Holy Cross Crusaders
Makes the tournament1%From 20,000 simulated seasons
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 10-24
Net rating−20.0Rank 348 of 365 · offence 318, defence 356
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 10-24 (5 to 15 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 5-13
- Wins or shares the conference title
- <1%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 1%
- Average seed if in the field
- —
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field1%
- Round of 320%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 3 Nov | at Rhode Islandrank 93 | Away | 10% | 65-80 | L 59-103 | Right |
| Fri 6 Nov7 PM ET | at Villanovarank 36 | Away | 0% | 58-91 | — | |
| Wed 11 Nov7 PM ET | vs Furmanrank 167 | Home | 24% | 70-78 | — |
Rooting guide
- Wed 11 Nov: vs FurmanA win: <1% · a loss: <1%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan RichardF | 1 | 28.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | −5.7 | −1.8 |
| Kole HansonG | 1 | 24.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | −2.9 | −0.4 |
| Jaelon GermanyG | 1 | 24.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | −3.0 | −0.4 |
| Chuck HareF | 1 | 21.0 | 10.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | −5.0 | −1.1 |
| Arius AlijosiusG | 1 | 20.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −2.9 | −0.3 |
| Tristen WilsonG | 1 | 20.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −2.9 | −0.3 |
| Jude HaighF | 1 | 19.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −5.9 | −1.3 |
| John St. Germain IIIG | 1 | 15.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −5.0 | −0.8 |
| Elijah FlowersF | 1 | 14.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −2.7 | −0.2 |
| Bradyn FosterF · transfer from Penn | 1 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | −3.3 | −0.3 |
| Ethan ClarkF | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −5.4 | −0.1 |
| Austin MejiaG | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −5.3 | −0.1 |
| Liam RigneyF | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −2.3 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 50.3%rank 221 | 52.0%rank 322 | 50.4% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 18.7%rank 246 | 17.0%rank 357 | 18.5% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 30.1%rank 332 | 31.1%rank 104 | 31.8% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 24.6%rank 252 | 24.6%rank 117 | 25.1% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.1 expected (−0.1)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −5.9 points a game (they shot 38.7%, league 32.3%)
- Opponents' free throws
- −1.1 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −14.0
- Last season's net rating
- −16.0
- Last season's minutes returning
- 39%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- 0.0
- Change since preseason
- −6.0
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 96.1 (rank 318)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 116.1 (rank 356)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 70.8 (rank 243)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +6.8 (rank 91)
Patriot League by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | American University | 0-1 | 0-0 | −4.5 | 101.1 | 105.6 | 179 |
| 2 | Colgate | 0-1 | 0-0 | −6.0 | 104.4 | 110.4 | 197 |
| 3 | Lehigh | 0-1 | 0-0 | −8.1 | 101.6 | 109.7 | 234 |
| 4 | Boston University | 1-0 | 0-0 | −8.9 | 104.9 | 113.7 | 243 |
| 5 | Navy | 0-1 | 0-0 | −12.0 | 96.0 | 108.0 | 282 |
| 6 | Army | 1-1 | 0-0 | −13.8 | 97.3 | 111.1 | 301 |
| 7 | Loyola Maryland | 0-1 | 0-0 | −15.4 | 97.2 | 112.5 | 321 |
| 8 | Lafayette | 1-1 | 0-0 | −15.7 | 95.4 | 111.2 | 324 |
| 9 | Bucknell | 0-1 | 0-0 | −16.5 | 97.1 | 113.6 | 331 |
| 10 | Holy Cross | 0-1 | 0-0 | −20.0 | 96.1 | 116.1 | 348 |