Loyola Maryland Greyhounds
Next: at Mount St Marys · Fri 6 Nov, 7 PM ETProjected 70-76 · Game page
Makes the tournament3%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 15.3
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 13-19
Net rating−15.4Rank 322 of 365 · offence 300, defence 322
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 13-19 (8 to 18 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 7-11
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 2%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 3%
- Average seed if in the field
- 15.3
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field3%
- Round of 320%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | at Georgetownrank 70 | Away | 4% | 57-79 | L 58-80 | Right |
| Fri 6 Nov7 PM ET | at Mount St. Mary'srank 287 | Away | 29% | 70-76 | — | |
| Mon 9 Nov7 PM ET | vs Washington Marylandnot Division I | Home | — | — | — | |
| Thu 12 Nov7 PM ET | at Towsonrank 151 | Away | 12% | 65-79 | — |
Rooting guide
- Fri 6 Nov: at Mount St. Mary'sA win: 3% · a loss: 3%0 pts
- Thu 12 Nov: at TowsonA win: 3% · a loss: 3%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carter Berg-McLeanG | 1 | 28.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | −3.9 | −0.9 |
| Sebastien EmenaloF | 1 | 28.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | −3.3 | −0.6 |
| D'Andre HarrisonF · transfer from Kansas City | 1 | 27.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | −5.6 | −1.7 |
| Leo RickettsG | 1 | 22.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | −1.6 | +0.2 |
| Robbie Long IIIG | 1 | 22.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | −1.6 | +0.2 |
| Everett BarnesF | 1 | 19.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | −4.5 | −0.8 |
| Gage HowardF | 1 | 18.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −1.5 | +0.2 |
| Abdullah AmzilF · transfer from UC Davis | 1 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −2.1 | 0.0 |
| Max OrtegaG · transfer from Wofford | 1 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | −2.7 | −0.1 |
| Troy Cicero Jr.G | 1 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −1.6 | +0.1 |
| Zeke WalkerG | 1 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | −1.1 | +0.1 |
| Mason HagedornF · transfer from VMI | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −5.5 | −0.1 |
| Seamus BiegG | 1 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −1.0 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 50.5%rank 123 | 49.7%rank 92 | 50.4% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 18.5%rank 149 | 17.9%rank 308 | 18.5% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 32.1%rank 106 | 30.9%rank 86 | 31.8% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 21.5%rank 365 | 24.5%rank 95 | 25.3% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.0 expected (0.0)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- +4.2 points a game (they shot 26.9%, league 32.3%)
- Opponents' free throws
- −3.3 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −13.9
- Last season's net rating
- −15.0
- Last season's minutes returning
- 32%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −0.6
- Change since preseason
- −1.5
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 97.2 (rank 300)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 112.6 (rank 322)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 71.4 (rank 173)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +10.9 (rank 70)
Patriot League by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | American University | 0-1 | 0-0 | −4.5 | 101.2 | 105.7 | 179 |
| 2 | Colgate | 0-1 | 0-0 | −6.0 | 104.4 | 110.4 | 198 |
| 3 | Lehigh | 0-1 | 0-0 | −8.1 | 101.6 | 109.7 | 234 |
| 4 | Boston University | 1-0 | 0-0 | −8.8 | 104.9 | 113.8 | 243 |
| 5 | Navy | 0-1 | 0-0 | −12.0 | 96.0 | 108.0 | 283 |
| 6 | Army | 1-1 | 0-0 | −13.8 | 97.4 | 111.2 | 302 |
| 7 | Loyola Maryland | 0-1 | 0-0 | −15.4 | 97.2 | 112.6 | 322 |
| 8 | Lafayette | 1-1 | 0-0 | −15.8 | 95.5 | 111.2 | 324 |
| 9 | Bucknell | 0-1 | 0-0 | −16.5 | 97.2 | 113.7 | 331 |
| 10 | Holy Cross | 0-1 | 0-0 | −20.0 | 96.2 | 116.2 | 348 |