Oral Roberts Golden Eagles
Next: vs Northwestern (OK) · Sat 7 Nov, 8 PM ET
Not rated: the opponent is outside Division I.
Makes the tournament3%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 15.2
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 11-20
Net rating−14.7Rank 312 of 365 · offence 292, defence 317
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 11-20 (7 to 15 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 5-9
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 2%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 3%
- Average seed if in the field
- 15.2
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field3%
- Round of 32<1%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | at Central Arkansasrank 149 | Away | 24% | 64-73 | L 55-85 | Right |
| Sat 7 Nov8 PM ET | vs Northwestern (OK)not Division I | Home | — | — | — | |
| Wed 11 Nov8 PM ET | at Tulsarank 143 | Away | 13% | 68-83 | — |
Rooting guide
- Wed 11 Nov: at TulsaA win: 1% · a loss: 2%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boden WilliamsG | 1 | 34.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | −2.7 | −0.4 |
| Luke GrayF | 1 | 26.0 | 22.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | −2.0 | +0.1 |
| Martins KilupsG | 1 | 25.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | −5.0 | −1.3 |
| Cal FurnishG | 1 | 22.0 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | −4.0 | −0.8 |
| Jamal GeorgeG | 1 | 20.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | −2.4 | −0.1 |
| Chase MartinG | 1 | 19.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | −4.1 | −0.7 |
| Alex CoutoG | 1 | 18.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | −2.4 | −0.1 |
| Thomas ZorbasF | 1 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | −2.1 | 0.0 |
| Amire RobinsonG · transfer from Nevada | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −0.2 | +0.2 |
| Cam HaffnerG · transfer from Western KY | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −1.9 | 0.0 |
| Marko PavlovicF | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −2.0 | 0.0 |
| Mihail GavazovF | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −2.0 | 0.0 |
| Blake SmithG | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −1.9 | 0.0 |
| Alberto BlancoF | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −1.9 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 48.4%rank 330 | 50.3%rank 238 | 50.1% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 19.2%rank 311 | 18.6%rank 123 | 18.5% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 33.7%rank 32 | 31.4%rank 136 | 31.7% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 25.4%rank 213 | 25.1%rank 127 | 25.6% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.2 expected (−0.2)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −1.7 points a game (they shot 33.3%, league 31.9%)
- Opponents' free throws
- −1.5 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −11.7
- Last season's net rating
- −12.7
- Last season's minutes returning
- 52%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- +0.6
- Change since preseason
- −3.0
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 97.4 (rank 292)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 112.1 (rank 317)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 71.4 (rank 145)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- −2.4 (rank 130)
Summit League by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St. Thomas | 1-0 | 0-0 | −2.0 | 106.4 | 108.4 | 145 |
| 2 | South Dakota State | 1-0 | 0-0 | −3.4 | 102.5 | 105.9 | 163 |
| 3 | North Dakota State | 1-1 | 0-0 | −5.9 | 104.1 | 109.9 | 197 |
| 4 | Omaha | 1-0 | 0-0 | −9.6 | 100.2 | 109.8 | 250 |
| 5 | South Dakota | 1-1 | 0-0 | −12.5 | 101.5 | 114.0 | 283 |
| 6 | North Dakota | 0-1 | 0-0 | −12.8 | 98.6 | 111.4 | 288 |
| 7 | Kansas City | 0-1 | 0-0 | −14.1 | 94.8 | 108.8 | 305 |
| 8 | Oral Roberts | 0-1 | 0-0 | −14.7 | 97.4 | 112.1 | 312 |