Temple Owls
Makes the tournament4%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 12.7
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 17-14
Net rating−1.1Rank 136 of 365 · offence 168, defence 129
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 17-14 (11 to 22 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 10-8
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 5%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 4%
- Average seed if in the field
- 12.7
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field4%
- Round of 32<1%
- Sweet 16<1%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | vs Central Connecticutrank 296 | Home | 81% | 72-61 | W 68-56 | Right |
| Sun 8 Nov5 PM ET | vs Richmondrank 136 | Neutral | 50% | 74-74 | — | |
| Wed 11 Nov6:30 PM ET | vs Charlestonrank 139 | Home | 64% | 75-71 | — |
Rooting guide
- Sun 8 Nov: vs RichmondA win: 4% · a loss: 4%0 pts
- Wed 11 Nov: vs CharlestonA win: 4% · a loss: 5%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan MarshG · transfer from USC | 1 | 30.0 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | +1.2 | +1.7 |
| Baboucarr NjieF · transfer from UTSA | 1 | 30.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 2.0 | −2.2 | −0.1 |
| Gavin GriffithsG | 1 | 29.0 | 11.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | +1.5 | +1.8 |
| Cam ScottG | 1 | 24.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | −1.3 | +0.3 |
| Dez WhiteG · transfer from Oregon St | 1 | 24.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | −0.5 | +0.7 |
| Derrian FordG | 1 | 19.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | +1.6 | +1.2 |
| Deuce DrakeG | 1 | 16.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −1.1 | +0.3 |
| Christian BeamC · transfer from Georgia St | 1 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −2.4 | −0.1 |
| Dallis DillardG | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | −0.9 | +0.1 |
| Sir Issac HerronF · transfer from Louisiana Tech | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −0.1 | +0.2 |
| Edwin Suarez Jr.F · transfer from Weber St | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | +1.5 | +0.2 |
| Cam WallaceG | 1 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −0.8 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 49.9%rank 252 | 49.8%rank 97 | 50.4% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 18.4%rank 134 | 18.1%rank 292 | 18.6% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 30.0%rank 336 | 31.0%rank 97 | 31.7% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 22.1%rank 354 | 23.2%rank 41 | 25.2% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 1.0 won, 0.8 expected (+0.2)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −3.6 points a game (they shot 38.1%, league 32.3%)
- Opponents' free throws
- +3.0 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −2.7
- Last season's net rating
- +1.0
- Last season's minutes returning
- 34%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −3.0
- Change since preseason
- +1.6
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 103.5 (rank 168)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 104.5 (rank 129)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 70.1 (rank 317)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- −13.4 (rank 231)
American Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wichita State | 1-0 | 0-0 | +9.6 | 108.8 | 99.2 | 80 |
| 2 | Memphis | 1-0 | 0-0 | +8.7 | 109.6 | 100.9 | 85 |
| 3 | South Florida | 1-0 | 0-0 | +5.6 | 108.6 | 103.0 | 100 |
| 4 | North Texas | 1-0 | 0-0 | +2.9 | 104.0 | 101.1 | 115 |
| 5 | Florida Atlantic | 1-0 | 0-0 | −0.1 | 103.6 | 103.7 | 127 |
| 6 | Temple | 1-0 | 0-0 | −1.1 | 103.5 | 104.5 | 136 |
| 7 | Tulsa | 1-0 | 0-0 | −1.9 | 104.5 | 106.4 | 145 |
| 8 | Charlotte | 1-0 | 0-0 | −2.5 | 105.2 | 107.7 | 149 |
| 9 | UAB | 0-1 | 0-0 | −3.5 | 106.2 | 109.7 | 164 |
| 10 | Tulane | 1-0 | 0-0 | −3.8 | 104.7 | 108.6 | 169 |
| 11 | Rice | 1-0 | 0-0 | −5.2 | 102.7 | 107.8 | 188 |
| 12 | East Carolina | 1-0 | 0-0 | −7.0 | 100.9 | 107.9 | 216 |
| 13 | UTSA | 0-1 | 0-0 | −15.2 | 98.0 | 113.2 | 315 |