Long Island University Sharks
Makes the tournament29%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 15.4
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 15-18
Net rating−11.2Rank 275 of 365 · offence 324, defence 172
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 15-18 (10 to 20 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 11-5
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 43%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 29%
- Average seed if in the field
- 15.4
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field29%
- Round of 32<1%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | at Florida Atlanticrank 124 | Away | 10% | 60-76 | L 60-74 | Right |
| Thu 5 Nov | at Seton Hallrank 93 | Away | 3% | 57-80 | L 60-67 | Right |
| Sat 7 Nov3:30 PM ET | at La Sallerank 200 | Away | 24% | 67-76 | — | |
| Mon 9 Nov7 PM ET | at Towsonrank 151 | Away | 18% | 64-75 | — |
Rooting guide
- Sat 7 Nov: at La SalleA win: 28% · a loss: 29%−1 pts
- Mon 9 Nov: at TowsonA win: 28% · a loss: 29%−1 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daquan DavisG · transfer from Providence | 2 | 33.5 | 11.5 | 2.5 | 3.0 | −1.6 | +0.3 |
| Vasean AlletteG | 2 | 31.0 | 14.5 | 4.0 | 5.0 | −1.8 | +0.1 |
| Tyrell BowlesF | 2 | 24.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | −1.7 | +0.2 |
| Kamari JonesG · transfer from Cleveland St | 2 | 19.5 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | −4.2 | −0.8 |
| Ryan BewleyF | 2 | 15.0 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 0.5 | −1.3 | +0.2 |
| Justin JohnsonF · transfer from W Carolina | 2 | 15.0 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | −1.3 | +0.2 |
| Deshawn Jean-CharlesG · transfer from Chicago St | 1 | 29.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | −4.5 | −1.2 |
| Joshua SkinnerG | 2 | 13.0 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 0.5 | −1.2 | +0.2 |
| Josh PickettG · transfer from Presbyterian | 2 | 12.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | −4.1 | −0.5 |
| Xinyi LiF | 1 | 24.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −3.3 | −0.5 |
| Matt BewleyF | 1 | 15.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | −0.9 | +0.3 |
| Jahki HowardF · transfer from Utah | 1 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −0.9 | +0.1 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 49.8%rank 262 | 47.2%rank 3 | 50.4% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 18.1%rank 96 | 19.1%rank 67 | 18.5% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 28.6%rank 362 | 29.3%rank 10 | 31.8% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 26.1%rank 87 | 28.3%rank 346 | 25.3% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.1 expected (−0.1)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- +4.5 points a game (they shot 22.6%, league 32.3%)
- Opponents' free throws
- −1.6 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −14.6
- Last season's net rating
- −3.9
- Last season's minutes returning
- 1%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −2.2
- Change since preseason
- +3.3
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 95.5 (rank 324)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 106.8 (rank 172)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 71.6 (rank 143)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +3.7 (rank 105)
Northeast Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Long Island University | 0-2 | 0-0 | −11.2 | 95.5 | 106.8 | 275 |
| 2 | Central Connecticut | 0-1 | 0-0 | −13.4 | 95.8 | 109.2 | 297 |
| 3 | New Haven | 0-1 | 0-0 | −15.0 | 95.4 | 110.4 | 313 |
| 4 | Mercyhurst | 0-1 | 0-0 | −17.6 | 95.2 | 112.8 | 335 |
| 5 | Wagner | 0-1 | 0-0 | −18.8 | 93.2 | 112.0 | 342 |
| 6 | Fairleigh Dickinson | 0-2 | 0-0 | −18.8 | 97.3 | 116.1 | 343 |
| 7 | Stonehill | 1-0 | 0-0 | −19.8 | 93.0 | 112.8 | 347 |
| 8 | Le Moyne | 0-1 | 0-0 | −20.7 | 95.4 | 116.1 | 352 |
| 9 | Chicago State | 0-1 | 0-0 | −26.3 | 92.2 | 118.5 | 364 |