Kansas City Roos
Next: vs S Illinois · Fri 6 Nov, 8:30 PM ETProjected 70-76 · Game page
Makes the tournament3%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 15.2
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 15-19
Net rating−14.0Rank 303 of 365 · offence 337, defence 240
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 15-19 (9 to 20 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 5-9
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 2%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 3%
- Average seed if in the field
- 15.2
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field3%
- Round of 32<1%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | at Creightonrank 50 | Away | 0% | 53-86 | L 61-76 | Right |
| Fri 6 Nov8:30 PM ET | vs Southern Illinoisrank 140 | Home | 31% | 70-76 | — | |
| Mon 9 Nov7 PM ET | at Jacksonvillerank 264 | Away | 29% | 68-75 | — | |
| Wed 11 Nov12 PM ET | vs Florida A&Mrank 355 | Neutral | 71% | 78-72 | — | |
| Thu 12 Nov3 PM ET | vs George Masonrank 91 | Neutral | 8% | 63-79 | — |
Rooting guide
- Fri 6 Nov: vs Southern IllinoisA win: 3% · a loss: 3%0 pts
- Mon 9 Nov: at JacksonvilleA win: 3% · a loss: 3%0 pts
- Wed 11 Nov: vs Florida A&MA win: 3% · a loss: 3%0 pts
- Thu 12 Nov: vs George MasonA win: 3% · a loss: 3%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastian HartmannF · transfer from Chattanooga | 1 | 31.0 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | −4.5 | −1.4 |
| Jaylen SmithG · transfer from ETSU | 1 | 30.0 | 15.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | −1.9 | +0.1 |
| Carl Daughtery Jr.G · transfer from UC Davis | 1 | 27.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −1.9 | +0.1 |
| Atuka BakhtadzeF | 1 | 22.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −3.0 | −0.4 |
| Jibbe SickingF | 1 | 19.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −2.9 | −0.3 |
| Assane DiopF · transfer from San Diego | 1 | 16.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | −2.5 | −0.1 |
| Josh KoriG | 1 | 15.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −2.8 | −0.2 |
| DJ Jackson Jr.G | 1 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −2.7 | −0.1 |
| Cameron LoveG | 1 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −2.6 | −0.1 |
| Matija SamarG · transfer from Oregon St | 1 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | −2.9 | −0.1 |
| Elliot MoskowitzG | 1 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −2.5 | 0.0 |
| Raivo ButirinsF | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −2.5 | 0.0 |
| Dovydas JenciusF | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | −2.4 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 51.9%rank 49 | 49.2%rank 60 | 50.4% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 20.2%rank 349 | 18.5%rank 223 | 18.6% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 30.3%rank 318 | 30.6%rank 65 | 31.7% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 23.0%rank 328 | 25.8%rank 268 | 25.2% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.0 expected (0.0)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- +0.1 points a game (they shot 32.1%, league 32.3%)
- Opponents' free throws
- −3.2 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −17.3
- Last season's net rating
- −25.0
- Last season's minutes returning
- 0%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −0.8
- Change since preseason
- +3.4
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 95.0 (rank 337)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 108.9 (rank 240)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 72.5 (rank 54)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +15.2 (rank 48)
Summit League by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St. Thomas | 1-0 | 0-0 | −1.9 | 106.6 | 108.5 | 146 |
| 2 | South Dakota State | 1-0 | 0-0 | −3.3 | 102.7 | 106.0 | 163 |
| 3 | North Dakota State | 1-1 | 0-0 | −5.8 | 104.2 | 110.0 | 194 |
| 4 | Omaha | 1-0 | 0-0 | −9.6 | 100.3 | 109.9 | 254 |
| 5 | South Dakota | 1-1 | 0-0 | −12.6 | 101.6 | 114.2 | 288 |
| 6 | North Dakota | 0-1 | 0-0 | −12.7 | 98.8 | 111.5 | 289 |
| 7 | Kansas City | 0-1 | 0-0 | −14.0 | 95.0 | 108.9 | 303 |
| 8 | Oral Roberts | 0-1 | 0-0 | −14.7 | 97.6 | 112.2 | 310 |