 100 possessions with the player on the floor, against an average player · value: points a game added against a replacement

Player	Games	Minutes	Points	Rebounds	Assists	Rating	Value
Tijan Saine Jr.G · transfer from Weber St	1	29.0	24.0	4.0	4.0	+1.5	+1.9
Corey CaulkerG · transfer from East Carolina	1	26.0	3.0	2.0	7.0	−2.8	−0.3
Trey BeamerG	1	21.0	9.0	2.0	2.0	−1.3	+0.3
Noah MendyG	1	20.0	11.0	3.0	0.0	−1.3	+0.3
Justin RomanG	1	19.0	7.0	7.0	4.0	−1.3	+0.3
Mason BlazerG	1	18.0	15.0	3.0	2.0	−1.2	+0.3
Huascar CuevasG · transfer from Wagner	1	16.0	2.0	5.0	2.0	−3.6	−0.4
Seydina N'DiayeF	1	16.0	11.0	6.0	0.0	−1.2	+0.2
Jaylin PayneF · transfer from Longwood	1	14.0	8.0	7.0	3.0	−3.0	−0.2
Andreas HolstF	1	12.0	2.0	3.0	1.0	−1.1	+0.2
CJ HallG	1	7.0	7.0	1.0	2.0	−1.0	+0.1
Chiang RingF	1	4.0	2.0	1.0	0.0	−0.9	+0.1

Style and luck

Every team

The Four Factors adjusted for opponents

	Offence	Defence	League
ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin	50.1%rank 148	50.1%rank 155	50.1%
TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin	18.5%rank 158	18.5%rank 136	18.5%
Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin	31.7%rank 132	31.7%rank 172	31.7%
Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin	25.6%rank 135	25.6%rank 161	25.6%

Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.

Luck so far

Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime: None yet

Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.

Rating this season

1 game played · starts at the preseason rating · dashed line is an average team

Preseason net rating: −6.7
Last season's net rating: −1.8
Last season's minutes returning: 0%
Transfers in, weighted by minutes: −0.7
Change since preseason: 0.0

Offence, points per 100 possessions: 100.3 (rank 237)
Defence, points allowed per 100: 107.0 (rank 181)
Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes: 72.8 (rank 26)
Schedule so far, opponents' average: —

Conference USA by rating

10 teams

#	Team	Record	Conference	Net	Offence	Defence	National rank
1	Western Kentucky	2-0	0-0	−0.5	103.9	104.5	130
2	Liberty	0-1	0-0	−1.7	104.1	105.8	141
3	Sam Houston	0-1	0-0	−2.0	103.5	105.5	146
4	Kennesaw State	1-0	0-0	−2.8	103.3	106.1	153
5	Middle Tennessee	1-0	0-0	−3.8	102.7	106.5	167
6	New Mexico State	1-0	0-0	−4.5	101.9	106.4	179
7	Missouri State	1-0	0-0	−5.5	101.9	107.4	192
8	Florida International	1-0	0-0	−6.7	100.3	107.0	213
9	Jacksonville State	1-0	0-0	−7.7	100.1	107.8	228
10	Delaware	1-0	0-0	−11.1	99.9	111.0	273