Monmouth Hawks
Next: vs Rhode Island · Sat 7 Nov, 4 PM ETProjected 69-77 · Game page
Makes the tournament10%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 14.2
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 16-17
Net rating−3.6Rank 164 of 365 · offence 227, defence 126
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 16-17 (10 to 23 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 10-8
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 14%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 10%
- Average seed if in the field
- 14.2
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field10%
- Round of 32<1%
- Sweet 16<1%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | at St. John'srank 22 | Away | 2% | 55-81 | L 63-78 | Right |
| Sat 7 Nov4 PM ET | vs Rhode Islandrank 92 | Neutral | 25% | 69-77 | — | |
| Thu 12 Nov7 PM ET | at Quinnipiacrank 251 | Away | 52% | 74-73 | — |
Rooting guide
- Sat 7 Nov: vs Rhode IslandA win: 10% · a loss: 11%−1 pts
- Thu 12 Nov: at QuinnipiacA win: 10% · a loss: 11%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack CollinsG | 1 | 36.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | −1.3 | +0.5 |
| Stefanos SpartalisF | 1 | 32.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | −0.3 | +1.0 |
| Jakai SandersG · transfer from Le Moyne | 1 | 27.0 | 17.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | −1.7 | +0.2 |
| Ashton WalkerG · transfer from La Salle | 1 | 27.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | −0.8 | +0.6 |
| Madison DurrG · transfer from UNC Wilmington | 1 | 26.0 | 15.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | +1.0 | +1.4 |
| Jinup DobuolG | 1 | 17.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | −0.6 | +0.5 |
| Stephen OseiF · transfer from Kansas St | 1 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | −0.7 | +0.4 |
| Lo WalkerG · transfer from NC A&T | 1 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | −1.2 | +0.2 |
| O'Marion HarveyF | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −2.0 | 0.0 |
| Stefan MarjanovicF | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −0.8 | +0.1 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 51.1%rank 84 | 48.9%rank 44 | 50.4% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 19.0%rank 289 | 18.8%rank 109 | 18.5% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 29.8%rank 346 | 31.1%rank 98 | 31.8% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 23.8%rank 301 | 25.9%rank 268 | 25.3% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.0 expected (0.0)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- +1.4 points a game (they shot 30.0%, league 32.3%)
- Opponents' free throws
- −2.7 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −5.2
- Last season's net rating
- −0.8
- Last season's minutes returning
- 31%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −2.0
- Change since preseason
- +1.7
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 100.9 (rank 227)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 104.4 (rank 126)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 71.4 (rank 173)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +21.3 (rank 18)
Coastal Athletic Association by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UNC Wilmington | 1-0 | 0-0 | −0.5 | 104.9 | 105.4 | 130 |
| 2 | Charleston | 1-0 | 0-0 | −1.2 | 104.1 | 105.3 | 139 |
| 3 | Towson | 0-1 | 0-0 | −2.6 | 102.6 | 105.1 | 151 |
| 4 | Monmouth | 0-1 | 0-0 | −3.6 | 100.9 | 104.4 | 164 |
| 5 | Hofstra | 1-0 | 0-0 | −3.7 | 102.1 | 105.8 | 165 |
| 6 | Elon | 1-0 | 0-0 | −5.0 | 104.6 | 109.5 | 184 |
| 7 | Campbell | 0-1 | 0-0 | −5.1 | 102.0 | 107.1 | 187 |
| 8 | William & Mary | 1-0 | 0-0 | −6.9 | 101.5 | 108.4 | 216 |
| 9 | Drexel | 0-1 | 0-0 | −7.4 | 98.6 | 106.0 | 224 |
| 10 | Northeastern | 0-1 | 0-0 | −8.7 | 103.9 | 112.6 | 241 |
| 11 | Stony Brook | 1-0 | 0-0 | −9.3 | 100.5 | 109.8 | 248 |
| 12 | Hampton | 0-1 | 0-0 | −11.1 | 96.7 | 107.8 | 274 |
| 13 | North Carolina A&T | 0-0 | 0-0 | −12.6 | 98.6 | 111.2 | 288 |