Bucknell Bison
Next: vs Old Dominion · Sat 7 Nov, 5 PM ETProjected 72-75 · Game page
Makes the tournament2%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 15.7
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 11-23
Net rating−16.5Rank 331 of 365 · offence 302, defence 338
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 11-23 (6 to 16 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 7-11
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 1%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 2%
- Average seed if in the field
- 15.7
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field2%
- Round of 320%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | at Marylandrank 43 | Away | 3% | 54-78 | L 67-96 | Right |
| Sat 7 Nov5 PM ET | vs Old Dominionrank 219 | Home | 40% | 72-75 | — | |
| Tue 10 Nov9 PM ET | at Virginiarank 28 | Away | 0% | 58-91 | — |
Rooting guide
- Sat 7 Nov: vs Old DominionA win: 1% · a loss: 1%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aleksander PachuckiG | 1 | 31.0 | 23.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | −4.2 | −1.2 |
| Rocco LamunoG | 1 | 26.0 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | −2.1 | 0.0 |
| Luca Soroa SchallerF · transfer from Northeastern | 1 | 24.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | −2.6 | −0.2 |
| Jayden WilliamsG | 1 | 24.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −3.8 | −0.7 |
| Kyle MarshallG · transfer from Air Force | 1 | 24.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | −4.5 | −1.0 |
| Patrick O'BrienF | 1 | 20.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | −4.7 | −0.9 |
| Luke SodenG | 1 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −1.8 | +0.1 |
| Ethan Marten-ConeyF | 1 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | −1.7 | +0.1 |
| Ludvik BergsengF | 1 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | −1.7 | +0.1 |
| Mert KocagozogluG | 1 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −1.7 | +0.1 |
| Jacob MeachemG | 1 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | −5.5 | −0.5 |
| Danny KennardC | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | −1.5 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 51.9%rank 49 | 49.8%rank 91 | 50.4% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 19.2%rank 307 | 18.9%rank 94 | 18.6% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 30.3%rank 318 | 37.0%rank 365 | 31.7% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 24.4%rank 264 | 25.3%rank 236 | 25.2% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.0 expected (0.0)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- +6.2 points a game (they shot 25.0%, league 32.3%)
- Opponents' free throws
- +0.3 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −13.7
- Last season's net rating
- −16.8
- Last season's minutes returning
- 35%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- −0.9
- Change since preseason
- −2.8
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 97.1 (rank 302)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 113.6 (rank 338)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 71.3 (rank 200)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +15.8 (rank 42)
Patriot League by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | American University | 0-1 | 0-0 | −4.5 | 101.1 | 105.6 | 179 |
| 2 | Colgate | 0-1 | 0-0 | −6.0 | 104.3 | 110.3 | 197 |
| 3 | Lehigh | 0-1 | 0-0 | −8.1 | 101.6 | 109.6 | 234 |
| 4 | Boston University | 1-0 | 0-0 | −8.8 | 104.8 | 113.7 | 243 |
| 5 | Navy | 0-1 | 0-0 | −12.0 | 95.9 | 107.9 | 282 |
| 6 | Army | 0-1 | 0-0 | −13.8 | 97.3 | 111.1 | 301 |
| 7 | Loyola Maryland | 0-1 | 0-0 | −15.4 | 97.1 | 112.5 | 322 |
| 8 | Lafayette | 0-1 | 0-0 | −15.8 | 95.4 | 111.1 | 324 |
| 9 | Bucknell | 0-1 | 0-0 | −16.5 | 97.1 | 113.6 | 331 |
| 10 | Holy Cross | 0-1 | 0-0 | −20.0 | 96.1 | 116.1 | 348 |