La Salle Explorers
Next: vs Long Island · Sat 7 Nov, 3:30 PM ETProjected 77-67 · Game page
Makes the tournament<1%From 20,000 simulated seasons
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 12-20
Net rating−6.1Rank 199 of 365 · offence 222, defence 175
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 12-20 (7 to 16 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 4-14
- Wins or shares the conference title
- <1%
- Wins the conference tournament
- <1%
- Average seed if in the field
- —
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field<1%
- Round of 32<1%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | at Houstonrank 4 | Away | 1% | 50-81 | L 55-94 | Right |
| Sat 7 Nov3:30 PM ET | vs Long Island Universityrank 307 | Home | 82% | 77-67 | — | |
| Tue 10 Nov7 PM ET | at Villanovarank 36 | Away | 3% | 63-85 | — |
Rooting guide
- Sat 7 Nov: vs Long Island UniversityA win: <1% · a loss: <1%0 pts
- Tue 10 Nov: at VillanovaA win: <1% · a loss: <1%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kam BurtonG · transfer from SF Austin | 1 | 29.0 | 15.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | +0.4 | +1.3 |
| Devin BookerG · transfer from George Mason | 1 | 26.0 | 12.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −1.5 | +0.3 |
| Jaden JohnsonG | 1 | 25.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | −2.0 | 0.0 |
| Anthony FinkleyF · transfer from Saint Joseph's | 1 | 23.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −1.3 | +0.3 |
| Trey MossG | 1 | 19.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | −1.3 | +0.3 |
| Bowyn BeattyF | 1 | 17.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | −2.6 | −0.2 |
| RJ SmithG | 1 | 15.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | −1.2 | +0.2 |
| Vice ZankiF · transfer from Niagara | 1 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | −1.8 | +0.1 |
| Francois Nkoy-EaleF | 1 | 13.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −1.1 | +0.2 |
| Noah CollierF | 1 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −2.1 | 0.0 |
| Rob DockeryG | 1 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | +2.2 | +0.5 |
| Breylon WebbG | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −0.8 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 48.1%rank 349 | 50.9%rank 268 | 50.4% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 19.2%rank 312 | 18.7%rank 113 | 18.5% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 31.7%rank 210 | 32.5%rank 281 | 31.8% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 26.2%rank 72 | 28.2%rank 349 | 25.1% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.0 expected (0.0)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −1.4 points a game (they shot 35.7%, league 32.3%)
- Opponents' free throws
- −1.5 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −6.3
- Last season's net rating
- −5.9
- Last season's minutes returning
- 33%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −0.9
- Change since preseason
- +0.2
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 100.9 (rank 222)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 107.1 (rank 175)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 71.4 (rank 171)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +30.6 (rank 4)
Atlantic 10 Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint Louis | 1-0 | 0-0 | +14.2 | 114.7 | 100.5 | 56 |
| 2 | VCU | 1-0 | 0-0 | +12.8 | 113.1 | 100.3 | 60 |
| 3 | George Mason | 1-0 | 0-0 | +7.4 | 107.0 | 99.6 | 89 |
| 4 | George Washington | 1-0 | 0-0 | +7.2 | 106.0 | 98.8 | 91 |
| 5 | Rhode Island | 1-0 | 0-0 | +6.8 | 108.5 | 101.7 | 93 |
| 6 | Dayton | 1-0 | 0-0 | +6.4 | 109.1 | 102.7 | 96 |
| 7 | Davidson | 1-0 | 0-0 | +5.0 | 107.0 | 102.0 | 105 |
| 8 | Duquesne | 1-0 | 0-0 | +2.8 | 105.4 | 102.6 | 116 |
| 9 | Saint Joseph's | 1-0 | 0-0 | +1.4 | 104.6 | 103.3 | 122 |
| 10 | Fordham | 0-1 | 0-0 | −0.2 | 103.7 | 103.9 | 128 |
| 11 | Richmond | 1-0 | 0-0 | −1.1 | 105.7 | 106.8 | 136 |
| 12 | Loyola Chicago | 1-0 | 0-0 | −1.7 | 103.6 | 105.3 | 142 |
| 13 | St. Bonaventure | 0-1 | 0-0 | −5.0 | 102.4 | 107.4 | 185 |
| 14 | La Salle | 0-1 | 0-0 | −6.1 | 100.9 | 107.1 | 199 |