Boston University Terriers
Makes the tournament14%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 14.8
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 18-15
Net rating−8.8Rank 243 of 365 · offence 137, defence 341
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 18-15 (12 to 24 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 11-7
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 16%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 14%
- Average seed if in the field
- 14.8
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field14%
- Round of 32<1%
- Sweet 16<1%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | vs Northeasternrank 241 | Home | 58% | 70-67 | W 93-85 | Right |
| Fri 6 Nov7 PM ET | at Brownrank 246 | Away | 37% | 70-74 | — | |
| Mon 9 Nov8 PM ET | at Northwesternrank 61 | Away | 4% | 65-86 | — | |
| Thu 12 Nov6 PM ET | vs Johnson & Walesnot Division I | Home | — | — | — |
Rooting guide
- Fri 6 Nov: at BrownA win: 14% · a loss: 13%0 pts
- Mon 9 Nov: at NorthwesternA win: 13% · a loss: 14%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrone AlexanderG | 1 | 37.0 | 19.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | −3.5 | −0.9 |
| Azmar AbdullahG | 1 | 35.0 | 21.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | −2.3 | −0.1 |
| Sam HughesF | 1 | 33.0 | 15.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | −2.6 | −0.3 |
| Michelangelo ObertiF · transfer from Penn | 1 | 26.0 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | −0.3 | +0.8 |
| Matai BaptisteF | 1 | 19.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | −0.7 | +0.4 |
| EJ VernonF | 1 | 16.0 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | −0.6 | +0.4 |
| Darnell Lloyd IVF | 1 | 14.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −0.6 | +0.4 |
| Andrew BhesaniaF | 1 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −1.4 | +0.1 |
| Donte Tisinger Jr.G | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −0.8 | +0.1 |
| Alex ZakheimG | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −0.4 | +0.2 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 51.0%rank 93 | 52.5%rank 344 | 50.4% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 18.4%rank 136 | 17.5%rank 336 | 18.6% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 32.4%rank 89 | 30.9%rank 85 | 31.7% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 26.9%rank 52 | 26.4%rank 292 | 25.2% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 1.0 won, 0.6 expected (+0.4)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- +4.3 points a game (they shot 26.1%, league 32.3%)
- Opponents' free throws
- −1.2 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −9.6
- Last season's net rating
- −8.0
- Last season's minutes returning
- 42%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- 0.0
- Change since preseason
- +0.8
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 104.8 (rank 137)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 113.7 (rank 341)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 69.7 (rank 345)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- −8.7 (rank 193)
Patriot League by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | American University | 0-1 | 0-0 | −4.5 | 101.1 | 105.6 | 179 |
| 2 | Colgate | 0-1 | 0-0 | −6.0 | 104.3 | 110.3 | 197 |
| 3 | Lehigh | 0-1 | 0-0 | −8.1 | 101.6 | 109.6 | 234 |
| 4 | Boston University | 1-0 | 0-0 | −8.8 | 104.8 | 113.7 | 243 |
| 5 | Navy | 0-1 | 0-0 | −12.0 | 95.9 | 107.9 | 282 |
| 6 | Army | 0-1 | 0-0 | −13.8 | 97.3 | 111.1 | 301 |
| 7 | Loyola Maryland | 0-1 | 0-0 | −15.4 | 97.1 | 112.5 | 322 |
| 8 | Lafayette | 0-1 | 0-0 | −15.8 | 95.4 | 111.1 | 324 |
| 9 | Bucknell | 0-1 | 0-0 | −16.5 | 97.1 | 113.6 | 331 |
| 10 | Holy Cross | 0-1 | 0-0 | −20.0 | 96.1 | 116.1 | 348 |