Northeastern Huskies
Makes the tournament3%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 15.1
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 12-22
Net rating−8.7Rank 241 of 365 · offence 157, defence 322
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 12-22 (6 to 17 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 8-10
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 2%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 3%
- Average seed if in the field
- 15.1
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field3%
- Round of 32<1%
- Sweet 160%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2 Nov | at Boston Universityrank 243 | Away | 42% | 67-70 | L 85-93 | Right |
| Fri 6 Nov5 PM ET | at Virginiarank 28 | Away | 1% | 64-92 | — | |
| Tue 10 Nov7 PM ET | vs Harvardrank 121 | Home | 38% | 74-78 | — |
Rooting guide
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike LoughnaneG | 1 | 37.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | −1.8 | +0.2 |
| Dorian GrosberG | 1 | 36.0 | 18.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | −1.9 | +0.1 |
| Louis BondG · transfer from Idaho St | 1 | 34.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | −2.3 | −0.1 |
| Rashad KingG · transfer from LSU | 1 | 29.0 | 21.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | +0.4 | +1.3 |
| Ryan WilliamsG | 1 | 17.0 | 12.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | −0.1 | +0.6 |
| Brayden YoungF · transfer from Loyola Chicago | 1 | 16.0 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | −3.8 | −0.5 |
| Liam KoelschC | 1 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −2.5 | −0.1 |
| Petar PinterC | 1 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −3.6 | −0.3 |
| Sage BaptisteF | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −1.2 | +0.1 |
| Danny HoulihanG | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −1.1 | +0.1 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 52.5%rank 22 | 51.0%rank 275 | 50.4% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 17.5%rank 29 | 18.4%rank 228 | 18.6% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 30.9%rank 281 | 32.4%rank 273 | 31.7% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 26.4%rank 71 | 26.9%rank 312 | 25.2% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.4 expected (−0.4)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- +0.4 points a game (they shot 31.6%, league 32.3%)
- Opponents' free throws
- −2.3 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −7.9
- Last season's net rating
- −9.8
- Last season's minutes returning
- 34%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- +0.9
- Change since preseason
- −0.8
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 103.8 (rank 157)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 112.5 (rank 322)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 72.5 (rank 54)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- −8.8 (rank 194)
Coastal Athletic Association by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UNC Wilmington | 1-0 | 0-0 | −0.5 | 104.8 | 105.3 | 130 |
| 2 | Charleston | 1-0 | 0-0 | −1.2 | 104.0 | 105.2 | 139 |
| 3 | Towson | 0-1 | 0-0 | −2.6 | 102.5 | 105.0 | 151 |
| 4 | Monmouth | 0-1 | 0-0 | −3.6 | 100.8 | 104.4 | 165 |
| 5 | Hofstra | 1-0 | 0-0 | −3.7 | 102.0 | 105.7 | 166 |
| 6 | Elon | 1-0 | 0-0 | −5.0 | 104.5 | 109.4 | 184 |
| 7 | Campbell | 0-1 | 0-0 | −5.1 | 101.9 | 107.0 | 187 |
| 8 | William & Mary | 1-0 | 0-0 | −6.9 | 101.4 | 108.3 | 215 |
| 9 | Drexel | 0-1 | 0-0 | −7.4 | 98.5 | 105.9 | 223 |
| 10 | Northeastern | 0-1 | 0-0 | −8.7 | 103.8 | 112.5 | 241 |
| 11 | Stony Brook | 1-0 | 0-0 | −9.3 | 100.4 | 109.7 | 248 |
| 12 | Hampton | 0-1 | 0-0 | −11.1 | 96.7 | 107.7 | 274 |
| 13 | North Carolina A&T | 0-0 | 0-0 | −12.6 | 98.5 | 111.1 | 287 |