Campbell Fighting Camels
Next: at W Michigan · Sun 8 Nov, 2 PM ETProjected 74-72 · Game page
Makes the tournament7%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 14.4
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 16-18
Net rating−5.1Rank 187 of 365 · offence 198, defence 175
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 16-18 (10 to 21 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 9-9
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 9%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 7%
- Average seed if in the field
- 14.4
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field7%
- Round of 32<1%
- Sweet 16<1%
- Elite Eight<1%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | at NC Staterank 62 | Away | 4% | 60-81 | L 64-83 | Right |
| Sun 8 Nov2 PM ET | at Western Michiganrank 293 | Away | 57% | 74-72 | — | |
| Wed 11 Nov7 PM ET | at East Tennessee Staterank 186 | Away | 36% | 72-76 | — |
Rooting guide
- Sun 8 Nov: at Western MichiganA win: 7% · a loss: 7%0 pts
- Wed 11 Nov: at East Tennessee StateA win: 7% · a loss: 7%0 pts
- Thu 12 Nov: root for Loyola Maryland against TowsonWorth 2.8 points of making the NCAA tournament+2.8 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rashawn InglemonG | 1 | 37.0 | 20.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | −1.6 | +0.3 |
| AJ Wright Jr.G | 1 | 36.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | −1.6 | +0.3 |
| Lance WaddlesG · transfer from Omaha | 1 | 35.0 | 19.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | −0.6 | +0.9 |
| Nordin KapicF · transfer from South Carolina | 1 | 31.0 | 11.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | −0.1 | +1.1 |
| Caleb McAbeeG | 1 | 20.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −1.2 | +0.3 |
| Luka SavanovicG | 1 | 20.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | −1.2 | +0.3 |
| Karim RtailG | 1 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −0.9 | +0.2 |
| Sentinel MooreF | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | −0.9 | +0.1 |
| Karson RogersF | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −0.7 | +0.1 |
| Ben RitgerG | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −0.7 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 49.8%rank 261 | 51.7%rank 311 | 50.4% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 17.4%rank 21 | 19.0%rank 79 | 18.5% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 32.5%rank 89 | 30.8%rank 76 | 31.8% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 22.6%rank 348 | 24.1%rank 77 | 25.3% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.0 expected (0.0)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −8.8 points a game (they shot 44.0%, league 32.3%)
- Opponents' free throws
- +0.4 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −7.1
- Last season's net rating
- −2.2
- Last season's minutes returning
- 0%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −1.0
- Change since preseason
- +2.0
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 102.0 (rank 198)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 107.1 (rank 175)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 72.1 (rank 91)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +12.7 (rank 61)
Coastal Athletic Association by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UNC Wilmington | 1-0 | 0-0 | −0.5 | 104.9 | 105.4 | 130 |
| 2 | Charleston | 1-0 | 0-0 | −1.2 | 104.1 | 105.3 | 139 |
| 3 | Towson | 0-1 | 0-0 | −2.6 | 102.6 | 105.1 | 151 |
| 4 | Monmouth | 0-1 | 0-0 | −3.6 | 100.9 | 104.4 | 164 |
| 5 | Hofstra | 1-0 | 0-0 | −3.7 | 102.1 | 105.8 | 165 |
| 6 | Elon | 1-0 | 0-0 | −5.0 | 104.6 | 109.5 | 184 |
| 7 | Campbell | 0-1 | 0-0 | −5.1 | 102.0 | 107.1 | 187 |
| 8 | William & Mary | 1-0 | 0-0 | −6.9 | 101.5 | 108.4 | 216 |
| 9 | Drexel | 0-1 | 0-0 | −7.4 | 98.6 | 106.0 | 224 |
| 10 | Northeastern | 0-1 | 0-0 | −8.7 | 103.9 | 112.6 | 241 |
| 11 | Stony Brook | 1-0 | 0-0 | −9.3 | 100.5 | 109.8 | 248 |
| 12 | Hampton | 0-1 | 0-0 | −11.1 | 96.7 | 107.8 | 274 |
| 13 | North Carolina A&T | 0-0 | 0-0 | −12.6 | 98.6 | 111.2 | 288 |