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Updated Thu 5 Nov, 6:10 PM ET

Scores, schedules and lines from ESPN; past seasons from sportsdataverse. Not affiliated with any team, league or bookmaker.

Kansas City Roos

Men's · Summit League · 0-1, 0-0 in conference · last L1

Makes the tournament3%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 15.2
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 15-19
Net rating−14.0Rank 303 of 365 · offence 337, defence 240

Season outlook

From 20,000 simulated seasons
Projected record
15-19 (9 to 20 wins)
Projected conference record
5-9
Wins or shares the conference title
2%
Wins the conference tournament
3%
Average seed if in the field
15.2
A 1 seed
0%
  1. Makes the field3%
  2. Round of 32<1%
  3. Sweet 160%
  4. Elite Eight0%
  5. Final Four0%
  6. Title game0%
  7. Champion0%

Schedule and results

Win chance and score as predicted before each game
DateOpponentWhereWin chanceProjectedResultPick
Mon 2 Novat Creightonrank 50Away0%53-86L 61-76Right
Fri 6 Nov8:30 PM ETvs Southern Illinoisrank 140Home31%70-76—
Mon 9 Nov7 PM ETat Jacksonvillerank 264Away29%68-75—
Wed 11 Nov12 PM ETvs Florida A&Mrank 355Neutral71%78-72—
Thu 12 Nov3 PM ETvs George Masonrank 91Neutral8%63-79—

Rooting guide

Chance of making the NCAA tournament now: 3% · the next 7 days
  1. Fri 6 Nov: vs Southern IllinoisA win: 3% · a loss: 3%0 pts
  2. Mon 9 Nov: at JacksonvilleA win: 3% · a loss: 3%0 pts
  3. Wed 11 Nov: vs Florida A&MA win: 3% · a loss: 3%0 pts
  4. Thu 12 Nov: vs George MasonA win: 3% · a loss: 3%0 pts

Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.

Players

Rating: points per 100 possessions with the player on the floor, against an average player · value: points a game added against a replacement
PlayerGamesMinutesPointsReboundsAssistsRatingValue
Sebastian HartmannF · transfer from Chattanooga131.08.07.04.0−4.5−1.4
Jaylen SmithG · transfer from ETSU130.015.02.05.0−1.9+0.1
Carl Daughtery Jr.G · transfer from UC Davis127.08.01.00.0−1.9+0.1
Atuka BakhtadzeF122.06.02.00.0−3.0−0.4
Jibbe SickingF119.03.02.00.0−2.9−0.3
Assane DiopF · transfer from San Diego116.05.06.00.0−2.5−0.1
Josh KoriG115.04.02.01.0−2.8−0.2
DJ Jackson Jr.G112.02.02.01.0−2.7−0.1
Cameron LoveG110.03.02.00.0−2.6−0.1
Matija SamarG · transfer from Oregon St19.04.01.01.0−2.9−0.1
Elliot MoskowitzG14.03.00.00.0−2.50.0
Raivo ButirinsF14.00.01.00.0−2.50.0
Dovydas JenciusF11.00.00.01.0−2.40.0

Style and luck

Every team

The Four Factors adjusted for opponents

OffenceDefenceLeague
ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin51.9%rank 4949.2%rank 6050.4%
TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin20.2%rank 34918.5%rank 22318.6%
Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin30.3%rank 31830.6%rank 6531.7%
Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin23.0%rank 32825.8%rank 26825.2%

Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.

Luck so far

Wins against the pre-game chances
0.0 won, 0.0 expected (0.0)
Opponents' three-point shooting
+0.1 points a game (they shot 32.1%, league 32.3%)
Opponents' free throws
−3.2 points a game
Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
None yet

Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.

Rating this season

1 game played · starts at the preseason rating · dashed line is an average team
−20−15−10−50+51 NovNow−14.0−20−15−10−50+51 NovNow−14.0
Preseason net rating
−17.3
Last season's net rating
−25.0
Last season's minutes returning
0%
Transfers in, weighted by minutes
−0.8
Change since preseason
+3.4
Offence, points per 100 possessions
95.0 (rank 337)
Defence, points allowed per 100
108.9 (rank 240)
Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
72.5 (rank 54)
Schedule so far, opponents' average
+15.2 (rank 48)

Summit League by rating

8 teams
#TeamRecordConferenceNetOffenceDefenceNational rank
1St. Thomas1-00-0−1.9106.6108.5146
2South Dakota State1-00-0−3.3102.7106.0163
3North Dakota State1-10-0−5.8104.2110.0194
4Omaha1-00-0−9.6100.3109.9254
5South Dakota1-10-0−12.6101.6114.2288
6North Dakota0-10-0−12.798.8111.5289
7Kansas City0-10-0−14.095.0108.9303
8Oral Roberts0-10-0−14.797.6112.2310