Chicago State Cougars
Next: at Incarnate Word · Thu 5 Nov, 7 PM ETProjected 66-79 · Game page
Makes the tournament1%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 15.9
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 6-28
Net rating−26.3Rank 364 of 365 · offence 359, defence 365
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 6-28 (2 to 10 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 4-12
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 1%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 1%
- Average seed if in the field
- 15.9
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field1%
- Round of 320%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | at Texasrank 25 | Away | 0% | 49-86 | L 59-109 | Right |
| Thu 5 Nov7 PM ET | at Incarnate Wordrank 300 | Away | 12% | 66-79 | Live | |
| Mon 9 Nov12 AM ET | vs South Carolina Staterank 341 | Home | 44% | 73-75 | — | |
| Wed 11 Nov10 PM ET | at California Baptistrank 201 | Away | 5% | 62-82 | — |
Rooting guide
- Thu 5 Nov: at Incarnate WordA win: 1% · a loss: 1%0 pts
- Mon 9 Nov: vs South Carolina StateA win: 1% · a loss: 1%0 pts
- Wed 11 Nov: at California BaptistA win: <1% · a loss: 1%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike PriceG · transfer from Bakersfield | 1 | 27.0 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | −7.5 | −2.6 |
| Will Lovings-WattsG | 1 | 24.0 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | −4.2 | −0.9 |
| Bryan AkanmuF · transfer from Wagner | 1 | 22.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −5.3 | −1.3 |
| Malek RobinsonG | 1 | 21.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | −5.8 | −1.4 |
| Malik OlafioyeG · transfer from E Illinois | 1 | 20.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | −7.2 | −1.8 |
| Kameron FomanF | 1 | 18.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | −4.1 | −0.6 |
| Najee GrahamG | 1 | 16.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −4.0 | −0.6 |
| Davius LouryF · transfer from CSU Northridge | 1 | 14.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −5.0 | −0.7 |
| Armari CarrawayG · transfer from Charleston So | 1 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −4.8 | −0.6 |
| Lohan Stephane DjiyaF | 1 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −3.9 | −0.3 |
| Ben KalonjiC | 1 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −3.8 | −0.2 |
| Andre StantonF | 1 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −3.8 | −0.2 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 50.1%rank 238 | 53.4%rank 360 | 50.4% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 18.6%rank 234 | 18.3%rank 247 | 18.6% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 31.8%rank 126 | 35.0%rank 358 | 31.7% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 23.2%rank 323 | 24.6%rank 109 | 25.2% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.0 expected (0.0)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −13.8 points a game (they shot 50.0%, league 32.3%)
- Opponents' free throws
- +0.6 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −24.4
- Last season's net rating
- −19.5
- Last season's minutes returning
- 8%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −5.1
- Change since preseason
- −1.8
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 92.2 (rank 359)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 118.5 (rank 365)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 70.4 (rank 291)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +20.8 (rank 23)
Northeast Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Central Connecticut | 0-1 | 0-0 | −13.4 | 95.8 | 109.2 | 296 |
| 2 | Long Island University | 0-1 | 0-0 | −14.2 | 94.5 | 108.7 | 307 |
| 3 | New Haven | 0-1 | 0-0 | −15.0 | 95.4 | 110.4 | 312 |
| 4 | Mercyhurst | 0-1 | 0-0 | −17.6 | 95.1 | 112.7 | 335 |
| 5 | Wagner | 0-1 | 0-0 | −18.8 | 93.2 | 111.9 | 342 |
| 6 | Fairleigh Dickinson | 0-2 | 0-0 | −18.8 | 97.2 | 116.0 | 342 |
| 7 | Stonehill | 1-0 | 0-0 | −19.8 | 92.9 | 112.8 | 347 |
| 8 | Le Moyne | 0-1 | 0-0 | −20.7 | 95.3 | 116.0 | 352 |
| 9 | Chicago State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −26.3 | 92.2 | 118.5 | 364 |