Charleston Cougars
Next: vs Newberry · Fri 6 Nov, 7 PM ET
Not rated: the opponent is outside Division I.
Makes the tournament17%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 13.1
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 21-12
Net rating−1.2Rank 137 of 365 · offence 158, defence 141
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 21-12 (15 to 27 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 12-6
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 25%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 17%
- Average seed if in the field
- 13.1
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field17%
- Round of 321%
- Sweet 16<1%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | vs Southern Wesleyannot Division I | Home | — | — | W 111-55 | |
| Fri 6 Nov7 PM ET | vs Newberrynot Division I | Home | — | — | — | |
| Wed 11 Nov6:30 PM ET | at Templerank 142 | Away | 40% | 71-74 | — |
Rooting guide
- Wed 11 Nov: at TempleA win: 18% · a loss: 17%+1 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavari JohnsonG · transfer from Akron | 1 | 20.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | +4.0 | +2.2 |
| Max GreenG · transfer from Northwestern | 1 | 19.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | +1.0 | +1.0 |
| JaShawn LaddG | 1 | 18.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | −1.6 | +0.1 |
| Eli EllisG · transfer from South Carolina | 1 | 17.0 | 16.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | +0.8 | +0.9 |
| Xavier AbreuG · transfer from Northeastern | 1 | 17.0 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −0.2 | +0.6 |
| Martin KaluG | 1 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | −0.9 | +0.3 |
| Braden PierceC · transfer from Villanova | 1 | 15.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | +1.0 | +0.8 |
| Trey ScottF · transfer from Georgia St | 1 | 15.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −3.4 | −0.3 |
| Kobe EdwardsG | 1 | 14.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | −1.5 | +0.1 |
| Nicolo VirginioF | 1 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | −1.4 | +0.1 |
| Ben BradfordG · transfer from Charlotte | 1 | 10.0 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | +1.2 | +0.6 |
| Will MortimoreF | 1 | 10.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −1.6 | +0.1 |
| Djordje CurcicG | 1 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | −2.8 | −0.1 |
| Conner GroceG · transfer from Akron | 1 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | −1.2 | +0.1 |
| AJ FowlerG | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −2.2 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 50.1%rank 148 | 50.1%rank 155 | 50.1% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 18.5%rank 158 | 18.5%rank 136 | 18.5% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 31.7%rank 132 | 31.7%rank 172 | 31.7% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 25.6%rank 135 | 25.6%rank 161 | 25.6% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −1.2
- Last season's net rating
- −0.1
- Last season's minutes returning
- 15%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- +2.0
- Change since preseason
- 0.0
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 103.9 (rank 158)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 105.1 (rank 141)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 71.4 (rank 145)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- —
Coastal Athletic Association by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UNC Wilmington | 1-0 | 0-0 | −0.5 | 104.7 | 105.2 | 130 |
| 2 | Charleston | 1-0 | 0-0 | −1.2 | 103.9 | 105.1 | 137 |
| 3 | Towson | 0-1 | 0-0 | −2.6 | 102.3 | 104.9 | 151 |
| 4 | Hofstra | 1-1 | 0-0 | −2.8 | 101.2 | 104.0 | 154 |
| 5 | Monmouth | 0-1 | 0-0 | −3.7 | 100.6 | 104.3 | 165 |
| 6 | Elon | 1-0 | 0-0 | −5.0 | 104.3 | 109.4 | 184 |
| 7 | Campbell | 0-1 | 0-0 | −5.2 | 101.7 | 106.9 | 188 |
| 8 | William & Mary | 1-0 | 0-0 | −6.9 | 101.3 | 108.2 | 215 |
| 9 | Drexel | 0-1 | 0-0 | −7.5 | 98.3 | 105.8 | 224 |
| 10 | Northeastern | 0-1 | 0-0 | −8.8 | 103.7 | 112.4 | 239 |
| 11 | Stony Brook | 1-0 | 0-0 | −9.3 | 100.3 | 109.6 | 247 |
| 12 | Hampton | 0-1 | 0-0 | −11.2 | 96.5 | 107.6 | 274 |
| 13 | North Carolina A&T | 0-0 | 0-0 | −12.6 | 98.4 | 111.0 | 284 |