Tulsa Golden Hurricane
Next: vs N Illinois · Thu 5 Nov, 8 PM ETProjected 87-68 · Game page
Makes the tournament4%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 12.6
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 18-15
Net rating−1.9Rank 145 of 365 · offence 142, defence 165
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 18-15 (12 to 24 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 8-10
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 2%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 3%
- Average seed if in the field
- 12.6
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field4%
- Round of 32<1%
- Sweet 16<1%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | vs Ottawa (KS)not Division I | Home | — | — | W 98-50 | |
| Thu 5 Nov8 PM ET | vs Northern Illinoisrank 351 | Home | 94% | 87-68 | — | |
| Wed 11 Nov8 PM ET | vs Oral Robertsrank 310 | Home | 88% | 83-68 | — |
Rooting guide
- Thu 5 Nov: vs Northern IllinoisA win: 4% · a loss: 3%+1 pts
- Wed 11 Nov: vs Oral RobertsA win: 4% · a loss: 4%−1 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denton ForsytheG | 1 | 20.0 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | −1.7 | +0.1 |
| Macon EmoryF · transfer from Delaware | 1 | 19.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | −2.0 | 0.0 |
| Kobi WilliamsG · transfer from Missouri St | 1 | 18.0 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | −0.9 | +0.4 |
| Jaylen LawalG | 1 | 18.0 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | +2.2 | +1.4 |
| Kaleb BanksF · transfer from DePaul | 1 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | +0.6 |
| Mike Williams IIIG · transfer from Seton Hall | 1 | 17.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | +1.8 | +1.2 |
| Myles RigsbyG | 1 | 16.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | +1.9 | +1.1 |
| Chris LoofeF · transfer from MTSU | 1 | 16.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | −0.7 | +0.4 |
| Leon SifferlinG | 1 | 16.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | +0.2 | +0.7 |
| Brent MossG · transfer from UTSA | 1 | 15.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | −2.4 | −0.1 |
| Aleksa DimitrijevicF | 1 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | −1.6 | +0.1 |
| Derelle DesireF | 1 | 12.0 | 11.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | −1.6 | +0.1 |
| Carter BentonG | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | −1.4 | +0.1 |
| Cal ConroyG | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −0.6 | +0.1 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 50.4%rank 135 | 50.4%rank 153 | 50.4% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 18.6%rank 155 | 18.6%rank 133 | 18.6% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 31.7%rank 127 | 31.7%rank 162 | 31.7% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 25.2%rank 133 | 25.2%rank 152 | 25.2% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −1.9
- Last season's net rating
- +14.9
- Last season's minutes returning
- 15%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −3.2
- Change since preseason
- 0.0
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 104.5 (rank 142)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 106.4 (rank 165)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 71.8 (rank 125)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- —
American Conference by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wichita State | 1-0 | 0-0 | +9.6 | 108.8 | 99.2 | 80 |
| 2 | Memphis | 1-0 | 0-0 | +8.7 | 109.6 | 100.9 | 85 |
| 3 | South Florida | 1-0 | 0-0 | +5.6 | 108.6 | 103.0 | 100 |
| 4 | North Texas | 1-0 | 0-0 | +2.9 | 104.0 | 101.1 | 115 |
| 5 | Florida Atlantic | 1-0 | 0-0 | −0.1 | 103.6 | 103.7 | 127 |
| 6 | Temple | 1-0 | 0-0 | −1.1 | 103.5 | 104.5 | 136 |
| 7 | Tulsa | 1-0 | 0-0 | −1.9 | 104.5 | 106.4 | 145 |
| 8 | Charlotte | 1-0 | 0-0 | −2.5 | 105.2 | 107.7 | 149 |
| 9 | UAB | 0-1 | 0-0 | −3.5 | 106.2 | 109.7 | 164 |
| 10 | Tulane | 1-0 | 0-0 | −3.8 | 104.7 | 108.6 | 169 |
| 11 | Rice | 1-0 | 0-0 | −5.2 | 102.7 | 107.8 | 188 |
| 12 | East Carolina | 1-0 | 0-0 | −7.0 | 100.9 | 107.9 | 216 |
| 13 | UTSA | 0-1 | 0-0 | −15.2 | 98.0 | 113.2 | 315 |