Richmond Spiders
Next: vs Southern Virginia · Thu 5 Nov, 7 PM ET
Not rated: the opponent is outside Division I.
Makes the tournament1%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 11.9
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 16-17
Net rating−1.1Rank 136 of 365 · offence 125, defence 173
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 16-17 (11 to 22 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 6-12
- Wins or shares the conference title
- <1%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 1%
- Average seed if in the field
- 11.9
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field1%
- Round of 32<1%
- Sweet 16<1%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | vs UNC Ashevillerank 256 | Home | 78% | 72-63 | W 100-77 | Right |
| Thu 5 Nov7 PM ET | vs Southern Virginianot Division I | Home | — | — | Live | |
| Sun 8 Nov5 PM ET | vs Templerank 136 | Neutral | 50% | 74-74 | — | |
| Thu 12 Nov8 PM ET | at Southern Illinoisrank 140 | Away | 36% | 74-78 | — |
Rooting guide
- Sun 8 Nov: vs TempleA win: 0% · a loss: <1%0 pts
- Thu 12 Nov: at Southern IllinoisA win: 1% · a loss: <1%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derin SaranG · transfer from UC Irvine | 1 | 32.0 | 15.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | +0.4 | +1.4 |
| Aiden ArgabrightG | 1 | 31.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | +1.0 | +1.7 |
| Jamie Kaiser Jr.F · transfer from Butler | 1 | 30.0 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | +0.8 | +1.6 |
| Dominick StewartG · transfer from Penn State | 1 | 28.0 | 29.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | −1.2 | +0.4 |
| Amon DorriesC · transfer from Bucknell | 1 | 27.0 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | −1.7 | +0.2 |
| Andrew BallF · transfer from Monmouth | 1 | 15.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | +0.4 | +0.7 |
| Collin TannerG | 1 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | −0.3 | +0.4 |
| Chad CookF | 1 | 13.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | −1.6 | +0.1 |
| Will Harper IIIG | 1 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −1.5 | +0.1 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 52.8%rank 16 | 51.6%rank 307 | 50.4% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 18.9%rank 270 | 18.9%rank 92 | 18.5% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 31.1%rank 259 | 32.3%rank 265 | 31.8% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 24.5%rank 261 | 24.1%rank 80 | 25.1% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 1.0 won, 0.8 expected (+0.2)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- +5.4 points a game (they shot 23.8%, league 32.3%)
- Opponents' free throws
- +1.7 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −1.8
- Last season's net rating
- +2.4
- Last season's minutes returning
- 22%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −0.4
- Change since preseason
- +0.7
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 105.7 (rank 125)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 106.8 (rank 173)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 71.9 (rank 108)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- −9.7 (rank 205)
Atlantic 10 Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint Louis | 1-0 | 0-0 | +14.2 | 114.7 | 100.5 | 56 |
| 2 | VCU | 1-0 | 0-0 | +12.8 | 113.1 | 100.3 | 60 |
| 3 | George Mason | 1-0 | 0-0 | +7.4 | 107.0 | 99.6 | 89 |
| 4 | George Washington | 1-0 | 0-0 | +7.2 | 106.0 | 98.8 | 91 |
| 5 | Rhode Island | 1-0 | 0-0 | +6.8 | 108.5 | 101.7 | 93 |
| 6 | Dayton | 1-0 | 0-0 | +6.4 | 109.1 | 102.7 | 96 |
| 7 | Davidson | 1-0 | 0-0 | +5.0 | 107.0 | 102.0 | 105 |
| 8 | Duquesne | 1-0 | 0-0 | +2.8 | 105.4 | 102.6 | 116 |
| 9 | Saint Joseph's | 1-0 | 0-0 | +1.4 | 104.6 | 103.3 | 122 |
| 10 | Fordham | 0-1 | 0-0 | −0.2 | 103.7 | 103.9 | 128 |
| 11 | Richmond | 1-0 | 0-0 | −1.1 | 105.7 | 106.8 | 136 |
| 12 | Loyola Chicago | 1-0 | 0-0 | −1.7 | 103.6 | 105.3 | 142 |
| 13 | St. Bonaventure | 0-1 | 0-0 | −5.0 | 102.4 | 107.4 | 185 |
| 14 | La Salle | 0-1 | 0-0 | −6.1 | 100.9 | 107.1 | 199 |