Drexel Dragons
Makes the tournament4%From 20,000 simulated seasons · average seed 14.3
Wins the national title0%Final Four 0% · projected 16-17
Net rating−7.4Rank 223 of 365 · offence 280, defence 154
Season outlook
- Projected record
- 16-17 (10 to 22 wins)
- Projected conference record
- 8-10
- Wins or shares the conference title
- 5%
- Wins the conference tournament
- 4%
- Average seed if in the field
- 14.3
- A 1 seed
- 0%
- Makes the field4%
- Round of 32<1%
- Sweet 16<1%
- Elite Eight0%
- Final Four0%
- Title game0%
- Champion0%
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Where | Win chance | Projected | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 3 Nov | at Virginiarank 28 | Away | 3% | 60-84 | L 60-89 | Right |
| Sat 7 Nov2 PM ET | vs Colgaterank 197 | Home | 61% | 75-72 | — | |
| Wed 11 Nov7 PM ET | vs American Universityrank 179 | Home | 57% | 72-70 | — |
Rooting guide
- Sat 7 Nov: vs ColgateA win: 4% · a loss: 5%0 pts
- Wed 11 Nov: vs American UniversityA win: 4% · a loss: 4%0 pts
Early in the season other teams' results barely move a team's chances, so the list is mostly its own games; by February the bubble and conference races make other games matter.
Players
| Player | Games | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Rating | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panagiotis PagonisF · transfer from LSU N Orleans | 1 | 28.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −3.0 | −0.4 |
| David SimonovicF | 1 | 27.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | −2.2 | −0.1 |
| Josh ReedG | 1 | 26.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | −1.4 | +0.3 |
| Amaree AbramG · transfer from Tennessee | 1 | 23.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | +2.4 | +1.8 |
| Latief Lorenzano-WhiteG | 1 | 21.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | −2.0 | 0.0 |
| LaDricus PittmanG | 1 | 21.0 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | −2.0 | 0.0 |
| Clem EdomwonyinF | 1 | 18.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | −1.9 | 0.0 |
| Dillon TinglerG | 1 | 17.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | −1.3 | +0.2 |
| BJ Brown Jr.G | 1 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | −1.7 | +0.1 |
| Ralph AkutaF | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | −1.2 | +0.1 |
| Rickey Paulding IIIG | 1 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | −1.5 | 0.0 |
| Adrian PetkovicG | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −1.5 | 0.0 |
| Max DavisG | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −1.9 | 0.0 |
Style and luck
Every teamThe Four Factors adjusted for opponents
| Offence | Defence | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ShootingEffective FG% · decides 44% of the margin | 50.6%rank 118 | 50.4%rank 149 | 50.4% |
| TurnoversTurnover rate · decides 25% of the margin | 19.7%rank 339 | 19.0%rank 80 | 18.6% |
| Offensive reboundsRebound rate · decides 21% of the margin | 30.3%rank 320 | 31.3%rank 128 | 31.7% |
| Free throwsFree throws per FG attempt · decides 10% of the margin | 23.3%rank 318 | 24.1%rank 79 | 25.2% |
Defence is what opponents managed. For turnovers a high defence figure is good; for the others, low is good.
Luck so far
- Wins against the pre-game chances
- 0.0 won, 0.0 expected (0.0)
- Opponents' three-point shooting
- −1.9 points a game (they shot 34.5%, league 32.3%)
- Opponents' free throws
- −1.9 points a game
- Close games: by 5 or fewer, or overtime
- None yet
Opponents' three-point shooting repeats little from one half of a season to the other (correlation 0.21), and their free throws even less (0.18), so a team living off either is likely to come back toward average. Positive numbers mean the luck has helped.
Rating this season
- Preseason net rating
- −6.4
- Last season's net rating
- −4.4
- Last season's minutes returning
- 23%
- Transfers in, weighted by minutes
- +0.7
- Change since preseason
- −1.0
- Offence, points per 100 possessions
- 98.5 (rank 280)
- Defence, points allowed per 100
- 105.9 (rank 154)
- Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes
- 70.7 (rank 265)
- Schedule so far, opponents' average
- +20.2 (rank 26)
Coastal Athletic Association by rating
| # | Team | Record | Conference | Net | Offence | Defence | National rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UNC Wilmington | 1-0 | 0-0 | −0.5 | 104.8 | 105.3 | 130 |
| 2 | Charleston | 1-0 | 0-0 | −1.2 | 104.0 | 105.2 | 139 |
| 3 | Towson | 0-1 | 0-0 | −2.6 | 102.5 | 105.0 | 151 |
| 4 | Monmouth | 0-1 | 0-0 | −3.6 | 100.8 | 104.4 | 165 |
| 5 | Hofstra | 1-0 | 0-0 | −3.7 | 102.0 | 105.7 | 166 |
| 6 | Elon | 1-0 | 0-0 | −5.0 | 104.5 | 109.4 | 184 |
| 7 | Campbell | 0-1 | 0-0 | −5.1 | 101.9 | 107.0 | 187 |
| 8 | William & Mary | 1-0 | 0-0 | −6.9 | 101.4 | 108.3 | 215 |
| 9 | Drexel | 0-1 | 0-0 | −7.4 | 98.5 | 105.9 | 223 |
| 10 | Northeastern | 0-1 | 0-0 | −8.7 | 103.8 | 112.5 | 241 |
| 11 | Stony Brook | 1-0 | 0-0 | −9.3 | 100.4 | 109.7 | 248 |
| 12 | Hampton | 0-1 | 0-0 | −11.1 | 96.7 | 107.7 | 274 |
| 13 | North Carolina A&T | 0-0 | 0-0 | −12.6 | 98.5 | 111.1 | 287 |