South Carolina State Bulldogs
Next: at SC Upstate · Fri 6 Nov, 6:30 PM ETProjected 70-78 · Game page
Makes the tournament9%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 15.6
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 14-19
Net rating−18.5Rank 341 of 365 · offence 344, defence 326
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 14-19 (8 to 19 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 7-7
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 8%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 9%
- Average seed if in the field
- 15.6
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field9%
- Round of 320%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | vs Morrisnot Division I | Home | — | — | W 94-55 | |
| Fri 6 Nov6:30 PM ET | at South Carolina Upstaterank 308 | Away | 27% | 70-78 | — | |
| Mon 9 Nov12 AM ET | at Chicago Staterank 364 | Away | 56% | 75-73 | — | |
| Wed 11 Nov7 PM ET | at Notre Damerank 58 | Away | 1% | 59-89 | — |
Rooting guide
- Fri 6 Nov: at South Carolina UpstateA win: 9% · a loss: 9%0 pts
- Mon 9 Nov: at Chicago StateA win: 9% · a loss: 8%0 pts
- Wed 11 Nov: at Notre DameA win: 11% · a loss: 9%+2 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeShaun Jackson Jr.PG · transfer from Mercyhurst | 1 | 23.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | −3.8 | −0.7 |
| Noah TreadwellG | 1 | 22.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −6.2 | −1.6 |
| Mitchell TaylorG | 1 | 18.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | −3.0 | −0.3 |
| Jayden PrettyF | 1 | 18.0 | 10.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | −3.0 | −0.3 |
| Treven RaymonF | 1 | 17.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | −3.0 | −0.3 |
| Braylon JacksonG | 1 | 14.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | −2.9 | −0.2 |
| Chris ParkerF | 1 | 14.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | −4.3 | −0.6 |
| Christian BarnesPG | 1 | 14.0 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | −2.9 | −0.2 |
| Andre NGomabieF | 1 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | −2.9 | −0.2 |
| Teon TindalF | 1 | 13.0 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | −6.2 | −1.0 |
| Clayton Everett Jr.G | 1 | 13.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | −2.9 | −0.2 |
| Brian HarrisG | 1 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −2.9 | −0.2 |
| Bryce AdamsF | 1 | 9.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | −2.8 | −0.1 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 50.4%rank 135 | 50.4%rank 155 | 50.4% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 18.5%rank 156 | 18.5%rank 135 | 18.5% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 31.8%rank 128 | 31.8%rank 161 | 31.8% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 25.3%rank 133 | 25.3%rank 155 | 25.3% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −18.5
- Last season's net rating
- −24.2
- Last season's minutes returning
- 30%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −1.1
- Change since preseason
- 0.0
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 94.3 (rank 344)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 112.8 (rank 326)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 72.1 (rank 91)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- —
Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Howard | 0-1 | 0-0 | −6.6 | 101.0 | 107.5 | 211 |
| 2 | Norfolk State | 2-0 | 0-0 | −16.2 | 96.3 | 112.5 | 330 |
| 3 | Maryland Eastern Shore | 0-2 | 0-0 | −18.3 | 91.6 | 109.9 | 338 |
| 4 | South Carolina State | 1-0 | 0-0 | −18.5 | 94.3 | 112.8 | 341 |
| 5 | North Carolina Central | 0-1 | 0-0 | −20.1 | 92.9 | 113.0 | 350 |
| 6 | Delaware State | 1-0 | 0-0 | −21.2 | 91.8 | 113.0 | 353 |
| 7 | Morgan State | 2-0 | 0-0 | −22.6 | 93.7 | 116.3 | 360 |
| 8 | Coppin State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −23.6 | 90.1 | 113.7 | 362 |